Zahir Shah

Trading the reaction to the news release and not the actual news release, can prove to be an efficient FX strategy

FX traders eventually learn that the events listed on the economic calendar, have the power to move the FX markets. Whatever trading strategy and overall method you develop, perhaps by using some of the most popular technical indicators available, novice FX traders will quickly observe that a surprising data release (missing or beating the forecast), […]

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The Australian central bank is forecast to maintain the current interest rate at 1.5%.

On Tuesday February 5th at 3:30am U.K. time, the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) will announce its latest decision, regarding the key interest rate for the Australian economy. Referred to as the “cash rate” in Australia, the forecast, from the economists polled by Reuters and Bloomberg, is for the rate to remain unchanged at the

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U.K. FTSE 100 reaches 7,000 in morning trading, Aussie dollar slips as building data disappoints the markets

The leading U.K. index the FTSE 100, breached the critical psyche level and handle of 7,000 during the early part of the London session to reach 7,040, a level not seen since early December 2018. During 2018 the index threatened to break through the 8,000 level for the first time in its history, after reaching

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Corporate earnings could dictate the performance of USA indices over the coming week, whilst sterling and the U.S. dollar will remain under focus and pressure

Despite the latest NFP numbers beating the Reuters forecast of 165K (by some distance) on Friday Feb 1st, the U.S. dollar failed to rise significantly, when the figure of 304K jobs created in January was published. Beating the forecast has to be kept in context; regarding the previous December count being revised down substantially, whilst

Corporate earnings could dictate the performance of USA indices over the coming week, whilst sterling and the U.S. dollar will remain under focus and pressure Read More »

The simple trick you can play on yourself, to immediately become a highly disciplined FX trader

FX traders constantly receive advice regarding professionalism and discipline, in relation to trading and how these two factors can impact on your success. Retail FX traders will receive advice over the type of FX trading account they should open and which brokers they should trade with. For example, trading with an ECN broker, who uses

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China’s Caixan PMI reading misses forecast, sends Aussie dollar lower, GBP/USD falls as Brexit fears hits manufacturing sentiment

As a consequence of the: trade wars, tariffs and sanctions with the USA, China’s manufacturing base has suffered a blow, resulting in the sentiment amongst the purchase managers in Chinese manufacturing falling. The PMI missed the Reuters forecast of 49.7, by coming in at 48.3, close to a three year low. Any PMI reading below

China’s Caixan PMI reading misses forecast, sends Aussie dollar lower, GBP/USD falls as Brexit fears hits manufacturing sentiment Read More »

GBP/USD registers largest monthly rise in a year, USD/JPY falls to two week low, as Fed appears to change monetary policy outlook

Sterling made significant gains versus several of its main peers during the early weeks of January, as FX market optimism developed, that the U.K. would avoid a no deal, hard Brexit. However, that optimism was tempered after Tuesday’s vote in the House of Commons. A vote that has emboldened the Tory govt. to approach the

GBP/USD registers largest monthly rise in a year, USD/JPY falls to two week low, as Fed appears to change monetary policy outlook Read More »

The latest NFP numbers and the unemployment rate for the USA, could move the FX market for the USD, when released on Friday 1st

On February 1st, at 1:30pm, close to the opening of the New York trading session, two high impact news releases relating to the USA economy, will be published. The first release concerns the latest January unemployment rate for the U.S. The current rate is 3.9%, close to the 40 year lows, that were repeatedly printed

The latest NFP numbers and the unemployment rate for the USA, could move the FX market for the USD, when released on Friday 1st Read More »

Simple, straightforward ideas for combining fundamental and technical analysis

The majority of experienced (and by association) successful traders, will always suggest that you require a combination of both fundamental and technical analysis in order to trade the: FX, equity and commodity markets proficiently. Traders quickly learn that FX markets primarily move, due to the fundamental economic metrics, relating to the currency of the country

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U.S. equity markets rally, whilst USD fades, as the Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicates a reversal of monetary policy.

As widely forecast by Reuters and other news agencies, the FOMC, headed by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, announced at the conclusion of their two day meeting, that the committee took the decision to leave the key interest unchanged at 2.5%. It was during the press conference, held half an hour later, when equity and FX

U.S. equity markets rally, whilst USD fades, as the Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicates a reversal of monetary policy. Read More »