Jovana Pribic

London stocks open lower as US debt deal faces opposition

G20 continued to emphasize the importance of free trade; UK CPI eases more than expected in February and the German ZEW Economic sentiment deteriorates sharply in March

In the G20 meeting that concluded yesterday, analysts at Deutsche Bank have noticed that most global finance chiefs warned against protectionism with BOJ Governor Kuroda noting “the G20 will continue to emphasize the importance of free trade” while France’s Finance Minister Le Maire reiterated that there will only be losers in a trade war and […]

G20 continued to emphasize the importance of free trade; UK CPI eases more than expected in February and the German ZEW Economic sentiment deteriorates sharply in March Read More »

All focus is on the Fed and if it will raise the rates. What will be the key for the markets to watch?

The markets were feeling a little indecisive last week given the unpredictable spate of headlines which seemed to come from the White House on an almost daily basis then there’s good news as we have the welcome distraction of a Fed meeting this week. Financial markets are pricing in a greater than 90% probability that

All focus is on the Fed and if it will raise the rates. What will be the key for the markets to watch? Read More »

European Commission is preparing its member states for trade war with Trump; G20 finance ministers will focus on crypto implications for the financial system during today’s meeting

According to the German centre0-right, liberal-conservative newspaper, Frankfurter Allegemeine Zeitung, the European Commission is preparing member states for a trade war with the US over Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs. It has obtained an internal memo from the European Commission that tells member states not to be ‘too optimistic” about obtaining steel and aluminum tariffs

European Commission is preparing its member states for trade war with Trump; G20 finance ministers will focus on crypto implications for the financial system during today’s meeting Read More »

Negative USD view persists amid the Trump administration’s more aggressive protectionist policy agenda

The negative view persists and a probable lack of overtly hawkish Fed signals in the US. FOMC is to hike +25bp next week and retain an optimistic outlook but risks of a strong hawkish signal have eased following benign Feb earnings and CPI, weaker Q1 tracking estimates (Atlanta Fed now cast trimmed to 1.9% from

Negative USD view persists amid the Trump administration’s more aggressive protectionist policy agenda Read More »

The Euro strength could ponder on inflation down the line; US PPI advanced by 0.2%, while retail sales saw a decline in February

According to the ECB President Mario Draghi’s speech yesterday, during the ECB conference, the monetary policy will remain patient and prudent with sustained adjustment in the path of inflation towards target is the condition for net asset purchases to end. He has also mentioned that there is still a need to see further evidence that

The Euro strength could ponder on inflation down the line; US PPI advanced by 0.2%, while retail sales saw a decline in February Read More »

US CPI increased 0.2% m/m in February and US core inflation remains stable despite surging apparel costs; UK’s inflation seen falling to BoE target within a years’ time

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in February on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.5 percent in January,” the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported yesterday. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 2.2 percent before seasonal adjustment. The index for all items less food

US CPI increased 0.2% m/m in February and US core inflation remains stable despite surging apparel costs; UK’s inflation seen falling to BoE target within a years’ time Read More »

Prospect of steel and aluminum tariffs undermined a decent case for tactical USD long into the March FOMC; Gold tumbles to lows, weakens further below $1320 level yesterday

The prospects of a trade war have increased due to the US tariffs on steel and aluminum. However, at the last minute, President Trump shifted and opened the door to exemptions, including for Canada and Mexico. Australia experiences a bilateral trade deficit with the US and cooperates in military matters, and may also be in

Prospect of steel and aluminum tariffs undermined a decent case for tactical USD long into the March FOMC; Gold tumbles to lows, weakens further below $1320 level yesterday Read More »

Safe-haven Yen rebounds on Japan politics, a quiet session ahead

Forex today in Asia this Monday was mainly driven by the risk sentiment, with the Asian equities tracking their Wall Street counterparts higher, in the wake of disappointing US wage growth numbers. Therefore, we saw the USD/JPY reaching for a test of the 107 handle before coming under aggressive selling pressure, as uncertainty over the

Safe-haven Yen rebounds on Japan politics, a quiet session ahead Read More »

US Economic growth continued at a moderate paste; ECB left its interest rates, quantitative easing and forward guidance unchanged

The March Beige Book maintained that US economic growth continued at a modest to moderate pace, but some of the language regarding wage growth and prices have changed. The March report notes that wage and price pressures picked up between January and March in many districts, where employers have raised waged and expanded benefit packages

US Economic growth continued at a moderate paste; ECB left its interest rates, quantitative easing and forward guidance unchanged Read More »

Main focus remains on the ‘trade war’ and the issues surrounding ‘Brexit’

As it is known, U.S. President Donald Trump restated his attention to place big tariffs on imports of steel and aluminum, warning the European Union of the impact of ‘big tax’ for not treating the United States well in terms of trade. On his comment, the International Monetary Funds’ Managing Director, Christine Lagarde, said on

Main focus remains on the ‘trade war’ and the issues surrounding ‘Brexit’ Read More »