Okthoba 3 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-2714 • Amazwana Off ku-USA FED Udlala Umbukiso noTshela
I-Federal Reserve Bank yaseNew York izoqala ukungabaza amabhange angaphandle ukuze athole imibiko eningilizayo mayelana nokushoda kwezimali kwawo (futhi ngokungaqondile ukukhokhela kwawo) njengoba i-US inyusa ukuqapha kwayo ubungozi benkinga yezikweletu ezinkulu zaseYurophu. Abalawuli ngokusobala babambe izingxoxo ezingakahleleki nababolekisi abakhulu baseYurophu. Imibiko ingase ihlanganise izikweletu ezingaba khona ezifana nokushintshaniswa kwemali yangaphandle kanye nokushintshashintsha okuzenzakalelayo kwekhredithi.
Izimali zemakethe yemali eziphambili zase-US zinciphise ukuchayeka kwazo ezidiphozini zebhange le-eurozone kanye nephepha lezentengiselwano laya ku-$214 billion ngo-August lisuka ku-$391 billion ekupheleni konyaka odlule, ngokusho kwe-JPMorgan Chase & Co. Lezi zimali zilinganisela isikweletu sazo emabhange aseYurophu ngenxa yokukhathazeka. ukuthi izikhungo zezezimali zizolahlekelwa kakhulu uma izwe le-eurozone (noma amazwe) lihluleka. Ukushintshashintsha okuzenzakalelayo kwekhredithi kuvumela abanikazi bamabhondi ukuthi bathenge ukuvikeleka ekulahlekelweni uma okhiphayo ezenzakalela. Izinkontileka zinika umnikazi ilungelo lokubhekana nenani uma umboleki ezenzakalela. Abenzi bomthetho nabalawuli basole ukusetshenziswa kabi kokushintshashintsha okufanayo kanye nokuntuleka kokuveza ulwazi ngokusiza ukubangela inkinga yezezimali yango-2008.
Ukushintshaniswa kohlobo lwemali kuyinkontileka lapho iqembu elithile liboleka uhlobo lwemali olulodwa kolunye, futhi ngesikhathi esifanayo liboleka enye inkampani yesibili. Ukuhwebelana ngokuhwebelana kwamanye amazwe kusetshenziselwa ukukhuphula izimali zakwamanye amazwe ezikhungweni zezimali namakhasimende azo, njengabathumeli bamazwe angaphandle nabathumela kwamanye amazwe kanjalo nabatshalizimali. Izimali kanye nokuphuma kwazo okuhlobene kuyizimakethe ezihweba kakhulu emhlabeni, inzuzo yansuku zonke ifinyelele ku-$4 trillion kusukela ngoSepthemba 2010, iBank for International Settlements ilinganisela.
Ongqongqoshe bezezimali baseYurophu abahlangana eLuxembourg namuhla bacubungula indlela yokuvikela amabhange enkingeni yezikweletu ze-Euroland kanye nendlela yokuthuthukisa isikhwama sokuhlenga esifundeni. Uhulumeni waseGreece ugunyaze ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-6.6 wezinyathelo zokunciphisa izindleko. Izinyathelo ezishiwo ukuphathwa kukaNdunankulu uGeorge Papandreous zisashiya isabelomali sika-2012 esingamaphesenti angu-6.8 we-GDP, siphuthelwe umgomo wamaphesenti angu-6.5 owawubekwe ngaphambilini ne-EU, I-International Monetary Fund kanye ne-European Central Bank, eyaziwa ngokuthi i-troika.
Idola likhombisa amandla avuselelwe
Idola laseMelika lishaye amasheya, amabhondi kanye nempahla okokuqala ngqa kusukela ngoMeyi njengoba abatshalizimali befuna isiphephelo ekukhuleni okuhamba kancane kanye nenkinga yezikweletu ezinkulu zaseYurophu. Imali yaseMelika ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti ayisi-6 ngoSepthemba, ngokusho kweDollar Index. Izinto ezingasetshenzisiwe zikalwa nge-Standard & Poor's GSCI Total Return Index yezimpahla ezingu-24 zishelelezi kumaphesenti angu-12.
Amandla edola angase abonise ukuzethemba komtshali-zimali ekukufanelekeleni isikweletu kwesizwe ngemuva kokuthi i-Standard & Poor's iphuce i-US isilinganiso sayo se-AAA. Imali yaziswa uma iqhathaniswa neshumi nesithupha kozakwabo abahweba kakhulu ngoSepthemba ngenyanga yokuqala eminyakeni engaphezu kwemithathu. Kodwa-ke, kungase kube ukushoda kwedola abatshalizimali abalijahayo ngokungafani nanoma yikuphi kwangempela phezu kokwethenjwa komnotho wase-USA, uma abatshalizimali abakhulu bedinga ukuzithoba futhi bakhishwe idola limele ukukhetha okusobala kakhulu. Ukungaqiniseki okukhona mayelana nenani lomonakalo emkhakheni wamabhange aseYurophu ontekenteke ovela emalini engenzeka ebhange laseGreece kuye kwashukumisela abatshalizimali ukuthi baphephele ezimpahleni eziphephile.
"Esikhathini sobunzima ufuna ukubamba imali ewuketshezi kakhulu ngaphandle," kusho u-Aroop Chatterjee, usomaqhinga wemali e-Barclays Capital Inc. eNew York, engxoxweni yocingo ne-Bloomberg ngoSepthemba 27. Abahwebi balindele idola. ukuqinisa ngokumelene ne-euro, yen, iphawundi, i-Swiss franc ne-peso yaseMexico, kanye namadola ase-Australia, eCanada naseNew Zealand, ngokusho kwedatha ye-Commodity Futures Trading Commission njengoba ihlanganiswe yi-Bloomberg. Idola liqinise amaphesenti angu-0.8 uma liqhathaniswa ne-euro ngesonto eledlule, lanweba ukudlula kwalo ngoSepthemba uma liqhathaniswa nemali yamazwe ayi-17 laya kumaphesenti angu-6.8, okwenza inzuzo yalo ngekota yesithathu yafinyelela kumaphesenti angu-7.7. Idola laseMelika lithokozele amaphesenti angu-0.6 uma liqhathaniswa ne-yen ezinsukwini ezinhlanu eziphele ngoSepthemba 30, lehlisa ukulahlekelwa kwayo kusukela ngoJuni kuya kumaphesenti angu-4.5.
Isithombe semakethe
Ngenkathi izimakethe zase-Asia zamukela izindaba ezinhle mayelana nokuqinisekisa kukahulumeni waseGreece izindaba zokuthi iGreece izogeja (ngebanga elithile) amangqopha-mlando ayenzima kakhulu. Imakethe 'iqembu elicabangayo' kungenzeka kube ukuthi akunakugwemeka ukuthi lesi sigaba esilandelayo sosizo, esisuka cishe ku-8.8 billion wama-euro, singadliwa futhi iGreece ibuyele etafuleni ukuze inanele imibono yabahlaziyi abaningi yokuthi ukwehluleka akunakugwenywa. I-Nikkei ivale ngo-1.78%, i-Hang Seng ivale ngo-4.38% kanti i-CSI ivale ngo-0.26%. I-ASX ivale ngo-2.78%, manje ngo-14.9% yehle unyaka nonyaka futhi inkomba enkulu yase-Thai ivale u-4.88% ukuze yehle cishe ngo-10.56% unyaka nonyaka.
Izimakethe zaseYurophu ziye zawa kakhulu kusukela ekuvuleni, i-STOXX okwamanje iphansi ngo-2.66%, i-FTSE iphansi ngo-2.41%, i-CAC 2.71%, i-DAX iphansi ngo-2.91%. Ikusasa lokulingana kwe-SPX okwamanje lehle ngo-0.36%. I-Brent crude yehle ngo-$92 umphongolo kanti igolide likhuphuka ngo-$33 iounce. I-euro ilinganise ukulahlekelwa kwayo okuningi kusukela ekuseni kakhulu ukuze ibe isicaba uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika futhi ilandele iphethini efanayo uma iqhathaniswa ne-Swissy, yen ne-sterling.
Ukushicilelwa kwedatha okufanele kukhunjulwe ngokuvulwa kwe-NY kanye neseshini
Njengoba ukuvulwa kwase-London kanye neseshini manje isisebenza ngokugcwele yisikhathi sokucabangela ukukhishwa kwedatha okungase kuthinte imizwa ngokuvulwa noma maduze nje ngemva kokuvulwa kwe-NY. Kunezinhlobo ezimbili kuphela ezikhishwe ezibalulekile ezivela e-USA namuhla.
15:00 US - Ukusetshenziswa Kwemali Ezokwakha Agasti
15:00 US - ISM Manufacturing September
Izazi zezomnotho ezaxoxwa yi-Bloomberg zibikezele ushintsho luka--0.20% emalini yokwakha uma kuqhathaniswa nenani langaphambilini elingu--1.30%. Inkomba ye-ISM ingaba inguquko yemizwa uma ibhekwa njengebaluleke kakhulu kuzo zonke izinkomba zokukhiqiza. I-ISM Manufacturing Index inesibopho sokunyakazisa izimakethe, ikakhulukazi lapho izikhathi zokukhula ngokushesha komnotho zisondela ekupheleni komjikelezo wazo. Njengokwejwayelekile ngezinkomba eziningi isibalo 'serubicon' sithathwa njengengama-50, inhlolovo yabahlaziyi ehlanganiswe yi-Bloomberg ibonise isibalo esibikezelwe esingu-50.5. Lokhu kungaphansi kancane kunesibalo senyanga edlule esingu-50.6.
inhlekelele ye-eurozoneindawo yokugcina federaliziphakamiso zemakethe zangaphambili
« Izinyoni Zomdumo Ziyahamba! I-International Rescue (i-IMF) ihlonyelwe futhi ilungele ukwethulwa I-China Iyahleba..bese ISIMEMEZA »
I-USA FED Idlala Umbukiso noTshela
Okthoba 3 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-2714 • Amazwana Off ku-USA FED Udlala Umbukiso noTshela
I-Federal Reserve Bank yaseNew York izoqala ukungabaza amabhange angaphandle ukuze athole imibiko eningilizayo mayelana nokushoda kwezimali kwawo (futhi ngokungaqondile ukukhokhela kwawo) njengoba i-US inyusa ukuqapha kwayo ubungozi benkinga yezikweletu ezinkulu zaseYurophu. Abalawuli ngokusobala babambe izingxoxo ezingakahleleki nababolekisi abakhulu baseYurophu. Imibiko ingase ihlanganise izikweletu ezingaba khona ezifana nokushintshaniswa kwemali yangaphandle kanye nokushintshashintsha okuzenzakalelayo kwekhredithi.
Izimali zemakethe yemali eziphambili zase-US zinciphise ukuchayeka kwazo ezidiphozini zebhange le-eurozone kanye nephepha lezentengiselwano laya ku-$214 billion ngo-August lisuka ku-$391 billion ekupheleni konyaka odlule, ngokusho kwe-JPMorgan Chase & Co. Lezi zimali zilinganisela isikweletu sazo emabhange aseYurophu ngenxa yokukhathazeka. ukuthi izikhungo zezezimali zizolahlekelwa kakhulu uma izwe le-eurozone (noma amazwe) lihluleka. Ukushintshashintsha okuzenzakalelayo kwekhredithi kuvumela abanikazi bamabhondi ukuthi bathenge ukuvikeleka ekulahlekelweni uma okhiphayo ezenzakalela. Izinkontileka zinika umnikazi ilungelo lokubhekana nenani uma umboleki ezenzakalela. Abenzi bomthetho nabalawuli basole ukusetshenziswa kabi kokushintshashintsha okufanayo kanye nokuntuleka kokuveza ulwazi ngokusiza ukubangela inkinga yezezimali yango-2008.
Ukushintshaniswa kohlobo lwemali kuyinkontileka lapho iqembu elithile liboleka uhlobo lwemali olulodwa kolunye, futhi ngesikhathi esifanayo liboleka enye inkampani yesibili. Ukuhwebelana ngokuhwebelana kwamanye amazwe kusetshenziselwa ukukhuphula izimali zakwamanye amazwe ezikhungweni zezimali namakhasimende azo, njengabathumeli bamazwe angaphandle nabathumela kwamanye amazwe kanjalo nabatshalizimali. Izimali kanye nokuphuma kwazo okuhlobene kuyizimakethe ezihweba kakhulu emhlabeni, inzuzo yansuku zonke ifinyelele ku-$4 trillion kusukela ngoSepthemba 2010, iBank for International Settlements ilinganisela.
Ongqongqoshe bezezimali baseYurophu abahlangana eLuxembourg namuhla bacubungula indlela yokuvikela amabhange enkingeni yezikweletu ze-Euroland kanye nendlela yokuthuthukisa isikhwama sokuhlenga esifundeni. Uhulumeni waseGreece ugunyaze ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-6.6 wezinyathelo zokunciphisa izindleko. Izinyathelo ezishiwo ukuphathwa kukaNdunankulu uGeorge Papandreous zisashiya isabelomali sika-2012 esingamaphesenti angu-6.8 we-GDP, siphuthelwe umgomo wamaphesenti angu-6.5 owawubekwe ngaphambilini ne-EU, I-International Monetary Fund kanye ne-European Central Bank, eyaziwa ngokuthi i-troika.
Idola likhombisa amandla avuselelwe
Idola laseMelika lishaye amasheya, amabhondi kanye nempahla okokuqala ngqa kusukela ngoMeyi njengoba abatshalizimali befuna isiphephelo ekukhuleni okuhamba kancane kanye nenkinga yezikweletu ezinkulu zaseYurophu. Imali yaseMelika ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti ayisi-6 ngoSepthemba, ngokusho kweDollar Index. Izinto ezingasetshenzisiwe zikalwa nge-Standard & Poor's GSCI Total Return Index yezimpahla ezingu-24 zishelelezi kumaphesenti angu-12.
Amandla edola angase abonise ukuzethemba komtshali-zimali ekukufanelekeleni isikweletu kwesizwe ngemuva kokuthi i-Standard & Poor's iphuce i-US isilinganiso sayo se-AAA. Imali yaziswa uma iqhathaniswa neshumi nesithupha kozakwabo abahweba kakhulu ngoSepthemba ngenyanga yokuqala eminyakeni engaphezu kwemithathu. Kodwa-ke, kungase kube ukushoda kwedola abatshalizimali abalijahayo ngokungafani nanoma yikuphi kwangempela phezu kokwethenjwa komnotho wase-USA, uma abatshalizimali abakhulu bedinga ukuzithoba futhi bakhishwe idola limele ukukhetha okusobala kakhulu. Ukungaqiniseki okukhona mayelana nenani lomonakalo emkhakheni wamabhange aseYurophu ontekenteke ovela emalini engenzeka ebhange laseGreece kuye kwashukumisela abatshalizimali ukuthi baphephele ezimpahleni eziphephile.
"Esikhathini sobunzima ufuna ukubamba imali ewuketshezi kakhulu ngaphandle," kusho u-Aroop Chatterjee, usomaqhinga wemali e-Barclays Capital Inc. eNew York, engxoxweni yocingo ne-Bloomberg ngoSepthemba 27. Abahwebi balindele idola. ukuqinisa ngokumelene ne-euro, yen, iphawundi, i-Swiss franc ne-peso yaseMexico, kanye namadola ase-Australia, eCanada naseNew Zealand, ngokusho kwedatha ye-Commodity Futures Trading Commission njengoba ihlanganiswe yi-Bloomberg. Idola liqinise amaphesenti angu-0.8 uma liqhathaniswa ne-euro ngesonto eledlule, lanweba ukudlula kwalo ngoSepthemba uma liqhathaniswa nemali yamazwe ayi-17 laya kumaphesenti angu-6.8, okwenza inzuzo yalo ngekota yesithathu yafinyelela kumaphesenti angu-7.7. Idola laseMelika lithokozele amaphesenti angu-0.6 uma liqhathaniswa ne-yen ezinsukwini ezinhlanu eziphele ngoSepthemba 30, lehlisa ukulahlekelwa kwayo kusukela ngoJuni kuya kumaphesenti angu-4.5.
Isithombe semakethe
Ngenkathi izimakethe zase-Asia zamukela izindaba ezinhle mayelana nokuqinisekisa kukahulumeni waseGreece izindaba zokuthi iGreece izogeja (ngebanga elithile) amangqopha-mlando ayenzima kakhulu. Imakethe 'iqembu elicabangayo' kungenzeka kube ukuthi akunakugwemeka ukuthi lesi sigaba esilandelayo sosizo, esisuka cishe ku-8.8 billion wama-euro, singadliwa futhi iGreece ibuyele etafuleni ukuze inanele imibono yabahlaziyi abaningi yokuthi ukwehluleka akunakugwenywa. I-Nikkei ivale ngo-1.78%, i-Hang Seng ivale ngo-4.38% kanti i-CSI ivale ngo-0.26%. I-ASX ivale ngo-2.78%, manje ngo-14.9% yehle unyaka nonyaka futhi inkomba enkulu yase-Thai ivale u-4.88% ukuze yehle cishe ngo-10.56% unyaka nonyaka.
Izimakethe zaseYurophu ziye zawa kakhulu kusukela ekuvuleni, i-STOXX okwamanje iphansi ngo-2.66%, i-FTSE iphansi ngo-2.41%, i-CAC 2.71%, i-DAX iphansi ngo-2.91%. Ikusasa lokulingana kwe-SPX okwamanje lehle ngo-0.36%. I-Brent crude yehle ngo-$92 umphongolo kanti igolide likhuphuka ngo-$33 iounce. I-euro ilinganise ukulahlekelwa kwayo okuningi kusukela ekuseni kakhulu ukuze ibe isicaba uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika futhi ilandele iphethini efanayo uma iqhathaniswa ne-Swissy, yen ne-sterling.
Ukushicilelwa kwedatha okufanele kukhunjulwe ngokuvulwa kwe-NY kanye neseshini
Njengoba ukuvulwa kwase-London kanye neseshini manje isisebenza ngokugcwele yisikhathi sokucabangela ukukhishwa kwedatha okungase kuthinte imizwa ngokuvulwa noma maduze nje ngemva kokuvulwa kwe-NY. Kunezinhlobo ezimbili kuphela ezikhishwe ezibalulekile ezivela e-USA namuhla.
15:00 US - Ukusetshenziswa Kwemali Ezokwakha Agasti
15:00 US - ISM Manufacturing September
Izazi zezomnotho ezaxoxwa yi-Bloomberg zibikezele ushintsho luka--0.20% emalini yokwakha uma kuqhathaniswa nenani langaphambilini elingu--1.30%. Inkomba ye-ISM ingaba inguquko yemizwa uma ibhekwa njengebaluleke kakhulu kuzo zonke izinkomba zokukhiqiza. I-ISM Manufacturing Index inesibopho sokunyakazisa izimakethe, ikakhulukazi lapho izikhathi zokukhula ngokushesha komnotho zisondela ekupheleni komjikelezo wazo. Njengokwejwayelekile ngezinkomba eziningi isibalo 'serubicon' sithathwa njengengama-50, inhlolovo yabahlaziyi ehlanganiswe yi-Bloomberg ibonise isibalo esibikezelwe esingu-50.5. Lokhu kungaphansi kancane kunesibalo senyanga edlule esingu-50.6.
inhlekelele ye-eurozoneindawo yokugcina federaliziphakamiso zemakethe zangaphambili
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