November 2013

Hanging tough, how to cope emotionally with that inevitable large drawdown and how we decide what that drawdown should be

One of the most important subjects, that new traders fail to address in their trading plan, is the element of drawdown. There are several reasons for this but we’ll highlight just two. Firstly, it could be that the overt optimism new traders experience, shortly after finding the industry, prevents them from accepting that losses are […]

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US private sector rebounds in November according to Markit Economics, as USA pending home sales fall yet again

According to Markit Economics U.S. private sector activity increased in November after slowing during the previous month, whilst new orders grew at their fastest pace since April 2012. Financial data firm Markit stated that its preliminary composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), a weighted average of its manufacturing and services indexes, rose to 57.1 in November

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Trend trading analysis for the week beginning Sunday November 24th

The coming week’s fundamental policy decisions and high impact news events that could affect sentiment during the week are dominated by housing data from the USA, UK and Australia. Whilst durable sales orders and retail sales from the USA and Germany have the opportunity to surprise. The UK’s latest estimate of GDP is published, whilst

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German business confidence is recovering, with the leading Ifo indicator rebounding above expectations.

The headline Ifo reached 109.3 in November, its highest level since April 2012, rising from 107.4 in October. Both current assessment and expectations improved, with the latter at its highest level since April 2011. Hans-Werner Sinn, president of the Ifo Institute, said: [quote] After falling in October, the Ifo Business Climate Indicator for the German

German business confidence is recovering, with the leading Ifo indicator rebounding above expectations. Read More »

Do the FOMC meeting minutes reveal that the Fed will continue with their highly accommodative quantitative easing programme regardless of economic conditions?

Perhaps the most illuminating comment in the latest FOMC meeting minutes, published late Wednesday evening, was the commitment that; “the Committee today reaffirmed its view that a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy will remain appropriate for a considerable time after the asset purchase program ends”. This appears to suggest that even if (when) the

Do the FOMC meeting minutes reveal that the Fed will continue with their highly accommodative quantitative easing programme regardless of economic conditions? Read More »