Market Commentaries

You’ll immediately recognise the emotions and patterns associated with the gambler’s fallacy; you have an extended series of wins or losses in the market and you begin to think that the next result will inevitably be the opposite. When in reality (based on what can be a random distribution of results) you’re just as likely […]

Wednesday July 10th is an extremely busy day for medium to high impact calendar events and data releases which have the power to move the forex markets in the relevant countries’ currencies. Both the U.S. and Canadian dollars and the U.K. pound will come under close scrutiny as the key data is released pertaining to

The U.S. dollar continued the rise versus its peers which began on Friday when the NFP numbers beat the news agencies’ forecasts. Many traders began to increase their bets from Friday that the Fed will raise the key interest rate from 2.5% in the final half of 2019. This dollar bullishness has continued into Tuesday’s

Many successful traders quickly establish the impact probability has on their trading outcomes. However, the vast majority of traders fail to investigate or fully rationalise the impact the phenomenon of probability has, they’ll also neglect to realise how probability can be easily and practically applied to their trading decisions. For the most part the effect

Japanese equity markets slipped during the Asian trading session, as disappointing machine orders data dented confidence that the Japanese economy can manufacture an improvement over the current 0.9% annual GDP growth. For May core machine orders came in at -7.8% missing the forecast of -3.7%. The Nikkei index closed down circa -0.98% after rising by

We acknowledge that the forex market is the largest global trading market there is. As an entity that turns over circa $5 trillion each trading day, we could also put forward a claim that it’s the greatest example of efficient market hypothesis there is. The forex market moves in perfect unison with global sentiment relating

Germany’s latest manufacturing factory orders continued to free-fall according to the latest data reported by Germany’s statistics agency Destatis on Friday morning. Month on month orders slumped by -2.2% for May, year on year orders have fallen by -8.6%. The -4.3% drop in foreign orders during the month is the major cause of concern for

The phrase “sell in May and go away” is thought to originate from an old English saying; “sell in May and go away and come on back on St. Leger’s Day.” This phrase refers to the custom in previous times when: aristocrats, merchants, and bankers, would leave the polluted city of London and escape to

At 5:30am U.K. time, on Tuesday June 4th, the RBA, Reserve Bank of Australia, will announce its decision regarding the country’s key interest rate. The RBA kept the cash rate at a record low of 1.5 percent at the culmination of their May meeting, extending the record period of monetary policy inaction and defying any

As President Trump boarded the famous airforce one presidential jet, to come to the U.K. for a three day state visit, he had already fired off a volley of controversial statements. He reaffirmed his support for Tory leadership candidate (and de facto prime minister) Boris Johnson, he also suggested the leader of the right wing