IiMarike ze-oyile zeHlabathi zijongene nemingeni njengoko iMfuno iLags ngasemva kobonelelo olugqithisayo
Iimarike ze-oyile zivale unyaka ngenqaku elibukhali, bafumana ukungena kwabo okokuqala kubomvu ukusukela ngo-2020.
UkuThatha okucingelwayo: Kucatshulwe kwizinto eziBalulekileyo
Abaqikeleli bathathe indawo esembindini, ukuguquguquka kwemarike yokulawula kude kwizinto ezisisiseko. UTrevor Woods, uMlawuli woTyalo-mali kwiiMpahla zeMpahla eNorthern Trace Capital LLC, uqaqambisa ubunzima bokwenza uqikelelo lwengqikelelo ngaphaya kwekota kwimekobume engaqinisekanga.
Iimpawu zobuthathaka: iContango kunye neBearish Sentiment
Iimpawu ezifana ne-Brent crude curve eseleyo kwi-contango kunye nokunyuka kweemvakalelo ze-bearish phakathi kwabaqikeleli ngo-2023 kubonisa ukuba semngciphekweni kweshishini. Imakethi ibonakala ifuna ubungqina obubambekayo kunye neziseko ezomeleleyo phambi kokwamkela imbuyekezo njengeyokwenene.
Impembelelo yoRhwebo lwe-Algorithmic: Umdlali omtsha kuMdlalo
Ukunyuka kwentengiso ye-algorithmic, equka phantse i-80% yorhwebo lwe-oyile yemihla ngemihla, iqhubela phambili ubunzima kwiimarike. Ukuhla kokholo lwabaphathi bemali kubuchule be-OPEC bokulungelelanisa imarike, kunye nokuhlanganiswa komvelisi okuqhubekayo, kunciphisa uxhulumaniso lwemarike yekamva lokuhamba komzimba.
Abathengi bafuna ubungqina: Imingeni yeHedge Fund
Abaphengululi baqaphele, bafuna ubungqina obubambekayo ngaphambi kokuqwalasela izikhundla ezide ngo-2024. Iimbuyekezo ze-Commodity hedge fund zifike kumanqanaba aphantsi ukusuka kwi-2019, kwaye i-oil hedge fund kaPierre Andurand ilungele ukurekhoda ilahleko yayo embi kakhulu kwimbali.
Ingxaki ye-OPEC: Ukusika kweMveliso phakathi kwePushback
Isigqibo samva nje se-OPEC sokuphumeza okunye ukucuthwa kwemveliso sijongene nemiceli mngeni, ngakumbi ukubuyisela umva kubavelisi baseMelika abafuna ukwenza imali kumaxabiso aphezulu eoli. Imveliso ye-oyile yeveki nganye yase-US ifike kwirekhodi ye-13.3 yezigidi zeebhari ngosuku, idlula ingqikelelo kwaye inegalelo kumanqanaba alindelekileyo emveliso ngo-2024.
IGlobal Consumption Dynamics: Ukukhula okungalinganiyo
I-Arhente yezaMandla yeHlabathi iqikelela ukukhula okucothayo kokusetyenziswa kwehlabathi njengoko umsebenzi wezoqoqosho uphola. Ngelixa izinga lokukhula lingaphantsi kunowama-2023, lihlala liphezulu ngokwemigangatho yembali. Nangona kunjalo, utshintsho olukhawulezayo lwaseTshayina ekufakeni umbane kwisithuthi ludala imiqobo yesakhiwo ekusetyenzisweni kweoyile.
Imingcipheko ye-Geopolitical kunye noLuleko lweMarike: Iingqwalasela zexesha elizayo
Abahlalutyi bahlala beyijongile imingcipheko yelizwe, kubandakanya uhlaselo loLwandle oluBomvu kunye nengxabano yaseRussia-Ukraine. Abavelisi behlabathi basenawo amandla okuhlengahlengisa imveliso ukuze ihlangabezane nemfuno, ngokuxhomekeke ekuthotyelweni okuqeqeshekileyo kwizivumelwano ze-OPEC+ kunye nokuphaphela malunga nokuziphatha kwabavelisi abangeyiyo i-OPEC kulo nyaka uzayo.
Okukwintsusa
Njengoko imakethi ye-oyile yehlabathi ihamba emanzini anesiphithiphithi, ukunxibelelana kwabaqikeleli, amandla emveliso, kunye neziganeko ze-geopolitical ziya kuqhubeka nokubumba indlela yayo. Ukutshatisa ikhosi phakathi kokungaqiniseki kufuna ulungelelwaniso oluthambileyo phakathi koqeqesho lwemarike kunye nokuziqhelanisa nokuguquka kwezinto zehlabathi.
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