July 2019

Focus turns to the latest Q2 GDP growth figures for the USA for clues as to the direction the FOMC monetary policy will take.

FX analysts and traders will scrutinise the latest Q2 annualised GDP data for the USA economy when it’s published at 13:30pm U.K. time on Friday afternoon. The expectation is for the figure for Q2 to come in at 1.8% falling from 3.2% in Q1. If the forecast is met equity markets in the USA and […]

Focus turns to the latest Q2 GDP growth figures for the USA for clues as to the direction the FOMC monetary policy will take. Read More »

Euro whipsaws in wide ranges after the ECB’s confusing signals, USA equity markets fall as FOMC interest rate bets fade

The euro experienced whipsawing price-action versus its peers during the afternoon sessions as the ECB announced its rate setting decision and outlined a new direction in terms of forward guidance. Rather than announce an interest rate cut in the short-term, the ECB and the President Mario Draghi surprised FX analysts and analysts as they suggested

Euro whipsaws in wide ranges after the ECB’s confusing signals, USA equity markets fall as FOMC interest rate bets fade Read More »

Fed Chair remains hawkish, Yen highs and Aussie slumps

If the forecast for USA GDP is met then the FOMC could react next week by slashing the key interest rate to 2.00%

At 13:30pm U.K. time on Friday July 26th the latest annualised QoQ GDP figure for the USA economy will be published. The metric covers the time period up to the second quarter of 2019, Q2. The figure is not the estimate it’s the actual and final reading published by the BEA (Bureau of Economic Analysis),

If the forecast for USA GDP is met then the FOMC could react next week by slashing the key interest rate to 2.00% Read More »

The Aussie dollar falls as RBA Governor commits to low interest rates for an extended period, focus now turns to the ECB this afternoon

Central bank’s’ decision making will continue to make headlines during Thursday’s trading sessions. Focus was on Australia’s central bank in the early hours and during the afternoon session market attention will shift to the Eurozone’s central bank, the ECB. Mr. Philip Lowe the Governor of the RBA, Australia’s central bank, announced in a speech in

The Aussie dollar falls as RBA Governor commits to low interest rates for an extended period, focus now turns to the ECB this afternoon Read More »

The Dollar King Damages All But Not America

U.S. equity market investors ignore the USA manufacturing PMI which indicates potential recession, to print new record highs.

There are several red lights currently flashing for the U.S. economy, but when investors are locked into the herd mentality of risk-on sentiment and behaviour, many of the key economic fundamentals which analysts respect tend to be ignored. On Wednesday the latest IHS Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI came in at 50.0 for July 2019, the

U.S. equity market investors ignore the USA manufacturing PMI which indicates potential recession, to print new record highs. Read More »

Are all forms of technical analysis fallacies or do some stand up up scrutiny?

After several decades of intense and heated discussion, the jury is still out and unable to reach a verdict in relation to the efficiency and effectiveness of technical analysis (TA). The opinions are generally binary and polar opposites; some FX analysts and traders swear by the proficiency of TA, others dismiss technical analysis as tea-leaf

Are all forms of technical analysis fallacies or do some stand up up scrutiny? Read More »

Will the ECB announce more stimulus on Thursday afternoon as the interest rate decision is revealed?

On Thursday July 25th at 12:45pm U.K. time the ECB will reveal its decision regarding the key interest rates for the single trading-bloc the Eurozone. After polling their panels of economists both the major news agencies, Reuters and Bloomberg, are of the opinion that there’ll be no change to the current lending rate of 0.00%

Will the ECB announce more stimulus on Thursday afternoon as the interest rate decision is revealed? Read More »

Asian markets rise as China-USA trade talk optimism rises euro slips as PMI readings for the Eurozone miss forecasts

Equity markets in the Asia-Pacific region mostly closed up on Wednesday morning following the rises on Wall Street on Tuesday, due to reports that trade negotiations between Beijing and Washington will restart next week. Bloomberg reported on Tuesday that Trump’s U.S. representative Lighthizer is travelling to China on Monday July 29th for face-to-face trade talks

Asian markets rise as China-USA trade talk optimism rises euro slips as PMI readings for the Eurozone miss forecasts Read More »

Forex Roundup: Dollar Rules Despite the Slides

Dollar index rises to five week high, sterling whipsaws after new P.M. is announced WTI oil rises

In contrast with Monday’s quiet trading sessions, during Tuesday’s sessions the FX markets displayed healthy movement and provided extensive price-action opportunities for day-traders to bank profit. The dollar index rose to a five week high as investors increased confidence in the globe’s reserve currency after the IMF raised its GDP prediction for the USA to

Dollar index rises to five week high, sterling whipsaws after new P.M. is announced WTI oil rises Read More »

Trading without stops can it ever make sense or is it reckless?

Many traders in the FX retail trading community will trade without any form of stops. Surprisingly, these aren’t necessarily naive or inexperienced traders, some are actually experienced traders who will attempt justify why they prefer to trade without stops. The reasons they deliver are various and fascinating. Some will cite that various brokers and the

Trading without stops can it ever make sense or is it reckless? Read More »