Meyi 22 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-2283 • Amazwana Off ku-Yen ibhalisa izinzuzo ezingatheni uma iqhathaniswa nontanga njengoba idatha yohwebo ikhomba ekuthuthukisweni, i-sterling iqhubeka nokuwa kwayo okuhlobene ne-Brexit, kuyilapho abatshalizimali belindele amaminithi omhlangano we-FOMC.
Izibalo zakamuva zokungenisa, ukuthekelisa kanye nebhalansi yohwebo zase-Japan zashicilelwa kuseshini yokuhweba yase-Sydney-Asian; ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kwehle ngo-2.4% unyaka nonyaka kuze kube ngu-Ephreli, nokuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kukhuphuke ngo-6.4%, ama-oda emishini akhuphuke ngo-3.8% ngoMashi. Ukuthengwa kwamanye amazwe okukhuphuka kanye nama-oda emishini, kukhomba amafemu ase-Japan alungiselela ukwandisa ukukhiqiza nokukhiqiza, ezinyangeni ezizayo.
Ngenxa yalokho, i-JPY yenyuka kancane uma iqhathaniswa nontanga yayo abambalwa, ngo-8:45am ngesikhathi sase-UK i-USD/JPY yehle -0.10%, igcina isikhundla esingaphezu kwesibambo esingu-110.0/inombolo eyindilinga ku-110.39, njengoba intengo yehle eduze nephoyinti le-pivot lansuku zonke. I-EUR/JPY idayiswe yehle -0.30%, i-cross pair yehle -2.36% nyanga zonke, njengomphumela wezimakethe ezibambekayo ze-yen emasontweni asanda kwedlula, ngenxa yokuphinda kufakwe isicelo sokuphatha kukaTrump kwezinye izintela ekuthengisweni kwamaShayina kanye nezinsongo zokukhuphuka. amanani entengo ekungeniswa kwe-EU e-USA. Leso sikhalazo sendawo ephephile siphinde sabonakala enanini le-Swiss franc, ekhuphuke ngo-0.40% uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika kanye no-1.23% phezulu uma iqhathaniswa ne-euro, uma ilinganiswa nyanga zonke.
I-euro yehle ngokuqhathaniswa neningi lontanga yayo, ekuqaleni kweseshini yaseLondon-European, ngaphandle kwezinzuzo uma iqhathaniswa nenhle, ngenxa yobuthakathaka be-GBP yonkana. Ngo-9:00am isikhathi sase-UK i-EUR/USD ihwebe phansi -0.06% ku-1.115, ihweba ngebanga eliqinile, phakathi kwe-PP yansuku zonke kanye nezinga lokuqala lokusekela. I-EUR/GBP ihwebe ngo-0.21% ku-0.885, yephula izinga lokuqala lokumelana, umbhangqwana ophambanayo ubhalise izinzuzo ze-1.21% masonto onke, njengoba ukungabaza kwe-Brexit kuye kwenza i-GBP yaba buthaka.
Lokho kwesaba kwe-Brexit kuye kwandiswa ezinsukwini zamuva, njengoba abatshalizimali kanye nabathengisi be-FX belahlekelwa ukuthembela kuphawundi wase-UK, ngokusekelwe esimweni samanje sikahulumeni esinesiyaluyalu, esibhebhethekiswa inkulumo kaNdunankulu yokuhoxiswa kwesivumelwano (WA) ngoLwesibili. Ayecabanga ukuthi kungaba isiphakamiso esihlanganisayo ezinhlakeni zezombusazwe, wathola ukwesekwa okuncane kunoma yimiphi imithombo yezombusazwe ePhalamende. NgoLwesithathu ekuseni, amanye amalungu ePhalamende e-Tory athathele eziteshini zokusakaza ze-BBC ephakamisa ukuthi isiphakamiso esibuyekeziwe se-WA akufanele silethwe phambi kwePhalamende, ukuze kuvotwe esontweni lokuqala likaJuni, njengoba bekulindeleke ukuthi livotelwe phansi, kwaphinde kwaletha ukululazeka okwengeziwe kuNkk. May, umholi ongaziwa ngokuveza ukuthobeka.
Kunalokho, ozakwabo bazama ukususa uNkk. May esikhundleni futhi esikhundleni sakhe bafake umholi/undunankulu omusha, ngaphambi kokuba kufike ikhefu lasehlobo ngoJulayi. Izimakethe ze-FX zenza amanani kuzo zombili izinxushunxushu zikahulumeni kanye namathuba okuthi indawo yakhe ithathwe yi-Brexiteer eshisekayo, njengoba abekho abalingani ababonakala bebanga lesi sikhundla.
Ngo-9: 20am isikhathi sase-UK i-GBP/USD ihwebe phansi -0.26%, yephula izinga lokuqala lokusekelwa, iqhubeka nomkhuba we-bearish oye waqala kusukela ekuqaleni kukaMeyi. Ukwehla ngaphansi kwezinga le-1.270 lokuhweba ku-1.268, umbhangqwana omkhulu wemali wehle -2.15% nyanga zonke futhi uhweba ngezinga elingakaze libonwe kusukela ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari 2019. Iphethini efanayo yesenzo samanani yabonakala ngawo wonke amapheya e-GBP phakathi neseshini yasekuseni. Izibalo zakamuva ze-CPI zanyanga zonke nezonyaka zomnotho wase-UK zishicilelwe ngoLwesithathu ekuseni; unyaka nonyaka i-CPI ingene ngo-2.1% igeja izibikezelo zeReuters zokukhuphuka ngo-2.2%, nyanga zonke isibalo sifike ku-0.6% ngo-Ephreli.
Isibalo sakamuva se-RPI sikhuphuke ngo-1.1% ngenyanga ka-Ephreli, okukhombisa ukuthi amanani entengo akhuphuke kakhulu ngenyanga eyodwa, kuyilapho isibalo sakamuva sokuboleka sikahulumeni naso besikhathaza; uhulumeni wase-UK waboleka u-£4.97b ngo-Ephreli, uma uqhathanisa no-£0.96b ngoMashi. Uwonke umthelela enanini le-GBP wawunganakwa njengoba ukwehla kwamandla emali kanye nedatha yokuboleka kukahulumeni kwashicilelwa, njengoba izinkinga ezinkulu eziphathelene ne-Brexit, zibusa inani elicatshangelwayo le-sterling.
Ngo-19:00pm isikhathi sase-UK ngoLwesithathu zingama-22 kuNhlaba, amaminithi ahlobene nomhlangano kaMeyi 1st we-FOMC azoshicilelwa. Abahlaziyi nabahwebi bazophenya ngokushesha okuqukethwe ukuze bathole ubufakazi bokuthi izinduna ze-FOMC/Fed zivumelana ngazwi linye, ekusetheni izinga lenzalo yazo kanye ne-ajenda yenqubomgomo yemali. Uma kukhona noma yikuphi ukuqondisa okuya phambili, okuphakamisa ukuthi kungase kumiswe inqubomgomo eyengeziwe yama-hawkish, okuholela ekukhuphukeni kwesilinganiso ngaphezu kwezinga lamanje elingu-2.5% ngaphambi kokuphela kuka-2019, i-USD ingase yenyuke uma iqhathaniswa nontanga bayo. Ngo-9:45am ngesikhathi sase-UK inkomba yedola, i-DXY, ihwebe eduze nendawo ephansi ngo-98.02, igcina indawo engaphezu kwesibambo esingu-98.00, kuyilapho izimakethe zesikhathi esizayo zazibonisa ukuvuleka okungekuhle kuma-indices e-US, uma iseshini yaseNew York isiqala ukuhweba; I-SPX iphansi -0.17% kanye ne-NASDAQ phansi -0.27%. I-SPX yehle -1.50% nyanga zonke kanti i-NASDAQ yehle ngo-2.86%, okuyinkomba yomthelela wempi yezohwebo neChina kanye nokusetshenziswa kabusha kwezintela ezinyukile, kube nakho kuwo wonke umuzwa wemakethe.
« I-Sterling whipsaws ebangeni eliqhathaniswa nontanga, njengoba isivumelwano esisha seBrexit sinikezwa ngundunankulu uMay ePhalamende, izinkomba zokulingana zaseMelika zikhuphuka njengoba impi yezohwebo isaba ukwehla. Izimakethe ze-FX ikakhulukazi ziyasebenza futhi azibikezeli, ngakho-ke, abathengisi beFX kumele bahlale beqaphele ukuphula imicimbi yezindaba ngaso sonke isikhathi. »
I-Yen ibhalisa ukuzuza okuthe xaxa uma kuqhathaniswa nontanga njengoba imininingwane yezohwebo ikhombisa ukuthuthuka, iSterling iyaqhubeka nokuwa kwayo okuhlobene neBrexit, ngenkathi abatshalizimali belinde imizuzu yomhlangano we-FOMC.
Meyi 22 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-2283 • Amazwana Off ku-Yen ibhalisa izinzuzo ezingatheni uma iqhathaniswa nontanga njengoba idatha yohwebo ikhomba ekuthuthukisweni, i-sterling iqhubeka nokuwa kwayo okuhlobene ne-Brexit, kuyilapho abatshalizimali belindele amaminithi omhlangano we-FOMC.
Izibalo zakamuva zokungenisa, ukuthekelisa kanye nebhalansi yohwebo zase-Japan zashicilelwa kuseshini yokuhweba yase-Sydney-Asian; ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kwehle ngo-2.4% unyaka nonyaka kuze kube ngu-Ephreli, nokuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kukhuphuke ngo-6.4%, ama-oda emishini akhuphuke ngo-3.8% ngoMashi. Ukuthengwa kwamanye amazwe okukhuphuka kanye nama-oda emishini, kukhomba amafemu ase-Japan alungiselela ukwandisa ukukhiqiza nokukhiqiza, ezinyangeni ezizayo.
Ngenxa yalokho, i-JPY yenyuka kancane uma iqhathaniswa nontanga yayo abambalwa, ngo-8:45am ngesikhathi sase-UK i-USD/JPY yehle -0.10%, igcina isikhundla esingaphezu kwesibambo esingu-110.0/inombolo eyindilinga ku-110.39, njengoba intengo yehle eduze nephoyinti le-pivot lansuku zonke. I-EUR/JPY idayiswe yehle -0.30%, i-cross pair yehle -2.36% nyanga zonke, njengomphumela wezimakethe ezibambekayo ze-yen emasontweni asanda kwedlula, ngenxa yokuphinda kufakwe isicelo sokuphatha kukaTrump kwezinye izintela ekuthengisweni kwamaShayina kanye nezinsongo zokukhuphuka. amanani entengo ekungeniswa kwe-EU e-USA. Leso sikhalazo sendawo ephephile siphinde sabonakala enanini le-Swiss franc, ekhuphuke ngo-0.40% uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika kanye no-1.23% phezulu uma iqhathaniswa ne-euro, uma ilinganiswa nyanga zonke.
I-euro yehle ngokuqhathaniswa neningi lontanga yayo, ekuqaleni kweseshini yaseLondon-European, ngaphandle kwezinzuzo uma iqhathaniswa nenhle, ngenxa yobuthakathaka be-GBP yonkana. Ngo-9:00am isikhathi sase-UK i-EUR/USD ihwebe phansi -0.06% ku-1.115, ihweba ngebanga eliqinile, phakathi kwe-PP yansuku zonke kanye nezinga lokuqala lokusekela. I-EUR/GBP ihwebe ngo-0.21% ku-0.885, yephula izinga lokuqala lokumelana, umbhangqwana ophambanayo ubhalise izinzuzo ze-1.21% masonto onke, njengoba ukungabaza kwe-Brexit kuye kwenza i-GBP yaba buthaka.
Lokho kwesaba kwe-Brexit kuye kwandiswa ezinsukwini zamuva, njengoba abatshalizimali kanye nabathengisi be-FX belahlekelwa ukuthembela kuphawundi wase-UK, ngokusekelwe esimweni samanje sikahulumeni esinesiyaluyalu, esibhebhethekiswa inkulumo kaNdunankulu yokuhoxiswa kwesivumelwano (WA) ngoLwesibili. Ayecabanga ukuthi kungaba isiphakamiso esihlanganisayo ezinhlakeni zezombusazwe, wathola ukwesekwa okuncane kunoma yimiphi imithombo yezombusazwe ePhalamende. NgoLwesithathu ekuseni, amanye amalungu ePhalamende e-Tory athathele eziteshini zokusakaza ze-BBC ephakamisa ukuthi isiphakamiso esibuyekeziwe se-WA akufanele silethwe phambi kwePhalamende, ukuze kuvotwe esontweni lokuqala likaJuni, njengoba bekulindeleke ukuthi livotelwe phansi, kwaphinde kwaletha ukululazeka okwengeziwe kuNkk. May, umholi ongaziwa ngokuveza ukuthobeka.
Kunalokho, ozakwabo bazama ukususa uNkk. May esikhundleni futhi esikhundleni sakhe bafake umholi/undunankulu omusha, ngaphambi kokuba kufike ikhefu lasehlobo ngoJulayi. Izimakethe ze-FX zenza amanani kuzo zombili izinxushunxushu zikahulumeni kanye namathuba okuthi indawo yakhe ithathwe yi-Brexiteer eshisekayo, njengoba abekho abalingani ababonakala bebanga lesi sikhundla.
Ngo-9: 20am isikhathi sase-UK i-GBP/USD ihwebe phansi -0.26%, yephula izinga lokuqala lokusekelwa, iqhubeka nomkhuba we-bearish oye waqala kusukela ekuqaleni kukaMeyi. Ukwehla ngaphansi kwezinga le-1.270 lokuhweba ku-1.268, umbhangqwana omkhulu wemali wehle -2.15% nyanga zonke futhi uhweba ngezinga elingakaze libonwe kusukela ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari 2019. Iphethini efanayo yesenzo samanani yabonakala ngawo wonke amapheya e-GBP phakathi neseshini yasekuseni. Izibalo zakamuva ze-CPI zanyanga zonke nezonyaka zomnotho wase-UK zishicilelwe ngoLwesithathu ekuseni; unyaka nonyaka i-CPI ingene ngo-2.1% igeja izibikezelo zeReuters zokukhuphuka ngo-2.2%, nyanga zonke isibalo sifike ku-0.6% ngo-Ephreli.
Isibalo sakamuva se-RPI sikhuphuke ngo-1.1% ngenyanga ka-Ephreli, okukhombisa ukuthi amanani entengo akhuphuke kakhulu ngenyanga eyodwa, kuyilapho isibalo sakamuva sokuboleka sikahulumeni naso besikhathaza; uhulumeni wase-UK waboleka u-£4.97b ngo-Ephreli, uma uqhathanisa no-£0.96b ngoMashi. Uwonke umthelela enanini le-GBP wawunganakwa njengoba ukwehla kwamandla emali kanye nedatha yokuboleka kukahulumeni kwashicilelwa, njengoba izinkinga ezinkulu eziphathelene ne-Brexit, zibusa inani elicatshangelwayo le-sterling.
Ngo-19:00pm isikhathi sase-UK ngoLwesithathu zingama-22 kuNhlaba, amaminithi ahlobene nomhlangano kaMeyi 1st we-FOMC azoshicilelwa. Abahlaziyi nabahwebi bazophenya ngokushesha okuqukethwe ukuze bathole ubufakazi bokuthi izinduna ze-FOMC/Fed zivumelana ngazwi linye, ekusetheni izinga lenzalo yazo kanye ne-ajenda yenqubomgomo yemali. Uma kukhona noma yikuphi ukuqondisa okuya phambili, okuphakamisa ukuthi kungase kumiswe inqubomgomo eyengeziwe yama-hawkish, okuholela ekukhuphukeni kwesilinganiso ngaphezu kwezinga lamanje elingu-2.5% ngaphambi kokuphela kuka-2019, i-USD ingase yenyuke uma iqhathaniswa nontanga bayo. Ngo-9:45am ngesikhathi sase-UK inkomba yedola, i-DXY, ihwebe eduze nendawo ephansi ngo-98.02, igcina indawo engaphezu kwesibambo esingu-98.00, kuyilapho izimakethe zesikhathi esizayo zazibonisa ukuvuleka okungekuhle kuma-indices e-US, uma iseshini yaseNew York isiqala ukuhweba; I-SPX iphansi -0.17% kanye ne-NASDAQ phansi -0.27%. I-SPX yehle -1.50% nyanga zonke kanti i-NASDAQ yehle ngo-2.86%, okuyinkomba yomthelela wempi yezohwebo neChina kanye nokusetshenziswa kabusha kwezintela ezinyukile, kube nakho kuwo wonke umuzwa wemakethe.
« I-Sterling whipsaws ebangeni eliqhathaniswa nontanga, njengoba isivumelwano esisha seBrexit sinikezwa ngundunankulu uMay ePhalamende, izinkomba zokulingana zaseMelika zikhuphuka njengoba impi yezohwebo isaba ukwehla. Izimakethe ze-FX ikakhulukazi ziyasebenza futhi azibikezeli, ngakho-ke, abathengisi beFX kumele bahlale beqaphele ukuphula imicimbi yezindaba ngaso sonke isikhathi. »