Jovana Pribic

Prospect of steel and aluminum tariffs undermined a decent case for tactical USD long into the March FOMC; Gold tumbles to lows, weakens further below $1320 level yesterday

The prospects of a trade war have increased due to the US tariffs on steel and aluminum. However, at the last minute, President Trump shifted and opened the door to exemptions, including for Canada and Mexico. Australia experiences a bilateral trade deficit with the US and cooperates in military matters, and may also be in […]

Prospect of steel and aluminum tariffs undermined a decent case for tactical USD long into the March FOMC; Gold tumbles to lows, weakens further below $1320 level yesterday Read More »

Safe-haven Yen rebounds on Japan politics, a quiet session ahead

Forex today in Asia this Monday was mainly driven by the risk sentiment, with the Asian equities tracking their Wall Street counterparts higher, in the wake of disappointing US wage growth numbers. Therefore, we saw the USD/JPY reaching for a test of the 107 handle before coming under aggressive selling pressure, as uncertainty over the

Safe-haven Yen rebounds on Japan politics, a quiet session ahead Read More »

US Economic growth continued at a moderate paste; ECB left its interest rates, quantitative easing and forward guidance unchanged

The March Beige Book maintained that US economic growth continued at a modest to moderate pace, but some of the language regarding wage growth and prices have changed. The March report notes that wage and price pressures picked up between January and March in many districts, where employers have raised waged and expanded benefit packages

US Economic growth continued at a moderate paste; ECB left its interest rates, quantitative easing and forward guidance unchanged Read More »

Main focus remains on the ‘trade war’ and the issues surrounding ‘Brexit’

As it is known, U.S. President Donald Trump restated his attention to place big tariffs on imports of steel and aluminum, warning the European Union of the impact of ‘big tax’ for not treating the United States well in terms of trade. On his comment, the International Monetary Funds’ Managing Director, Christine Lagarde, said on

Main focus remains on the ‘trade war’ and the issues surrounding ‘Brexit’ Read More »

Reserve Bank of Australia kept the cash rate unchanged yesterday. EU response to Trumps’ proposed tariffs would not promise well for market sentiment

Yesterday we saw a bundle of news coming from Australia, where most traders were concentrating on the RBA and the decision regarding the cash rate. As the Reserve Bank of Australia decided to keep the rate unchanged at 1.50%, Aussie fell of daily high. In addition, the Australian retail sales rose less than expected, increasing

Reserve Bank of Australia kept the cash rate unchanged yesterday. EU response to Trumps’ proposed tariffs would not promise well for market sentiment Read More »

UK services PMI higher than anticipated. Euro seems to stabilize as the markets slowly digest the Italian elections, while the developments on US trade policy will be the primary focus this week

Growth in the UK service sector picked up pace and signaled the strongest rate of service sector output growth for four months, the latest report from Markit Economics showed yesterday. UK services PMI was up from 53.0 in January and better than forecasted (53.3) coming at 54.5. The business activity rose at the fastest pace

UK services PMI higher than anticipated. Euro seems to stabilize as the markets slowly digest the Italian elections, while the developments on US trade policy will be the primary focus this week Read More »

Official results of Italian votes are not expected to be soon, but projections point to a hung parliament

The Euro witnessed a mixed start to the week, initially having received a boost following the weekend’s German SPD’s vote in favor of the coalition deal. However, the upside was short-lived as sentiment soured on the Italian election’s projected outcome of a hung parliament, with both the anti-establishment 5-Star Movement and the far-right League party

Official results of Italian votes are not expected to be soon, but projections point to a hung parliament Read More »

UK manufacturing PMI held a pleasant surprise yesterday and US manufacturing activity remains strong. All eyes will be on Prime Minister May speech today

The UK Markit PMI for manufacturing held a pleasant surprise despite the fact that it did not rise, but it held better than expected (55.1) coming at 55.2 down from 55.3. Still, it is the third consecutive decline and compares with the 56.9 average in Q4 17 and 55.9 average for all last year. The

UK manufacturing PMI held a pleasant surprise yesterday and US manufacturing activity remains strong. All eyes will be on Prime Minister May speech today Read More »

The Italian Election 2018 is just few days away. Who are the key candidates & how EUR can be affected?

The Italian election is due to be held this coming Sunday, 4th of March 2018 and Italians are preparing to choose a new Parliament and Prime Minister. Italy is not well-known for its political stability given the fact that it has had more than 60 governments and numerous prime ministers since World War II. This

The Italian Election 2018 is just few days away. Who are the key candidates & how EUR can be affected? Read More »

U.S. equity markets suffer their worst month since 2016, sterling slumps, as European Union negotiators turn up the heat on U.K. government’s Brexit plan

February 2018 has proven to be one of the most volatile and tumultuous months for equity markets, witnessed in many years. The month has closed out with the largest fall in the main equity markets (DJIA and SPX), seen in two years. The February fall for the DJIA is -4.28%, the SPX has registered a

U.S. equity markets suffer their worst month since 2016, sterling slumps, as European Union negotiators turn up the heat on U.K. government’s Brexit plan Read More »