September 2013

USA manufacturing appears to have run out of steam, whilst consumer confidence stalls

We highlighted the high impact news events for Tuesday in our ‘Mind The Gap’ section, that could affect sentiment in the afternoon session. The Richmond Fed Manufacturing survey came in below economists expectations; the Fifth District manufacturing activity was little changed in September, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of […]

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“I can’t believe trading is so simple, why has it taken this long for me to figure that out?”

Occam’s Razor suggests that the simplest explanation is usually the right one. Criminologists often use it to determine who’s the most likely suspect in a crime, such as a murder. Doctors ­also use Occam’s Razor every day in order to diagnose a patient’s illness when presented with a set of symptoms. It’s also used in

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empty factory

US PMI published by Markit Economics slumps to a three-month low as new order growth slows sharply

In our weekly trends publication, published on Monday morning every trading week in our Trader’s Corner blog, we mentioned the importance of the rash of PMIs that were published this Monday. The European PMIs for manufacturing and services were, for the most part, positive. However, the USA print provided a mild shock as the PMI

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German electorate returns Merkel to office, whilst Eurozone business activity is at its highest since June 2011

There were two notable observations regarding the German general election; firstly many are classing Chancellor Merkel’s comprehensive victory as a reward for her overall superb management of the European crisis, ensuring that domestically the German electorate didn’t suffer the ravages that so many right-wing leaning mainstream media publications predicted. Secondly, the voter turnout was circa

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Rupee Dives As India Raises Base Interest Rate Whilst Germany Holds General Election This Weekend

Readers will have been aware that over recent months the rupee has come under intense pressure on the foreign exchange markets falling to record lows versus the dollar, whilst the dollar was also losing value versus its major currency peers. The Reserve Bank of India surprised the markets in the overnight/early morning session by announcing

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UK retail sales fall suggesting that the recovery is more fragile than many analysts suggest

We’re not sure if our readers have noticed but there’s always an excuse prepared for failing economic information. The weather is the favourite excuse, particularly were retail data is concerned. If retail sales figures are up it’ll be the sun shining, down and it’s the rain, snow or gales, or the heat wave which has

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BOJ’s Kuroda picks up the QE baton from the Fed, believing that his policy clearly having a positive impact on economy

No sooner had the issue of the FOMC ‘non taper’ been addressed and attention shifted to the overnight/early morning Asian session, in which the BOJ governor stated his belief that the current monetary easing programme the BOJ are engaged in, is having a positive effect in the economy. If that belief is contained to creating

BOJ’s Kuroda picks up the QE baton from the Fed, believing that his policy clearly having a positive impact on economy Read More »