UK ndi USA onse afalitsa zotsatira zawo zomaliza za GDP Q4 Lachisanu, onsewa adzawunikidwa mosamala, pazifukwa zosiyanasiyana
Mabungwe onse aku UK ndi USA amafalitsa ziwerengero zapakati pa GDP za 2017, Lachisanu Januware 26. Kuwerenga konseku kudzawunikidwa mosamala ngati pali zofooka zilizonse zachuma, kapena kupitilirabe mphamvu, chaka chitatha. Kuwerenga kwa UK kudzawunikidwa mosamala pazizindikiro zina zakuti Brexit yomwe ikubwera siyikusokoneza chuma, pomwe kuwerenga kwa USA kuyang'aniridwa ngati zizindikilo zakuti dola yofooka, mu 2017 yonse, yalephera kukula bwino mdzikolo, zolembedwa zaka zaposachedwa.
Nthawi ya 9:30 am GMT (nthawi yaku London) Lachisanu 26 Januware bungwe la UK ONS (boma ladziko lonse) lidzalengeza kotala lomaliza ndi chaka manambala a GDP ku UK Zomwe zikuyembekezeka kuwerengedwa ndi 0.4% ya Q4 yomaliza ya 2017, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti chaka chatha GDP ilosera zakukula kwa 1.4%.
Ofufuza ndi osunga ndalama adzawunika mosamala kuwerenga konse uku, makamaka pokhudzana ndi vuto la Brexit, monga akatswiri azachuma komanso owonetsa msika amakhulupirira (ndipo ananeneratu), kuti chuma cha ku UK chitha kukopana ndi mavuto azachuma kumapeto kwa 2016 ndi 2017, chifukwa kuvota ya referendum kuti achoke mu EU Komabe, ambiri ali ndi zowawa kuti anene; UK sinachoke pano, chifukwa chake zovuta zilizonse zachuma ku Brexit zitha kuweruzidwa kamodzi (ndipo ngati) UK ingalowe munthawi yosintha ndipo ikadzatha.
Kuwerenga kwa Q3 GDP kudabwera 0.4%, ngati chiwerengero cha Q4 chitha kubwera monga 0.4% ndiye kuti kukula kwa 2017 kudzafika ku 1.4%, kugwa kwa YoY kwa 0.3%, kuchokera ku 1.7% yomwe idalembedwa kale. Ngakhale izi zikuyimira kugwa kwa kukula kwa GDP, akatswiri azachuma ambiri angaone zotsatirazi kukhala zovomerezeka, potengera kuneneratu kwakanthawi kwachuma. Komabe, ngati kuwerenga kungafike pa 0.5% ya Q4, mofanana ndi kuneneratu kopangidwa ndi NIESR, bungwe lodziyimira palokha lazachuma, ndiye kuti chiwerengero cha GDP cha 1.7% chitha kusungidwa. Sterling yasangalala ndi masewera motsutsana ndi anzawo akulu mu 2018, opitilira 2% motsutsana ndi anzawo ambiri mpaka pafupifupi 5.5% poyerekeza ndi dola yaku US. Kuwerenga kwa GDP kukapanda kuneneratu, ndiye kuti chidwi chitha kukhala ndi chidwi chochulukirapo ndipo zotsatira zake zimakhala ntchito yayikulu.
Nthawi ya 13:30 pm, GMT (nthawi yaku London) ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri za GDP zachuma ku USA zizisindikizidwa ndi Bureau of Economic Analysis; kuwerenga kwapachaka (QoQ) (4Q A). Zomwe zanenedwa ndikuwerengedwa kwa 3%, kutsika kuchokera pa 3.2% yowerengera yapachaka yolembetsedwa kotala yapitayi. Kukula kwa YoY pakadali pano ndi 2.30%.
Ngakhale kuti pulogalamu yochepetsa misonkho yomwe idalengezedwa idayamba kugwira ntchito komanso lamulo mu Disembala 2017, kukwezedwa kwachuma kumeneku sikungakhale komwe kudapangitsa GDP kugwira ntchito ku USA nthawi ya 2017. Palibe umboni kuti dola yaku US yotsika inali ndi zotsatira zake; kulimbikitsa chidwi mu magawo opanga ndi kutumiza kunja. Ku United States kugulitsa ndi kulipira kudalembabe zoperewera, chaka ndi chaka.
Kuwerenga kulikonse pamwambapa, kapena pafupifupi 3% yoyendetsera chuma cha Western Hemisphere, kumawerengedwa kuti ndi kwabwino, chifukwa chake ngati kuchotsedwa kwapachaka kwa GDP kukulembedwera, kuyambira 3.2% mpaka 3%, ndiye kuti owunikira, amalonda ndi osunga ndalama angaone kuti izi ndizovomerezeka, potengera mtengo wa USD.
ZOTHANDIZA ZOFUNIKA ZAZOCHITIKA KU UK
• GDP YoY 1.7%.
Chiwongola dzanja cha 0.50%.
• Mtengo wama inflation wa 3%.
• Mulingo wopanda ntchito 4.3%.
• Kukula kwa malipiro 2.5%.
• Ngongole v GDP 89.3%
Wophatikiza PMI 54.9.
ZIZINDIKIRO ZOFUNIKA ZAZOCHITIKA KWA USA
• GDP QoQ yapachaka 3.2%.
Chiwongola dzanja cha 1.50%.
• Mtengo wama inflation wa 2.10%.
• Mulingo wopanda ntchito 4.1%.
• Ngongole v GDP 106%.
Wophatikiza PMI 53.8.
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