Mind The Gap

Pressure will be on for the BoE to raise interest rates, if the U.K. CPI comes in at 3%, expect sterling to react if the forecast is met

On Tuesday morning, at 8:30am GMT, the U.K. official statistics agency (the ONS) will reveal the latest CPI figure in a series of inflation data, which will also include the RPI and producer price input inflation. The forecast is for CPI (consumer price inflation) to rise to a five year high of 3% annualized, with […]

Pressure will be on for the BoE to raise interest rates, if the U.K. CPI comes in at 3%, expect sterling to react if the forecast is met Read More »

Will the latest consumer price inflation figure from the USA, give the green light to the FOMC to raise interest rates at their December meeting?

From various USA sources on Friday, we receive the latest: CPI data, advanced retail sales and the university of Michigan confidence survey. A trinity of highly valuable, yet distinctly different metrics that will shine a light into the various crevices of: growth, confidence and the performance, of various aspects of the USA economy. And with

Will the latest consumer price inflation figure from the USA, give the green light to the FOMC to raise interest rates at their December meeting? Read More »

Fed minutes indicate a cautious approach towards 2017 base rate rises, as concerns regarding a fiscal stimulus neutralise forward guidance.

The UK’s economic ability to withstand the impact of the Brexit referendum vote continues. The UK’s construction data for December, as measured by Markit and CIPS, came in at 54.2, well ahead of the previous print of 52.6 and exceeding analysts’ predictions. Net consumer credit rose by £1.9 billion for the last recorded month of

Fed minutes indicate a cautious approach towards 2017 base rate rises, as concerns regarding a fiscal stimulus neutralise forward guidance. Read More »

European equity markets power ahead on Monday, due to healthy manufacturing PMI numbers.

Despite the fact that London and USA markets were closed on Monday, European equities enjoyed solid gains on the strength of solid PMI manufacturing data, which came in ahead of the analysts’ polled predictions. Notwithstanding the encouraging individual national PMI readings, the overall Eurozone area manufacturing expanded in December, at the fastest rate recorded since

European equity markets power ahead on Monday, due to healthy manufacturing PMI numbers. Read More »

German retail data falls by 1.9% year on year, German unemployment falls by unexpected amount, whilst French consumption rises marginally

In the overnight early morning session news was revealed that the BOJ decided to keep the monetary stimulus programme unaltered at an annual pace of 60 trillion to 70 trillion yen ($587-685 billion). Turning to Europe, whilst Germans are spending less ‘in the shops’, retail sales fell by 1.9% year on year, Germany’s unemployment count

German retail data falls by 1.9% year on year, German unemployment falls by unexpected amount, whilst French consumption rises marginally Read More »

Japan retail sales spike before the recent sales tax hike was introduced, German import prices fall by -3.3%

Analysts had expected a circa 13% rise in retail sales in March, due to many consumers bringing forward their purchases in order to avoid the hike in sales tax that the Japanese government introduced from April. However, despite the rush sales still fell short of analysts’ expectations, coming in at 11% up versus predictions of

Japan retail sales spike before the recent sales tax hike was introduced, German import prices fall by -3.3% Read More »