Zahir Shah

Sterling rises on Brexit negotiation optimism, U.S. dollar falls as Chinese trade talks indicate little progress

Market analysts and FX traders were left confused on Tuesday as sterling rose by circa one cent versus the U.S. dollar. The significant move of GBP/USD, by circa 1% during the afternoon’s New York session, crashing the major pair up through the third level of resistance, R3, didn’t appear to be supported by any positive […]

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Focus will turn to the FOMC rate setting minutes on Wednesday evening, for evidence that a dovish monetary policy is developing

At 19:00pm U.K. time, on Wednesday 20th February, the FOMC (the Federal Open Market Committee), will publish the minutes from its January, two day meeting. The culmination of which, saw the FOMC announce that the key interest rate for the USA economy, would remain unchanged at 2.5%, after three rises of 0.25% each, were instigated

Focus will turn to the FOMC rate setting minutes on Wednesday evening, for evidence that a dovish monetary policy is developing Read More »

Yen falls as bank of Japan Governor Kuroda suggest more easing on its way, euro slips as forecasts are predicted to reveal slowing growth

Yen fell versus its major peers during the latter hours of the Asian session and the early part of the morning London trading session. The currency, often regarded as a safe haven, took a hit after the Bank of Japan Governor Mr. Kuroda issued a policy statement suggesting that the BOJ were ready and willing

Yen falls as bank of Japan Governor Kuroda suggest more easing on its way, euro slips as forecasts are predicted to reveal slowing growth Read More »

Sterling rises versus peers as markets expect progress on Brexit talks, China-USA trade talks boosts optimism

The U.K. pound edged up during Monday’s trading sessions, at 21:45pm U.K. time GBP/USD was trading up 0.30%, hovering close to the first level of resistance and recovering from printing three weeks of consecutive losses. At 1.295 the major currency pair is threatening to reclaim the 1.300 handle and 200 DMA, a level not seen

Sterling rises versus peers as markets expect progress on Brexit talks, China-USA trade talks boosts optimism Read More »

Oil reaches a three month high as trade optimism returns, Asian markets are boosted as China-USA talks move to Washington

China’s currency, the yuan, rose in the Asian session trading, as both the USA and Chinese negotiators announced that the trade and tariff discussions which took place in Beijing last week, would now continue in Washington. Investors and FX strategists took this as a positive sign that President Trump may also become involved, in order

Oil reaches a three month high as trade optimism returns, Asian markets are boosted as China-USA talks move to Washington Read More »

Best time to trade in South Africa

The ongoing China-USA trade talks, Japan’s CPI, the FOMC minutes and a raft of PMIs relating to Europe, are the key high impact calendar events to monitor this week

USA equity markets finished with a flourish on Friday February 15th, the DJIA closed up 1.74% and the SPX up 1.09%. The implementation of a national emergency by Trump, to get funding for his Mexico border wall, was not enough to dent market confidence, as optimism developed in the New York trading session, that the

The ongoing China-USA trade talks, Japan’s CPI, the FOMC minutes and a raft of PMIs relating to Europe, are the key high impact calendar events to monitor this week Read More »

Global market sell off gathers steam as China-USA trade talks make little progress and Trump declares national emergency

In an act of pique, due to not receiving funding for the infamous Mexico-USA wall, Trump declared a state of national emergency on Thursday night. The practicalities, if the national emergency comes into force, are straightforward. His govt, his de facto executive, can then take control of national spending, in order to divert funds to

Global market sell off gathers steam as China-USA trade talks make little progress and Trump declares national emergency Read More »

Retail sales crash in the USA, whilst tariff talks with China fail to make breakthrough, causing USA equity indices to give up gains, during the New York session

The latest retail sales data for the USA economy missed the Reuters target by some distance when published. The forecast was for a drop to 0.1%, however, the actual print came in at -1.2% for December, month on month. Analysts and market commentators on channels such as Bloomberg, scrambled around for an explanation; stock market

Retail sales crash in the USA, whilst tariff talks with China fail to make breakthrough, causing USA equity indices to give up gains, during the New York session Read More »

The German economy avoids a technical recession, whilst China’s exports bounce back

Germany’s latest GDP figure for Q4 came in at 0.00%, ahead of the -0.2% recorded for Q3. Two quarters (in series) of negative readings is regarded as a recession. Therefore, Germany’s economy could currently be described as stagnant, despite YoY growth coming in at 0.9%. The reasons for the recent contraction in the economy include:

The German economy avoids a technical recession, whilst China’s exports bounce back Read More »

GBP/USD whipsaws in a wide range, due to Brexit and inflation data, CPI for the USA falls due to lower energy costs

On Wednesday morning, the U.K. statistics agency, the ONS, published its latest data series and snapshot, regarding inflation for the U.K. The headline CPI inflation surprised the economists polled by Reuters, coming in at -0.8% for the month of January. Whilst CPI annually fell to 1.8%, from the 2.1% figure recorded up to December 2018.

GBP/USD whipsaws in a wide range, due to Brexit and inflation data, CPI for the USA falls due to lower energy costs Read More »