Zahir Shah

China’s equity indices fall for second day in series, FX traders attempt to price sterling, based on U.K. Parliament taking control of Brexit

The equity markets in China fell during Tuesday’s overnight/morning Asian session, as global growth fears continued to stalk Chinese markets. The Shanghai Composite index fell by -1.51% and the CSI by -1.13%. Chinese investors could be trading ahead of the curve, by regarding the lack of definitive progress in relation to the tariff talks as […]

China’s equity indices fall for second day in series, FX traders attempt to price sterling, based on U.K. Parliament taking control of Brexit Read More »

Sterling pairs trade in tight ranges as Brexit confusion reigns, Euro steadies as IFO soft data for Germany comes in ahead of forecast

The U.K. pound traded in tight ranges versus its peers during Monday’s trading sessions, as analysts and FX traders struggled to make sense of the latest Brexit developments in U.K. parliament. At 10:00pm on Monday evening, MPs voted on another arcane parliamentary process; what’s termed “indicative votes” to establish what type of withdrawal agreement exit

Sterling pairs trade in tight ranges as Brexit confusion reigns, Euro steadies as IFO soft data for Germany comes in ahead of forecast Read More »

Global recession fears rise, as bond yields invert and Asian equities slump

Asian equity markets sold off during the Sydney-Asian trading sessions, as global recession fears stalked markets in: Japan China and Australia. The Nikkei slumped by -3%, Shanghai Composite by -1.97% and the ASX 200 by -1.11%. This pattern followed a sell off, in European and USA equity markets, on Friday March 22nd, which saw up

Global recession fears rise, as bond yields invert and Asian equities slump Read More »

The latest GDP growth figures for: the U.K. France, Canada and the USA, are the outstanding high impact events, FX traders need to remain vigilant of this week

Monday’s significant calendar events begins the week with the latest IFO: business climate, expectations and current assessment sentiment readings, for the German economy. Coming so soon after the poor Markit PMI readings of Friday 22nd of March (for the Eurozone’s largest economy) missed the forecasts by some distance, the results will be carefully monitored when

The latest GDP growth figures for: the U.K. France, Canada and the USA, are the outstanding high impact events, FX traders need to remain vigilant of this week Read More »

U.K. pound arrests slump as E.U. summit reaches decision, euro sells off as Markit PMIs miss forecasts.

On Thursday evening at an E.U. summit, the leaders of the E.U. 27 finally took control of the Brexit process, by declaring the revised exit dates for the U.K. The March 29th deadline has been moved; if the U.K. parliament can’t agree to the withdrawal agreement, then it exits by April 11th, under a no

U.K. pound arrests slump as E.U. summit reaches decision, euro sells off as Markit PMIs miss forecasts. Read More »

Sterling continues falling as European council summit leaders gather to decide on any U.K. Brexit extension, U.S. dollar recovers Wednesday’s FOMC forward guidance related slump

The next chapter of the Brexit debacle was reached on Thursday, as the U.K. prime minister May scuttled off to Brussels, in an attempt to negotiate an extension, to the March 29th leave date. She wanted June 30th, the Council appears unwilling to grant such an extension, given it would indirectly compel the U.K. to

Sterling continues falling as European council summit leaders gather to decide on any U.K. Brexit extension, U.S. dollar recovers Wednesday’s FOMC forward guidance related slump Read More »

Yen gains as U.S. dollar slumps due to dovish Fed statement, investors await BoE base rate recession and monetary policy statement

By Thursday morning, the U.S. dollar had stabilised its Wednesday evening sell off, caused by the FOMC interest rate hold announcement and the dovish monetary policy statement, broadcast by Jerome Powell after the announcement. Mr. Powell hinted that the “normalisation” process; to take the key interest rate up to circa 3.5% by the end of

Yen gains as U.S. dollar slumps due to dovish Fed statement, investors await BoE base rate recession and monetary policy statement Read More »

U.S. dollar crashes, as the chair of the Fed Jerome Powell delivers extremely dovish forward guidance

The FOMC rate setting meeting ended with the key interest rate being kept at 2.5%. However, the greenback crashed versus the majority of its peers on Wednesday evening, after the Fed chair and leader of the FOMC, delivered such a reactionary dovish policy statement, that investors and FX traders were taken by surprise. Jerome Powell

U.S. dollar crashes, as the chair of the Fed Jerome Powell delivers extremely dovish forward guidance Read More »

The U.K. Bank of England will release its final base rate decision and deliver its last monetary policy statement, before the official Brexit date

On Thursday March 21st, at 12:00pm U.K. time, the U.K. central bank the Bank of England, will announce its latest decision concerning the U.K. economy’s base rate. Currently at 0.75% the widely held consensus is that the Governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney, will announce that the rate will remain unchanged at 0.75%,

The U.K. Bank of England will release its final base rate decision and deliver its last monetary policy statement, before the official Brexit date Read More »

Sterling slips as Brexit chaos continues, doubts begin to emerge regarding the China-USA trade agreement

GBP pairs fell sharply during the early stages of the London-European trading session, as leading E.U. negotiator Michel Barnier instructed the U.K. that the European Council would not be making a decision on the U.K. request for a three month extension, to the Brexit date of March 29th, this week. Instead, the summit would delay

Sterling slips as Brexit chaos continues, doubts begin to emerge regarding the China-USA trade agreement Read More »