Meyi 21 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-3381 • Amazwana Off ekwakheni isu elilula le-FX lokuhweba, kancane kancane futhi ngokuqinisekile, ucezu ngalunye.
Sebenzisa izinkundla zokuhweba ezithandwa kakhulu futhi ezigabeni ezibhalwe ukuthi “amasu okuhweba”, uzobona izinkulungwane zezikhala, ngamalungu ngamanye, aqinisekile ukuthi athole umngcele wokuhweba. Yikuphi abanesiqiniseko sokuthi bangakusebenzisa kaninginingi; iseshini ngeseshini, usuku nosuku, ukukhipha inzuzo ezimakethe zeFX. Isiphetho semvelo abathengisi abaningi abazosifinyelela, ukuthi iningi lalezi zindlela / amasu alikwazi ukuzuza ngokungaguquguquki. Ukube bekunjalo, khona-ke imakethe yeFX ibizokhishwa isikweletu ngokushesha okukhulu, kuze kuyeke ukuba khona.
Ngaphakathi kwamasu amaningi afakwe kuhlu, amanye ayinkimbinkimbi ngendlela exakayo kangangokuba akunakwenzeka ukuwatolika, noma ukuwasebenzisa ngendlela ephathekayo. Uzobona inhlanganisela ye: izinkomba zobuchwepheshe, ezomhlaba ezihambayo, amazinga ahlukahlukene, nezilungiselelo eziningi ezijwayelekile ezilungisiwe ukwethula ukufundwa okwenziwe ngokwezifiso kakhulu. Abathengisi abaningi bacwile kulo msebenzi kangangokuba balahlekelwe umbono wenhloso yabo elula; kufanele ngabe ufuna indlela ekuvumela ukuthi ulandele intengo, okungenzeka ikunikeze ithuba elifanele lokubikezela; “Kwenzekani ngokulandelayo?”
Leyo nkulumo; “Kwenzekani ngokulandelayo?” ingenye yemiqondo enganakwa kakhulu maqondana nokuhweba. Futhi uma weqa ukuhweba ngento yalo eyisisekelo, lowo ngumsebenzi wakho oyinhloko; ukuzama ukuthola indlela ethembekile, enamathuba athuthukisiwe okukhombisa okuzovela, kuleso sikhala esingenalutho, kusayizi wesandla sokudla wamashadi akho.
Le nselelo ngeke isizwe ngokusebenzisa inkomba ngemuva kwenkomba, kuze kube yilapho amashadi akho ekhanya njengokuboniswa komlilo, ngesikhathi somkhosi kaJulayi 4. Eqinisweni, usethubeni elikhulu lokudideka futhi wehliswe ekufuneni kwakho isu lokuhweba elinokwethenjelwa, uma amashadi akho ephelile futhi eminyene nezinkomba ezingahambelani, lokho kukhombisa ukuthi intengo ibivele iqhubeka hhayi lapho ibheke khona . Okuyinto ongayibona ngokusebenzisa igrafu yomugqa elula, ekhombisa indlela eyisisekelo kunazo zonke yesenzo sentengo.
Kukhona iqiniso elilodwa elingenakuphikwa maqondana nokuhweba, abathengisi abasha kakhulu abangalulekwa ukuthi baqhubeke bazikhumbuza ngalo; akekho noyedwa owake wathola noma wasungula, i-100% indlela yokufakazela izinhlamvu namasu okuhweba, ezohlala njalo ibikezela ukuthi kwenzekani ngokulandelayo. Noma ngabe abahlaziyi abadumile kanye nezibalo emuva kuma-70's, njengoWelles Wilder noChuck Le Beau, noma abahlaziyi bezinombolo zosuku lwanamuhla. Izinkampani ezinkulu eziphumelelayo zokuhweba ze-HFT njenge: Virtu, Jump kanye ne Renaissance Technologies, azikaze ziqhekeze ikhodi ethile engaqondakali ukubenza bakwazi ukuvuna inzuzo ngokuthanda kwabo, bathembele kulokhu: ukukhanyisa isivinini esisheshayo ukufika ezimakethe, indawo eseduze kakhulu nezimakethe futhi inzuzo yabo encane iqongelela futhi ihlanganise, ukuze kukhiqizwe ukubuya kwabo kwezinkanyezi.
Futhi bayakuqonda, njengokuqina nezicelo abazisebenzisayo, ukuthi ubungozi namathuba kuyizisekelo zawo wonke amasu okuhweba. Abazi ukuthi kuzokwenzekani ngokulandelayo, kepha ngokususelwa kuzinto ezenzeka ngaphambili zomlando nezimo ezikhona, bangathatha ukubikezela okufundisiwe maqondana nokungenzeka. Futhi bakhathazeka ngokweqile ngengozi nokuchayeka; uma usebenzisa izimali zabatshalizimali ezibiza izigidigidi, awufaki engozini u-1% ngokuhweba ngakunye, kungenzeka kakhulu ukuthi ube sengcupheni engu-0.0001% kuphela futhi uzoba nemikhawulo yansuku zonke yokulahlekelwa kanye nabaqhekezi besifunda abasendaweni, ukuze gcina imali. Abathengisi abathengisayo kufanele baziqaphele ngokucophelela lezi zinkinga maqondana namathuba nobungozi, kungakhathalekile ukuthi uhweba ngaliphi izinga, zifanelekile kumthengisi ngamunye, njengoba zinjalo nenani lesikhungo. Ukunaka kwakho imininingwane yobungozi namathuba okuzonquma impumelelo yakho, kakhulu kunezinye izinto, ezifana nendlela namasu.
Ukwakha isu lakho elilula akudingeki kube inqubo eyinkimbinkimbi, futhi uma ususungule isitayela osithandayo sokuhweba, ukuzivocavoca kungaphulwa kube izingxenye ezilula nezinqumo ezingama-4-5. Ake sicabange ukuthi ungumhwebi wosuku, ngakho-ke, isikhathi esibekiwe (i-TF) lapho uzokwenza khona izinqumo zakho eziyinhloko, kungenzeka kube yihora eli-1 noma ngaphansi, noma inhlanganisela yama-TF amaningana aphansi. Ngemuva kwalokho unquma ukuthi iyiphi indlela yentengo ozoyisebenzisa kumashadi akho ukuze uchaze isenzo sentengo, mhlawumbe uzokhetha izinti zamakhandlela ezijwayelekile, noma uHeikin Ashi.
Ngemuva kwalokho ungahle ucabangele ukubeka amaphoyinti e-pivot wansuku zonke kushadi lakho, elingakhombisa ukuthi isenzo sentengo yansuku zonke siyi-bullish, noma i-bearish. Uma intengo ingaphezulu kwe-R1 ngokuvamile kubhekwa njenge-bullish, uma ingaphansi kwe-S1 ithathwa njenge-bearish. Uma intengo iseduze kwephoyinti le-pivot yansuku zonke kubhekwa njengokuhweba ebangeni eliqinile. Ngemuva kwalokho ungacabanga ukusebenzisa inkomba eyodwa, mhlawumbe i-oscillator noma isibonisi somfutho njengeMACD bese ekugcineni unquma ukuthi uzokubeka kuphi ukuma kwakho futhi uthathe i-oda lomkhawulo wentengo, ngokuya ngobungozi ngokuhweba ngakunye ozibophezele kukho.
Yilokho kuphela. Inqubo enjalo ithi: ezolile, elinganisiwe nenembile, ithembele kumathuluzi amaningi abalulekile abathengisi bezinga abaphumelele kakhulu nabasesikhungweni abangawasebenzisa futhi kusasele iminyaka ukukhanya kwezinye zezindlela eziyinkimbinkimbi, ungahle ufunde futhi ubone izibonelo, izinkundla ezahlukahlukene. Nanku umfanekiso osheshayo, okhombisa ukwakhiwa kwamathuluzi asetshenziswe ku-1hr time frame, ngesikhathi senqubo ephelele yokuhweba.
« Inkulumo kaMario Draghi, ukufundwa kwe-UK CPI yakamuva kanye namaminithi omhlangano we-FOMC, kukhona imicimbi ephezulu yemthelela engase ihambise inani le-EUR, GBP ne-USD. I-Sterling whipsaws ebangeni eliqhathaniswa nontanga, njengoba isivumelwano esisha seBrexit sinikezwa ngundunankulu uMay ePhalamende, izinkomba zokulingana zaseMelika zikhuphuka njengoba impi yezohwebo isaba ukwehla. »
Ukwakha isu elilula le-FX lokuhweba, kancane kancane futhi ngokuqinisekile, ucezu ngalunye.
Meyi 21 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-3381 • Amazwana Off ekwakheni isu elilula le-FX lokuhweba, kancane kancane futhi ngokuqinisekile, ucezu ngalunye.
Sebenzisa izinkundla zokuhweba ezithandwa kakhulu futhi ezigabeni ezibhalwe ukuthi “amasu okuhweba”, uzobona izinkulungwane zezikhala, ngamalungu ngamanye, aqinisekile ukuthi athole umngcele wokuhweba. Yikuphi abanesiqiniseko sokuthi bangakusebenzisa kaninginingi; iseshini ngeseshini, usuku nosuku, ukukhipha inzuzo ezimakethe zeFX. Isiphetho semvelo abathengisi abaningi abazosifinyelela, ukuthi iningi lalezi zindlela / amasu alikwazi ukuzuza ngokungaguquguquki. Ukube bekunjalo, khona-ke imakethe yeFX ibizokhishwa isikweletu ngokushesha okukhulu, kuze kuyeke ukuba khona.
Ngaphakathi kwamasu amaningi afakwe kuhlu, amanye ayinkimbinkimbi ngendlela exakayo kangangokuba akunakwenzeka ukuwatolika, noma ukuwasebenzisa ngendlela ephathekayo. Uzobona inhlanganisela ye: izinkomba zobuchwepheshe, ezomhlaba ezihambayo, amazinga ahlukahlukene, nezilungiselelo eziningi ezijwayelekile ezilungisiwe ukwethula ukufundwa okwenziwe ngokwezifiso kakhulu. Abathengisi abaningi bacwile kulo msebenzi kangangokuba balahlekelwe umbono wenhloso yabo elula; kufanele ngabe ufuna indlela ekuvumela ukuthi ulandele intengo, okungenzeka ikunikeze ithuba elifanele lokubikezela; “Kwenzekani ngokulandelayo?”
Leyo nkulumo; “Kwenzekani ngokulandelayo?” ingenye yemiqondo enganakwa kakhulu maqondana nokuhweba. Futhi uma weqa ukuhweba ngento yalo eyisisekelo, lowo ngumsebenzi wakho oyinhloko; ukuzama ukuthola indlela ethembekile, enamathuba athuthukisiwe okukhombisa okuzovela, kuleso sikhala esingenalutho, kusayizi wesandla sokudla wamashadi akho.
Le nselelo ngeke isizwe ngokusebenzisa inkomba ngemuva kwenkomba, kuze kube yilapho amashadi akho ekhanya njengokuboniswa komlilo, ngesikhathi somkhosi kaJulayi 4. Eqinisweni, usethubeni elikhulu lokudideka futhi wehliswe ekufuneni kwakho isu lokuhweba elinokwethenjelwa, uma amashadi akho ephelile futhi eminyene nezinkomba ezingahambelani, lokho kukhombisa ukuthi intengo ibivele iqhubeka hhayi lapho ibheke khona . Okuyinto ongayibona ngokusebenzisa igrafu yomugqa elula, ekhombisa indlela eyisisekelo kunazo zonke yesenzo sentengo.
Kukhona iqiniso elilodwa elingenakuphikwa maqondana nokuhweba, abathengisi abasha kakhulu abangalulekwa ukuthi baqhubeke bazikhumbuza ngalo; akekho noyedwa owake wathola noma wasungula, i-100% indlela yokufakazela izinhlamvu namasu okuhweba, ezohlala njalo ibikezela ukuthi kwenzekani ngokulandelayo. Noma ngabe abahlaziyi abadumile kanye nezibalo emuva kuma-70's, njengoWelles Wilder noChuck Le Beau, noma abahlaziyi bezinombolo zosuku lwanamuhla. Izinkampani ezinkulu eziphumelelayo zokuhweba ze-HFT njenge: Virtu, Jump kanye ne Renaissance Technologies, azikaze ziqhekeze ikhodi ethile engaqondakali ukubenza bakwazi ukuvuna inzuzo ngokuthanda kwabo, bathembele kulokhu: ukukhanyisa isivinini esisheshayo ukufika ezimakethe, indawo eseduze kakhulu nezimakethe futhi inzuzo yabo encane iqongelela futhi ihlanganise, ukuze kukhiqizwe ukubuya kwabo kwezinkanyezi.
Futhi bayakuqonda, njengokuqina nezicelo abazisebenzisayo, ukuthi ubungozi namathuba kuyizisekelo zawo wonke amasu okuhweba. Abazi ukuthi kuzokwenzekani ngokulandelayo, kepha ngokususelwa kuzinto ezenzeka ngaphambili zomlando nezimo ezikhona, bangathatha ukubikezela okufundisiwe maqondana nokungenzeka. Futhi bakhathazeka ngokweqile ngengozi nokuchayeka; uma usebenzisa izimali zabatshalizimali ezibiza izigidigidi, awufaki engozini u-1% ngokuhweba ngakunye, kungenzeka kakhulu ukuthi ube sengcupheni engu-0.0001% kuphela futhi uzoba nemikhawulo yansuku zonke yokulahlekelwa kanye nabaqhekezi besifunda abasendaweni, ukuze gcina imali. Abathengisi abathengisayo kufanele baziqaphele ngokucophelela lezi zinkinga maqondana namathuba nobungozi, kungakhathalekile ukuthi uhweba ngaliphi izinga, zifanelekile kumthengisi ngamunye, njengoba zinjalo nenani lesikhungo. Ukunaka kwakho imininingwane yobungozi namathuba okuzonquma impumelelo yakho, kakhulu kunezinye izinto, ezifana nendlela namasu.
Ukwakha isu lakho elilula akudingeki kube inqubo eyinkimbinkimbi, futhi uma ususungule isitayela osithandayo sokuhweba, ukuzivocavoca kungaphulwa kube izingxenye ezilula nezinqumo ezingama-4-5. Ake sicabange ukuthi ungumhwebi wosuku, ngakho-ke, isikhathi esibekiwe (i-TF) lapho uzokwenza khona izinqumo zakho eziyinhloko, kungenzeka kube yihora eli-1 noma ngaphansi, noma inhlanganisela yama-TF amaningana aphansi. Ngemuva kwalokho unquma ukuthi iyiphi indlela yentengo ozoyisebenzisa kumashadi akho ukuze uchaze isenzo sentengo, mhlawumbe uzokhetha izinti zamakhandlela ezijwayelekile, noma uHeikin Ashi.
Ngemuva kwalokho ungahle ucabangele ukubeka amaphoyinti e-pivot wansuku zonke kushadi lakho, elingakhombisa ukuthi isenzo sentengo yansuku zonke siyi-bullish, noma i-bearish. Uma intengo ingaphezulu kwe-R1 ngokuvamile kubhekwa njenge-bullish, uma ingaphansi kwe-S1 ithathwa njenge-bearish. Uma intengo iseduze kwephoyinti le-pivot yansuku zonke kubhekwa njengokuhweba ebangeni eliqinile. Ngemuva kwalokho ungacabanga ukusebenzisa inkomba eyodwa, mhlawumbe i-oscillator noma isibonisi somfutho njengeMACD bese ekugcineni unquma ukuthi uzokubeka kuphi ukuma kwakho futhi uthathe i-oda lomkhawulo wentengo, ngokuya ngobungozi ngokuhweba ngakunye ozibophezele kukho.
Yilokho kuphela. Inqubo enjalo ithi: ezolile, elinganisiwe nenembile, ithembele kumathuluzi amaningi abalulekile abathengisi bezinga abaphumelele kakhulu nabasesikhungweni abangawasebenzisa futhi kusasele iminyaka ukukhanya kwezinye zezindlela eziyinkimbinkimbi, ungahle ufunde futhi ubone izibonelo, izinkundla ezahlukahlukene. Nanku umfanekiso osheshayo, okhombisa ukwakhiwa kwamathuluzi asetshenziswe ku-1hr time frame, ngesikhathi senqubo ephelele yokuhweba.
« Inkulumo kaMario Draghi, ukufundwa kwe-UK CPI yakamuva kanye namaminithi omhlangano we-FOMC, kukhona imicimbi ephezulu yemthelela engase ihambise inani le-EUR, GBP ne-USD. I-Sterling whipsaws ebangeni eliqhathaniswa nontanga, njengoba isivumelwano esisha seBrexit sinikezwa ngundunankulu uMay ePhalamende, izinkomba zokulingana zaseMelika zikhuphuka njengoba impi yezohwebo isaba ukwehla. »