I-US Dollar Falls njengoxinzelelo lokunyuka phambi kwedatha ye-US CPI
- Idola yajongana nokwehla ngokuchasene ne-euro kunye ne-yen ngoMvulo, iphenjelelwa yidatha yezoqoqosho exubeneyo yase-US kunye nolindelo olujikeleze umjikelo onokuthi ubekho we-Federal Reserve.
- Ngaphandle kweempendulo ezilungileyo zokuqala kwiidatha ezinamandla zemarike yabasebenzi ngoJanuwari 5, iinkxalabo zavela njengoko abatyali-mali bahlola izinto ezisisiseko, kubandakanywa ukwehla okuphawulekayo kwingqesho yecandelo leenkonzo zase-US, ebonisa ubuthathaka obunokubakho kwimarike yomsebenzi.
- Amehlo ngoku ekukhutshweni okuzayo kwedatha yexabiso lokunyuka kwamaxabiso omthengi ngoDisemba 11 kaJanuwari, njengoko kulindeleke ukuba inike ulwazi olubalulekileyo kwixesha le-Federal Reserve yohlengahlengiso olunokwenzeka lwenzala.
Idola yawa ngokuchasene ne-euro kunye ne-yen ngoMvulo njengoko abatyali-mali belinganisa idatha yezoqoqosho edibeneyo yase-US kwiveki ephelileyo kwaye bajonge phambili ekukhululweni kwexabiso eliphambili lokunyuka kwamaxabiso ukuze bafumane imikhondo eyongezelelweyo malunga nokuba i-Federal Reserve ingaqala nini umjikelo we-tapering. umgangatho wenzala.
I-dollar iqale yagxuma kwi-103.11 ngoLwesihlanu, ngo-Jan. 5, incopho yayo ukususela ngo-Dec. 13, emva kokuba idatha yemarike yomsebenzi ibonise abaqeshi baqeshe abasebenzi be-216,000 ngoDisemba, bebetha ukulindela kwezoqoqosho, ngelixa intlawulo yeyure inyuka ngo-0.4% ngenyanga.
Nangona kunjalo, imali yase-US emva koko yawa njengoko abatyali-mali bagxile kwezinye zezinto ezisisiseko kwingxelo yemisebenzi. Kwakhona, enye ingxelo ibonise ukuba icandelo leenkonzo zase-US liye lancipha kakhulu ngoDisemba, kunye nengqesho ewela kwinqanaba eliphantsi kakhulu kwiminyaka eyi-3.5.
“Idatha yangoLwesihlanu yokuhlawulwa kweefama ibixutyiwe. Amanani entloko ayenamandla kwaye elungile, kodwa kwakukho ii-subsets ezininzi ngaphakathi kwedatha eziye zabonisa ubuthathaka ngakumbi kwimarike yabasebenzi, "utshilo uHelen Given, umrhwebi wemali e-Monex USA.
Ngokutsho kwakhe, imarike yezabasebenzi e-United States iyancipha ngokuqinisekileyo.
Ekupheleni kuka-2023, i-indices yedola i-DXY kunye ne-BBDXY iyancipha malunga ne-1% kunye ne-2%, ngokulandelanayo. Nangona kunjalo, imali yase-US isaxatyiswa kakhulu nge-14-15% ngokwezinga lotshintshiselwano olusebenzayo, bhala amaqhinga e-Goldman Sachs. Kwaye idola liye lawa nangakumbi: ngokutsho koqikelelo lwebhanki, ekwindla ka-2022 izinga layo lokwenyani elisebenzayo ligqithise uqikelelo olufanelekileyo malunga ne-20%.
“Singena ngo-2024 idola isenamandla,” kubhala iingcali zaseGoldman Sachs. "Nangona kunjalo, xa kujongwa ukwehla kwamandla emali kwihlabathi jikelele okwenzekayo ngokuchasene nemvelaphi yokukhula koqoqosho oluqinileyo lwehlabathi, ithemba lenzala esezantsi e-United States kunye nomdla oqinileyo wabatyali-mali womngcipheko, silindele ukwehla ngakumbi kwidola, nangona iya kuthi. kancinci kancinci.”
Ukukhululwa okuphambili kwezoqoqosho kule veki kuya kuba yidatha yokunyuka kwamaxabiso omthengi ngoDisemba, eya kupapashwa ngoLwesine, ngoJanuwari 11. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso eentloko kulindeleke ukuba kunyuke nge-0.2% ngenyanga, elingana nokunyuka konyaka kwe-3.2%. Abathengisi bexesha elizayo be-Fed baxela kwangaphambili umjikelo wokunqunyulwa kwesantya se-Fed ukuqala ngo-Matshi, nangona amathuba okuhamba anciphile. Abarhwebi ngoku babona ithuba le-66% yokunciphisa izinga ngo-Matshi, ukusuka kwi-89% ngeveki edlulileyo, ngokwesixhobo se-FedWatch.
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