Amanani e-inflation ase-US akhululwa ngolwe-Lwesithathu, ukuba i-YoY yexabiso lentengo yehlile, ke abatyali zimali zentengiso banokubuyisa ukuzithemba
NgoLwesithathu ngoFebruwari 14th ngo-13: 30PM GMT (ixesha lase-UK), isebe lase-USA le-BLS lipapasha iziphumo zalo zakutsha malunga ne-CPI (inflation) e-USA. Kukho uluhlu lwedatha ye-CPI ekhutshwe ngaxeshanye, kodwa abatyali-mali kunye nabahlalutyi baya kugxininisa kumanyathelo amabini abalulekileyo, inyanga ngenyanga kunye nonyaka ngonyaka amanani e-CPI. Ngenxa yokuthengiswa kwamva nje kunye nokuphinda kufumaneke okwethutyana kwiimarike zezabelo zamashishini ase-US, idatha yokukhula kwamaxabiso iza kujongwa ngeliso elibukhali, ifuthe elibi likwavakala kwiimarike zezabelo zamashishini zehlabathi. I-selloff yachazwa ngenxa yoloyiko lokuba uxinzelelo lwemivuzo yokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-USA, okwangoku kwi-4.47%, lunokubangela ukuba i-FOMC/Fed inyuse izinga lenzala ngokugqithisileyo kunokuba bekucingelwa ngaphambili ukuze kuphole ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuqoqosho lulonke.
Ingqikelelo yeyokuba isantya sokunyuka kwamaxabiso entengo ye-YoY sihle siye kwi-1.9% YOYY ngoJanuwari, ukusuka kwi-2.1% ebirekhodishwe ngaphambili ngoDisemba. Nangona kunjalo, ufundo lukaMama lulindeleke ukuba lunyuke luye kwi-0.3% ngoJanuwari, ukusuka kwi-0.1% ngoDisemba kwaye leli nani lenyanga abatyali-mali kunye nabahlalutyi banokugxila kulo ngokubanzi, ngokuchasene nexabiso le-YOY. Abatyali-mali banokukhawuleza ukubala ukuba ukuba ukunyuka okunjalo kwenzeke kwinyanga enokuthi ivelise amanani exabiso lokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwaye emva koko i-extrapolate idatha ukuze iqikelele ukunyuka konyaka ngaphezu kwe-3% ngexesha le-2018, ngoko amaxabiso okulingana angaphinda abe phantsi koxinzelelo. Nangona kunjalo, enye imeko inokwenzeka ukuba uqikelelo lweYoY luhlangatyeziwe. Abatyali-zimali banokucinga ukuba ukunyuka konyaka kwe-YoY kuye kwamodareyitha kancinane, ngoko ke isantya semarike ngokunxulumene nokupapashwa kwenani lomvuzo wokunyuka kwamaxabiso, ibe kukusabela ngokugqithisileyo.
Naluphi na upapasho lokunyuka kwamaxabiso lutyhila ngoLwesithathu, ngaphandle kwamathandabuzo olu luhlu lwamva nje lwamanani okunyuka kwamaxabiso luya kubekwa esweni ngononophelo ngenxa yokuthengiswa kwamva nje kunye nokubuyiselwa okuthobekileyo, kungekuphela nje ngenxa yempembelelo enokubakho kwiimarike zezabelo, kodwa nakwimpembelelo enokubakho kwixabiso lentengo. idola yaseMelika. Ekukhutshweni kweedola zedatha abatyali-mali kunye nabarhwebi beFX baya kwenza izigqibo ngokukhawuleza malunga nexabiso ledola, kwisiseko sendlela ngokukhawuleza i-FOMC / Fed iya kwenza ngayo i-interest rate yokunyuka abazibophelele kuyo, ngeentlanganiso zabo zamva nje zikaDisemba noJanuwari.
IIMETRIKHI ZOQOQOSHO EZINGUNDOQO EZINXULUMENE NOKUKHUTSHWA KWEKHALENDA
• IGDP YoY 2.5%.
• I-GDP QoQ 2.6%.
Umyinge wenzala 1.5%.
• Ixabiso lentengo ngu-2.1%.
• Ukukhula komvuzo 4.47%.
Umyinge ongenamisebenzi 4.1%.
• Ityala likarhulumente v GDP 106.1%.
« Njengoko i-CPI (inflation) yamva nje ikhutshwa, ngaba iBhanki yaseNgilani iya kubonisa ukuba ilungile ekugcineni isiseko senzala kwi-0.5%? Amashishini ase-US abuyisele ukuvalela ngaphakathi kwiinzuzo ezilungileyo ze-2018, isalathiso sedola yaseMelika, inyathelo lexabiso leFX alikho, njengoko ezona zibini zithengisa kurhwebo »
