Euro ikukwera pomwe Mario Draghi akukamba nkhani ya chi hawkish, dollar ipezanso bwino pomwe a Trump akukana cholinga chofooketsa ndalamazo, kugwa kwa golide pambuyo pakupeza phindu lalikulu
Mkulu wa euro adakwera poyerekeza ndi anzake ambiri pamsonkhano wa masana pa Lachinayi, Mario Draghi atapereka ndondomeko yomwe anthu ambiri ankamuona ngati a hawkish, pamsonkhanowu, atatha kuwonetsa kuti bungwe la ECB linalengeza kuti chiwongoladzanja chidzasungidwa ku 0.00%. Bambo Draghi anatsimikizira kuti kuwonjezeka kwa chuma cha Eurozone kunali kwakukulu komanso kolimba ndipo zotsatira zake zowonjezera mitengo zidzakula msinkhu, kuti zifike ku chiwerengero cha ECB cha 2%. Ofufuza ndi osunga ndalama adatenga izi monga chitsimikizo osati kuti kampani ya APP yokha isagwedezeke kwambiri panthawi ya 2018, koma kuti chiwongoladzanja chikhoza kuwuka m'chaka.
Pa siteji imodzi EUR / USD inanyamuka ndi circa 1% kuti iphwanye dzanja la 1.2500, musanapereke zochuluka za tsikulo, kutsegula pafupifupi 0.2%. Chiyembekezo chokwanira cha dera la euro chinalimbikitsidwa ndi kudalitsa deta kuchokera ku Germany; kuphatikizapo kugwiritsidwa ntchito kwa GfK kukonza malingaliro, ndi kuwerenga kwa 11 kwa February. Ngakhale kuti pali deta yolimbikitsa, DAX ndi mayiko ena a ku Ulaya akugulitsa kwambiri.
Sterling inagwirizanitsa phindu lake poyerekeza ndi dola ya ku United States ndipo inagwera poyerekeza ndi anzawo ambiri patsiku la Lachinayi, lomwe likugwera kwambiri ndi Swiss Franc, yomwe yakhala ikukondwera panthawi ya malonda atsopano. Ntchito za Sterling sizinathandizidwe ndi ming'alu yatsopano ndi magawano omwe amayamba mu chipani cha Tory poyerekeza ndi Brexit ndi CBI (bungwe la amalonda a UK) pofalitsa chiwonetsero chosokoneza malonda; Kuwerengera kwathunthu kwa malonda kugawidwa kunachokera ku kuwerenga kwa 24 mpaka 14 kwa Januwale, kuwonetsa kuti chiwerengero cha anthu ogulitsa malonda mu January chidzakhala osauka. UK FTSE inatsegula 0.36% ndi GBP / USD kutsekedwa pafupi ndi nsonga ya tsiku ndi tsiku. Mphamvu za Sterling zikhoza kubwezeretsedwa monga Mark Carney, bwanamkubwa wa BoE akuyankhula ku Davos Lachisanu.
USA equities anali ndi msonkhano wina wa tsiku ndi tsiku, ndipo zizindikiro ziwiri zikuluzikulu zimaphwanya mbiri, kachiwiri DJIA anatsekanso pa zolemba zapamwamba, atatha kulembera mbiri yapamwamba. Masoko akuwoneka kuti akulimbikitsidwa chifukwa cha kufika kwa Trump ku Davos, pamene pamisonkhano ndi atsogoleri osiyanasiyana a dziko lapansi, ndi oyankhulana ndi USA opanga mauthenga, adawoneka kuti akuyanjanitsa kwambiri pa kuika kwa America credo yoyamba; "Dola lidzakula ndikulimba ndipo potsirizira pake ndikufuna kuwona dollar yamphamvu," Trump adanena poyankha ndi CNBC kuchokera ku World Economic Forum, kubwezeretsa mawu olembedwa ndi Mlembi wa Chuma Mnuchin, amene adanena kuti dola mkulu Lachitatu.
Ofufuza adzayang'ana bwino malingaliro a Trump mosamala pamene aperekedwa ku bwaloli, chifukwa cha zizindikiro zilizonse za chitetezo cha Mnuchin pa Lachitatu pofika pazochitikazo. Ndalama ya ku America inasintha zomwe zakhala zikuchitika posachedwa ndi zochitika za tsiku ndi tsiku pambuyo pofotokoza ndemanga za Trump, ndikuwombera malire oyambirira poyerekeza ndi: yen, euro ndi sterling. Golide inagwira ntchito yowonjezera posachedwapa, kutsekera pansi 0.8% pa 1,348, itatha kusindikiza miyezi yambiri yapamwamba ya 1,366. Mafuta a WTI nayenso anatsika, kutsekera tsiku lozungulira 0.5% pa $ 65.20 pa mbiya. Dongosolo la dola lakutsekedwa linatsekedwa kudutsa 0.1%.
USDOLLAR
USD / JPY poyamba anagwera kupyolera mu S1, asanayambe kubwereranso kupyolera mu PP tsiku lililonse, kutseka pafupi kwambiri ndi tsiku la 109.4. USD / CHF poyamba inagulitsidwa mu machitidwe a tsiku ndi tsiku ndi osiyanasiyana, akudutsa mu S2 musanayambe kutsogolera kutsogolo kupyolera mu R1, kutseka pansi pa 0.3% pa 0.941. USD / CAD inatsatira chitsanzo chomwecho kwa awiri awiri awiri pa tsiku; kugwa kusanafike pofika tsiku lomaliza pa 1.237, kufika pafupifupi. 0.1% tsiku.
EURO
EUR / GBP inadutsa kupyolera mu R1 kutseka pafupifupi 0.3% patsiku la 0.876, kulemba tsiku loyamba kuyambira January 16th. Mgwirizano wa ndalama zamtanda uli kutali kwambiri ndi 200 DMA yomwe imayikidwa pa 0.884. EUR / USD mwafika pofika 1.2500 breaching R2, musanayambe kubwezeretsa ndikubwezeretsanso zopindulitsa, kutseka tsiku lozungulira 1.238, kufika pa 0.2%. EUR / CHF inagwidwa ndi mitundu yosiyanasiyana ndi chiyanjano choyipa, poyamba kugwa kwa S1 musanayambe kupuma kupyolera mu PP tsiku lililonse, mpaka kubwerera kudzera mu S2, potsirizira pake kutseka pansi 0.4% pa 1.166.
KUCHITA
GBP / USD inadutsa pa R1 kufika pafupifupi 0.3% patsiku, kuti apereke zotsatira kuti atseke pansi pa 0.1% pa 1.412, pansi pa 0.1%, akuphwanya chisamaliro chosagonjetsedwa cha masabata awiri. GBP / JPY yatsatira chitsanzo chofanana ndi chingwe; akukwera kudzera mu R1 kuti asiye kupindula, kubwereranso ku 154.7, pansi pa 0.2% patsikulo. GBP / CHF inalembedwa mwinamwake kugwa kwakukulu kwa tsikulo ponena za anzawo apamwamba kwambiri, akugwera pa 1%, akugwedeza kupyolera mu S3, kutseka kunja kwa 1.330.
Golide
XAU / USD inafotokozedwa mosiyanasiyana pa nthawi ya malonda a tsikulo, kufika pa miyezi yambiri ya 1,366, pamene ikuphwanya R2, musanayambe kusinthira chizoloŵezi cha tsiku ndi tsiku kuti iwonongeke mpaka pafupifupi. 1348 kumapeto kwa tsikulo, kudutsa mu S2 kutseka circa 0.8%.
ZOTHANDIZA ZIZINDIKIRO ZA JANUARY 25th.
• DJIA yatseka 0.54%.
• SPX inatseka 0.06%.
• FTSE 100 inatseka 0.36%.
• DAX inatseka 0.87%
• CAC inatseka 0.25%.
ZOCHITIKA ZOKHUDZA ZIKHALANI ZA JANUARY 26th.
• Gulu la Padziko Lonse la Gulu (YoY) (4Q A).
• Chiwerengero cha mitengo ya CAD (YoY) (DEC).
• USD Advance Goods Trade Balance (DEC).
• Zakudya Zamkatimu Zakale za USD annualized (QoQ) (4Q A).
• Malamulo Okhazikika a USD (DEC P).
• BUKHU LA GBP Mtumiki Mark Carney akuyankhula pa gulu ku Davos.
« UK ndi USA onse afalitsa zotsatira zawo zomaliza za GDP Q4 Lachisanu, onsewa adzawunikidwa mosamala, pazifukwa zosiyanasiyana SNTHAWI YA SUMBA YA SUMBA 29 / 1-2 / 2 | Deta ya USA imakhala yovuta kwambiri, pamene FOMC ikumana kuti ikwaniritse ndondomeko ya chiwongoladzanja, pamene akatswiri akuyembekeza kusintha kwa nambala ya ntchito ya January NFP »
