I-Sterling whipsaws ebangeni eliqhathaniswa nontanga, njengoba isivumelwano esisha seBrexit sinikezwa ngundunankulu uMay ePhalamende, izinkomba zokulingana zaseMelika zikhuphuka njengoba impi yezohwebo isaba ukwehla.
Undunankulu wase-UK wethule inkulumo, wanikela ePhalamende isivumelwano esisha sokuhoxa (WA) ngoLwesibili. Inkulumo lapho athembisa khona ukuthuthuka okuhlukahlukene, ukuthola isivumelwano ngeNdlu Yeminyango ngokuvota, esontweni lokuqala ngoJuni. Isici esimangalisa kakhulu sokunikezwa okubukeziwe, sibandakanya ithuba lokuba nenhlolovo yesibili kwi-WA, uma isivumelwano sakhe savotelwa. Njengenhlanganisela engalingani ye-blackmail, embozwe ngegatsha lomnqumo elibunile, ukugembula kwakhe kwehluleka ngokumangazayo. Ngokushesha nje lapho inkulumo yakhe evusa amadlingozi, egcwele umthwalo wenkanuko yamanga, yawa phansi ngobuso futhi iningi lamalungu ePhalamende lakhe laseTory lamvukela. Cishe wonke amalungu ePhalamende (avela kuzo zonke izinhlangano) akugxekile ukusebenzisa kwakhe amathuba ngokunganaki nokunganaki kokugcina kwedayisi, ngaphambi kokuthi ayeke ukukhohlisa ngoJulayi.
Kubahlaziyi be-FX nabahwebi, indlela yokuziphatha okuhle ngesikhathi sesikhathi santambama, bekungubufakazi futhi (uma kudingeka) bokuthi imicimbi iqhuba izimakethe zethu nokuthi izimakethe zeFX zisabela kanjani futhi azibikezeli. I-GBP / USD ibonise incwadi yombhalo, isenzo sentengo yokuthenga, ebangeni elibanzi kakhulu, ngesikhathi sokuhweba ntambama. Ngamahora okuqala eseshini yokuhweba yaseLondon naseYurophu, intengo ibisinciphise nge-S2, ukuphrinta inani eliphansi nsuku zonke elingu-1.268. Intengo yahlala iphethini yesenzo senani, kuze kube uNkk May wethula inkulumo yakhe.
Njengoba izindaba ziqhamuka mayelana nesiphakamiso sakhe sesibili sereferendamu, ababambiqhaza bezimakethe zeFX bafaka ngokushesha inani le-sterling, bekholelwa ukuthi ukuhlala e-EU manje kungenzeka. I-GBP / USD iguqule isimo ngendlela enobudlova futhi yephula i-R3, inyuka ngo-0.70%, ukuphrinta ukuphakama kwansuku zonke okungu-1.281, kungakapheli isilinganiso semizuzu emihlanu, ngemuva kokusakazwa kwesicelo sayo. Kodwa-ke, njengoba ukusabela kwamaPhalamende kulokhu kunikezwa kusheshe kwehla, i-GBP / USD iyeke ukuzuza kosuku ukuguqula inkombandlela kwathi ngo-20: 40 ntambama isikhathi sase-UK ngoLwesibili, laba babili abathengisa ngo-1.270, eduze kuka-S1 naphansi -0.20% ku usuku. Ngokwemvelo, lo mcimbi wezindaba ubusa izwe lezomnotho / lezombusazwe lase-UK.
Kodwa-ke, bekunezindaba eziningi ezingezinhle ezikhomba isimo esiyingozi somnotho wase-UK, ekuholeni kweBrexit, okusize ukucacisa ukuqondiswa kwezinga eliphakeme ngaphambi kwenkulumo kaMeyi. IBritish Steel esanda kubizwa kabusha, izimpahla zayo (ngaphandle kwezikweletu zempesheni) zathengwa yisikhwama seHedge esikhwameni esivela kuTATA ngezimali zikahulumeni wase-UK, sidinga ulayini wokuvikela imali engu- £ 120m kuhulumeni wase-UK ngesonto eledlule kwathi ngoLwesibili abanikazi bafuna enye imali engu- £ 30m. Uma inkokhelo ibingatholakali ngoLwesibili kusihlwa, isabise ngokuvala izitshalo, ngokulahleka okuphelele kwemisebenzi engaba ngu-25,000. Uxhaxha lokudlela, obeluphambi kukasaziwayo opheke uJamie Oliver, luhambe phambili ngoLwesibili, ngokulahleka kwemisebenzi engaba ngu-1,500 90 kanye nezikweletu ezingama- £ 10m. Futhi inhlolovo yokuthengwa / yoku-oda kwe-CBI ithumele ukuphazamiseka okungu-5 ngoMeyi, kuqhathaniswa nokubikezela kweReuters kwe - XNUMX, okufundwa okuphansi kakhulu okuphrintiwe kusukela enkathini Enkulu Yokwehla Komnotho.
NgoLwesibili bekuwusuku oluthule ngokwanele lwemicimbi yezindaba zekhalenda lezomnotho ezivela e-USA, kwashicilelwa imininingwane ekhona yokuthengisa ekhaya; ukufundwa kuphuthelwe isibikezelo sokunyuka kwama-2.7%, eza ngo -0.4% ngenyanga ngenyanga ka-Ephreli. Idola laseMelika lithumele inzuzo uma iqhathaniswa neningi lontanga bayo ngesikhathi sokuhweba sangoLwesibili, ngenkathi izinkomba zezimakethe zezimali zaseMelika zivaliwe ngosuku. Ingozi yemizwelo yakhuthazwa ngenxa yokushoda kwezinkulumo ezisakazwayo, maqondana nempi yezohwebo, i-USA iye yafuna neChina. IHuawei yethule uchungechunge lwayo lwakamuva nolusezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu lweHonor 20 lama-smartphones ngoLwesibili; ngokusobala ifana ne-iPhone yakamuva, kepha ngaphansi kwengxenye yentengo. Ngokusobala, ukufakwa ohlwini olunqatshelwe izolo nguTrump, bekungeyona into eyenzeka ngesikhathi.
Ngo-21: 00 ekuseni isikhathi sase-UK ngoLwesibili, inkomba yedola, i-DXY, ithengise ngo-0.14% igcina isikhundla ngaphezu kwesibambo esingu-98.00 ku-98.04. I-USD / JPY ithengise ngo-0.46% ngo-110.56, njengoba isikhalazo esiphephile se-yen sinciphile, i-USD / CHF ithengise ngo-0.30% ngesizathu esifanayo. I-EUR / USD ithengiswe eduze kwefulethi, yehla ngo-0.06% ngo-1.116, ukuwa okusemaphethelweni kukweleta kakhulu amandla e-USD ngalolo suku, ngokungafani nobuthakathaka be-euro, okufakazelwa yimali eyodwa ye-bloc ebhalisa izinzuzo ngokuqhathaniswa neningi lontanga yalo ngosuku; I-EUR / GBP ithengise ngo-0.18% ngo-0.878, okuyizinga eliphakeme kakhulu elithunyelwe kusukela maphakathi noFebhuwari. I-SPX ivale u-0.86% kwathi i-tech NASDAQ esindayo yavala i-1.03%.
NgoLwesithathu usuku olumatasa ngemicimbi yekhalenda lezomnotho kanye nokukhishwa kwedatha, okumele abathengisi beFX bahlale bekuqaphele. Ngo-8: 30 ekuseni isikhathi sase-UK, uMario Draghi, uMongameli we-ECB, wethula inkulumo eFrankfurt, okuqukethwe okungahlukahluka kakhulu, ngokuya ngezinsongo nezingcindezi ezahlukahlukene esifundeni se-EZ njengamanje. Ngemuva kwalokho, ngo-9: 30 ekuseni, kushicilelwa uchungechunge lwakamuva lwemininingwane ye-inflation yase-UK. Lokhu okulindelwe, ngokususelwa kusibikezelo seReuters, kukhuphuka kokufundwa kwe-CPI yase-UK ngonyaka kuya ku-2.2% ngo-Ephreli, kusuka ku-1.9% ngoMashi. I-CPI ka-Ephreli ilinganiselwa ku-0.7% ngenyanga eyodwa, ngaphezulu kakhulu kwebanga elijwayelekile lenyanga lika-0.00-0.02%, elibhaliselwe i-UK eminyakeni edlule. AbakwaSterling bangasabela ekufundweni uma ukubikezela kuhlangatshezwa, uma abahlaziyi nabathengisi beFX bethi iBoE kungenzeka ikhuphule inani lenzalo elisisisekelo lisuke ku-0.75%, ngaphambi kwalokho obekulindelwe ngaphambili. Izibalo ezahlukahlukene zokubolekwa kukahulumeni e-UK nazo zizoshicilelwa yi-ONS, kulindeleke ukuthi kukhuphuke okukhulu ekubolekeni.
Kamuva kusihlwa, ngo-19: 00 pm isikhathi sase-UK, kuzoshicilelwa imizuzu evela emhlanganweni wakamuva, kaMeyi 1, wenqubomgomo yezimali ye-FOMC nomhlangano wokubeka amazinga. Umcimbi ongahambisa inani le-USD, uma ukulandisa okukulo mbhalo kuqukethe noma ikuphi ukumangala, okufana nokuthi; noma yikuphi ukuholwa phambili okubonisa ukuguqulwa kwenqubomgomo yezimali, kusuka ku-dovish kuya ku-hawkish.
« Ukwakha isu elilula le-FX lokuhweba, kancane kancane futhi ngokuqinisekile, ucezu ngalunye. I-Yen ibhalisa ukuzuza okuthe xaxa uma kuqhathaniswa nontanga njengoba imininingwane yezohwebo ikhombisa ukuthuthuka, iSterling iyaqhubeka nokuwa kwayo okuhlobene neBrexit, ngenkathi abatshalizimali belinde imizuzu yomhlangano we-FOMC. »
