I-China Iyahleba..bese ISIMEMEZA
Isikhungo sezindaba esisemthethweni saseChina, iXinhua, siyihleke imizamo yabenzi bomthetho baseMelika yokucindezela iBeijing ngenqubomgomo yayo yemali egcizelela ukuthi i-USA ilawule. iphendukela ekujikiseni icala eChina ngenxa yokuntenga komnotho wasekhaya. "Lokhu sekuwumkhuba ojwayelekile, noma nini lapho umnotho (wase-U.S.) uhamba kancane, noma nini lapho ukhetho lusondela, amazwi e-United States acindezela ukukhuphuka kwe-renminbi aphela." – Xinhua.
Lesi sitatimende siza ngaphambi kosuku ngaphambi kokuthi iSigele saseMelika sithathe isinqumo sokuthatha umthetho ongavumela izinkampani zase-USA ukuthi zifunele intela emazweni aphethwe yi-USA. ibheka ukuthi inezinhlobo zemali ezingabalulekile, ergo uxhaso olungalungile. Abenzi bomthetho baseMelika baphikisa ngokuthi i-China ibukela phansi i-Yuan ngamaphesenti angama-25 kuye kwangama-40, inika imikhiqizo yaseShayina inzuzo engafanele yokuncintisana ezimakethe zomhlaba.
"Umncintiswano wokhetho lukamongameli wase-US usukhulile, futhi izinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-yuan manje selibhekwe futhi," kusho umhlaziyi weXinhua, ephetha ngokuthi "imibono yabameli bomthethosivivinywa we-yuan ifanelekile futhi ayijulile." I-Beijing inxusa kaningi abenzi bezomthetho baseMelika ukuthi "bangafaki ipolitiki" umehluko wezindlela zokushintshisana zaseChina ngokuphasisa umthethosivivinywa.
Ibhange eliphakathi laseChina liqophe amaphuzu aphezulu e-yuan/dollar amaphakathi nonyaka ukuze liqondise ukukhuphuka kwe-yuan ukusiza ukulwa nokwehla kwamandla emali nokunciphisa ukuthembela komnotho ekuthengisweni kwamanye amazwe. NgoSepthemba i-yuan yaba buthaka kancane. I-yuan ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-3.19 uma iqhathaniswa nedola kusukela ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka kanye namaphesenti angu-6.89 kusukela ingazange inqanyulwe edolani ngoJuni 2010.
Amazwe ase-Europe kumele athathe isinyathelo esiwujuqu ukuze axazulule inkinga yezikweletu ze-euro, noma amazwe angamalungu asengozini ephoqelelwe ukuphuma emalini eyodwa, kusho iphephandaba laseChina ekhasini lokuqala. Lolu cingo luvele oshicilelweni lwaphesheya kwezilwandle lwePeople’s Daily, iphepha elisemthethweni leQembu lamaKhomanisi elibusayo eligcizelela ukukhathazeka kweBeijing mayelana nokuphepha kokutshalwa kwezimali kwayo endaweni ye-euro.
IYurophu ime esigabeni esibalulekile emlandweni wayo. Kumelwe ibonise ukuhlakanipha okukhulu, isibindi esikhulu nokuzimisela okukhulu, futhi ingene esenzweni ngobuqotho. Uma ikwazi ukusungula inyunyana yezimali, i-Europe isengakwazi ukuguqula inhlanhla yayo. Uma isinqumo sifika sekwephuze kakhulu, amanye amalungu (ama-euro) angaphoqeleka ukuthi ahoxe. Kepha uma iYurophu igcina i-dilly-dallying, isimo singaba sibi kakhulu futhi siqoqe isivinini. Abangaphandle abafuna ukusiza ngeke balokothe, futhi indawo ye-euro ingase ihlakazeke ngempela. Ngaphandle kokungabaza, lokhu kungaba inhlekelele enkulu eYurophu nasemhlabeni. Ukushiya eceleni ukuthi lolo hlelo lungakhanyiswa kangakanani, imizamo yaseYurophu yokulubeka ibe buvila kakhulu. Ukwehluleka ukuthatha isinyathelo ngesikhathi okufanele ngokuqinisekile kuzodala inkinga eyengeziwe, futhi izinkinga ze-euro zone manje ziya ngokuya ziba zinkulu.
Inqwaba yaseShayina ka-$3.2 trillion ezinqolobaneni zokuhwebelana zangaphandle, enkulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni, iyaqhubeka nokukhula ngenxa yemali enqwabelene yohwebo kanye nokungena kwemali enkulu. Abahlaziyi balinganisela ukuthi i-China iphethe cishe. ingxenye yesine yokuhwebelana kwayo kwamanye amazwe ezimpahleni ze-euro, kunezindawo ezilinganiselwe lapho ingapaka khona ukutshalwa kwezimali kwesikali esinjalo.
Umsebenzi wasefekthri waseChina ukhule ngoSepthemba inyanga yesibili ilandelana njengoba ama-oda okuthunyelwa ngaphandle ayeqina. Inkomba yabaphathi bokuthenga esemthethweni ibonise ukuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali kwehle kancane. I-PMI yaseChina ikhuphuke yafinyelela ku-51.2 isuka ku-50.9 ka-Agasti. Inkomba yama-oda okuthunyelwa ngaphandle ibuye yafinyelela ku-50.9 isuka ku-48.3 ngo-Agasti, okwakuyizinyanga ezingama-28 eziphansi. Uphawu lwamaphuzu angu-50 luwumugqa ohlukanisayo phakathi kokunwetshwa nokufinyezwa. I-People's Bank of China ikuqinisekisile ngoLwesihlanu ukuthi izogcina izimo zezimali ziqinile emzamweni wayo wokuqinisa ukwehla kwamandla emali okunenkani, yengeza ngokuthi ukuqukatha ingcindezi yentengo yasekhaya kusalokhu kuseqhulwini.
U-Zhang Liqun, umcwaningi we-Development Research Centre, i-tank-tank ngaphansi kwekhabhinethi yase-China - "Ukwenyuka okuncane ngo-September PMI kubonisa amathuba akhulayo wokuthi ukwehla kokukhula komnotho kuzinza. Kodwa-ke, uma kubhekwa zonke izici, kusengenzeka ukuthi umnotho uqhubeke nokuhamba kancane. Amafemu amancane abhekene nobunzima obuningi njengamanje”.
AmaGreki awasenazo izipho zokuthwala..
Umnotho waseGreece ubikezelwa ukuthi uzoncipha ngamaphesenti angama-5.5 kulo nyaka, ngaphezu kwesibikezelo se-EU ne-IMF esingamaphesenti angama-3.8. IKhabhinethi yaseGreece igcine iluvumile uhlelo lwangeSonto kusihlwa lokudiliza abasebenzi bakahulumeni, futhi basayine uhlaka lwesabelomali sangonyaka ozayo, emjahweni wokuqeda ukuqothuka. Ngaphandle kokukhishwa kwesigaba esilandelayo sama-Euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-8 sosizo lwe-EU i-Greece izophelelwa yimali yokukhokha izikweletu zamaholo kahulumeni zingakapheli izinsuku eziyisikhombisa. Izikhulu zase-Europe zilangazelela ukugwema ukwehluleka kwe-Greek, okungalimaza ama-balance sheets amabhange aseYurophu, kulimaze amathuba emali eyodwa ye-euro futhi kufake umhlaba enkingeni entsha yezimali emhlabeni jikelele.
Izingxoxo ezivela ku-International Monetary Fund, i-European Union kanye ne-European Central Bank, eyaziwa ngokuthi i-troika, bebelokhu behlanganisa isabelomali saseGreece kanye nezinhlelo zokuguqula kusukela ngoLwesine. Kulindeleke ukuthi abahloli bavumelane nokukhululwa kwalolu sizo. Izikhulu ze-EU ziphakamise ukuthi amabhange avumile ukucisha amaphesenti angama-21 yenani lesikweletu saseGreece ngoJulayi angase aphoqeleke ukuthi athathe ubuhlungu obukhulu nakakhulu.
Uhulumeni uhlela ukuqala ukudiliza abasebenzi ngokufaka abasebenzi abangama-30,000 “endaweni yabasebenzi” ekupheleni kwalo nyaka. Babezokhokhelwa amaphesenti angu-60 emiholo yabo unyaka, ngemva kwalokho baxoshwe. Kodwa uhulumeni akakasho ukuthi lolu hlelo luzosebenza kanjani. Uma iningi labasebenzi abafakwe kulesi siqiwi sebesondele eminyakeni yempesheni futhi bahlela ukuthatha umhlalaphansi maduze nje, imali eyongiwe izoba yincane futhi abahloli bangase bangahlabeki umxhwele. Ukuvakasha kokuhlola, okulindeleke ukuthi kuqhubeke phakathi naleli sonto, kuphinde kugxile ezinhlelweni zesabelomali zika-2012-2014, ukuzibophezela kokuqongelela ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-50 kusukela ekuhwebeni kwangasese ngo-2015 kanye nezidingo zokuvula umnotho wezwe olawulwa ngokweqile.
I-ECB ibe lula ngobuningi?
I-ECB ayinawo umlando wokudala imali ngokuthengwa kwempahla futhi ayikaze ivulekele inqubomgomo njengoba igunya layo liwukugcina izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali lilawula. Ekuphakameni kwezinxushunxushu zango-2008 okusondele kakhulu ibhange ukuya ekuncipheni komthamo kwaba ukuthengwa kwamabhondi ahlanganisiwe. Inkinga yezikweletu zendawo ye-euro isifinyelele ezingeni elibucayi izimakethe eziqagela ngayo maqondana ne-ECB QE. Imithetho ye-ECB iyayivumela ukuthi ithenge noma iyiphi impahla ngaphandle kwesikweletu esizimele ngokuqondile kohulumeni. Izisombululo ezitholakala kohulumeni, njengamabhondi ezindawo ze-euro ezivamile, zingabhekana nezinselelo ezinde zomthethosisekelo futhi zingahle zingenakulungiseka ngokwepolitiki.
I-ECB ibeke umthwalo kohulumeni begcizelela ukuthi isixazululo sale nkinga yinqubomgomo yezimali enesibopho nezinhlaka zezimali. Sekuvele kurekhodiwe ukuthi ayisoze yaqala i-QE eqondile futhi ayinazimpawu zokushintsha lowo mbono. Ukudala isamba esikhulu semali entsha ngesikhathi lapho ukwehla kwamandla emali sekuvele kungaphezu kwamaphesenti amabili okuhlosiwe kwebhange (amaphesenti amathathu njengamanje) kungaba ukuphikisa kweminyaka eyishumi yokulawula ngokucophelela amanani. Kodwa abanye abahlaziyi bayaxoxa ngokuthi kungenziwa kanjani.
I-ECB yachitha ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-60 kumabhondi ahlanganisiwe ahlobene ne-mortgage ohlelweni lonyaka owodwa olwaqalwa ngoJuni 2009. Imibiko yabezindaba isanda kuphakamisa ukuthi bangakwenza lokho futhi, kodwa ukuze bakwazi ukukhulula ingxenye enkulu yemali okuzodingeka bayikhiphe. cabanga ukuthenga izimpahla eziwuketshezi ezengeziwe. Yize ukuthenga amabhondi ezinkampani noma izabelo kungadala ushintsho olukhulu emizweni yemakethe futhi kukhuthaze ukukhula, kungase kungayi emnyombweni wenkinga, ohulumeni ababhekene nengcindezi ekhulayo yoxhaso njengoba inkinga ibhebhetheka.
Izinkomba zokuhweba zakuqala
Idola laseMelika selithuthuke kakhulu uma liqhathaniswa ne-euro, lanweba izinzuzo zangesonto eledlule phakathi nokukhathazeka ngokwehla komnotho emhlabeni jikelele. Idola likhuphuke lafinyelela ekuqaleni kokuhweba kwe-Asia-Pacific lisuka ku-$1.338 ekupheleni kwesonto eledlule eNew York, lakhuphuka lafinyelela kumayen angama-77.16 lisuka ku-yen angama-77.06. Idola lase-USA lishintshile kancane uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseNew Zealand laya ku-76.10 cents lisuka ku-76.14 cents lathenga amasenti angu-96.62 ngedola lase-Australia lisuka ku-96.62 cents. Idola kanye ne-yen kuqiniswe ngesonto eledlule njengobufakazi obukhulayo bokuthi umnotho womhlaba unciphisa isidingo sabatshalizimali esithuthukisiwe sezinhlobo zemali ezibhekwa njengeziphephe kakhulu. I-Brent crude yehle nge-circa $122 umgqomo osondela kumgoqo we-psychological 100 ngokungangabazeki kwakuyizitobhi eziningi nezikhindi ziyadonsa.
Izinkomba zezomnotho
09:00 Eurozone - PMI Manufacturing September
09:30 UK - PMI Manufacturing September
Ukushicilelwa kwedatha yasekuseni okungase kuthinte imizwa yemakethe kufaka phakathi ama-PMI ase-Europe nase-UK. Lezi zinhlolovo zinikeza umbono wempilo iyonke yesimo somnotho njengoba izibalo zivame ukufana nesimo somnotho sisonke. I-PMI ephezulu ikhombisa ukwanda kwezinto ezithengiwe kanti isibalo esingaphezu kwama-50 sibonisa izimo zebhizinisi ezinhle. Okulindelwe yi-Bloomberg ku-Eurozone ku-48.4 kanti e-UK okulindelekile kungu-48.5 ukwehla kwe-0.5%.
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