Zahir Shah

The latest GDP figures for the USA could impact on FX markets if analysts and FX traders have overlooked the predictions

On Thursday February 28th, at 13:30pm U.K. time, the latest annualised QoQ Q4 figure for USA GDP growth will be published. According to the Reuters forecast, after they’ve recently polled their panel of leading economists, the headline GDP figure is expected to fall from 3.4% recorded in Q3, to 2.5% for Q4. Such a fall, […]

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Yen and U.S. dollar generate safe haven appeal, as India-Pakistan tensions rise

Japan’s yen and the USA dollar, both rose marginally versus their currency peers during the Sydney-Asian session, as two Indian warplanes were reported to have been shot down by Pakistani forces. This escalation came after India carried out incursions into Pakistan airspace on Tuesday, in order to eliminate what the Indian armed forces believed to

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Euro falls to a 21 month low versus sterling, GBP/USD reaches five month high, USA equity markets tread water

Sterling was the major focal point in the FX markets, during Tuesday’s trading sessions, GBP/USD traded at a high not seen since September 2018, whilst EUR/GBP fell to a low not witnessed since May 2017. The reason for investors’ bullish sentiment regarding sterling, related to Mrs. May, the P.M. of the U.K. making a statement

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Sterling rises versus peers as U.K. looks to delay Brexit, focus turns to the Fed chair Jerome Powell as he prepares to testify in front of the Senate

The U.K. pound rose versus the majority of its peers from late Monday evening until Tuesday morning’s London-European trading session, as rumours circulated regarding a volte-face by the U.K. prime minister. The rumours were two fold, firstly; that Mrs. May had decided to support a delay in Brexit of two months, based on the U.K.

Sterling rises versus peers as U.K. looks to delay Brexit, focus turns to the Fed chair Jerome Powell as he prepares to testify in front of the Senate Read More »

Oil slumps, USA indices continue the China trade rally, yen slips, U.K. Labour Party calls for second referendum vote

Risk on appetite returned to the global markets on Monday, after President Trump agreed to postpone the March 1st deadline, as the introduction date for 25% tariffs, on $200b of Chinese imports. After Chinese markets closed up between 5.5-6.5% on Monday, European equity indices failed to follow Asia’s extreme bullish lead, the FTSE closed up

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Sterling under focus as talks of Brexit delays heighten, Chinese equity markets rally on news Trump has postponed tariffs

Chinese equity market indices, printed fresh yearly highs across the board, during the Sydney-Asian trading sessions, as news that the Trump administration had postponed the 25% tariffs on Chinese imports, filtered through to investors. The Shanghai Composite closed the session up 5.60% and the CSI closed up 6.4%, taking the year to date gains in

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Resolutions to the issues of Brexit and the China-USA trade wars were anticipated this week, but investors’ hopes may be left hanging

Several global political issues, which are having a demonstrable impact on the global economy, could reach their nadirs, during the trading week beginning Sunday February 24th. Namely; Brexit and the China-USA trade/tariff talks. Friday March 1st is the date the Trump administration has previously set as its tariff deadline. Unless an agreement is reached by

Resolutions to the issues of Brexit and the China-USA trade wars were anticipated this week, but investors’ hopes may be left hanging Read More »

Aussie dollar stabilises, U.S. dollar trades in narrow ranges after Thursday’s soft data, sterling susceptible to breaking Brexit news on an daily basis

After plunging by over one percent versus several of its peers during Thursday’s trading sessions, due to certain Chinese ports locking out the delivery of Australia’s coal, the Aussie dollar appeared to have found a capped, sell off level, during the Sydney and Asian session. At 8:50am U.K. time, AUD/USD traded close to flat at

Aussie dollar stabilises, U.S. dollar trades in narrow ranges after Thursday’s soft data, sterling susceptible to breaking Brexit news on an daily basis Read More »

Aussie dollar continues its plunge after Chinese port lockouts, sterling whipsaws in tight ranges as Brexit begins to get critical

The Aussie dollar crashed in value versus its peers during the Sydney and Asian trading sessions, after certain Chinese port authorities began to refuse the entry of Australia’s coal into China. Other than iron ore, coal is Australia’s largest export product, mainly shipped to China and then throughout Asia. Both minerals have provided the foundations

Aussie dollar continues its plunge after Chinese port lockouts, sterling whipsaws in tight ranges as Brexit begins to get critical Read More »

Aussie and Kiwi dollars slump during Asian trading session, sterling strengthens after chancellor Hammond’s comments

In the Sydney trading session the Aussie dollar initially rose versus its main peers, as the latest positive jobs and unemployment data was released. The unemployment rate remained at 5%, the economy added double the amount of jobs forecast at 31.9k, whilst the labour participation rate also grew. As the data was published AUD currency

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