An fitar da alkaluman hauhawar farashin kaya na Amurka a ranar Laraba, idan hauhawar farashin YoY ta fadi, to, masu saka hannun jari na kasuwar na iya sake samun kwarin gwiwa
A ranar Laraba 14 ga Fabrairu a 13:30 na yamma agogon GMT (lokacin Ingila), sashin USA BLS ya buga sabon bincikensa game da CPI (kumbura) a cikin Amurka. Akwai jerin bayanan CPI da aka fitar a lokaci guda, amma masu saka jari da masu sharhi zasu mai da hankali kan manyan matakai guda biyu, watan kan wata da shekara akan alkaluman CPI na shekara. Dangane da siyarwar kwanan nan da sake dawowa mai sauƙi a kasuwannin hada-hadar Amurka, za a sa ido sosai kan bayanan hauhawar farashin, an kuma ji ƙarar ribar a kasuwannin daidaito na duniya. An nuna selloff din akan fargabar cewa matsin hauhawar farashin albashi a Amurka, a halin yanzu a 4.47%, na iya haifar da FOMC / Fed don haɓaka ƙimar sha'awa fiye da yadda ake tsammani don sanya hauhawar farashi a cikin tattalin arziƙin ƙasa baki ɗaya.
Hasashen shine don hauhawar farashin YoY ya koma zuwa 1.9% YoY don Janairu, daga 2.1% da aka rubuta a baya don Disamba. Koyaya, ana hasashen karatun MoM zai karu zuwa 0.3% a watan Janairu, daga 0.1% a watan Disamba kuma wannan adadi ne na wata wanda masu saka jari da masu sharhi zasu iya mai da hankali sosai, sabanin ƙimar YoY. Masu saka jari na iya yin lissafin da sauri cewa idan irin wannan tashin hankali ya faru na tsawon wata guda wanda kan iya samar da adadi mai hauhawar farashi sannan kuma ya sanya bayanan don yin hasashen tashin shekara-shekara sama da 3% a lokacin 2018, sannan dabi'un daidaito na iya sake fuskantar matsi. Koyaya, madadin yanayin yana yiwuwa idan aka cika hasashen YoY. Masu saka jari na iya yin la’akari da cewa tashin YoY na shekara-shekara ya ɗan daidaita, sabili da haka kasuwar tashin hankali dangane da ɗimbin hauhawar farashin albashi, ya kasance abin wuce gona da iri.
Duk abin da labaran hauhawar farashi ya bayyana a ranar Laraba, ba tare da wata shakka ba za a kula da wannan sabon jerin adadin hauhawar farashin a hankali saboda siyarwar kwanan nan da murmurewa kadan, ba wai kawai ga tasirin tasiri a kasuwannin daidaito ba, har ma da tasirin tasiri kan darajar dalar Amurka. Bayan fitowar masu saka jari na dala data da kuma yan kasuwar FX zasu yanke hukunci cikin sauri dangane da darajar dala, kan yadda sauri FOMC / Fed zasu zartar da kudin ruwa da suka hauhawa, yayin taron su na Disamba da Janairu na kwanannan.
MAGANIN MAGANAR TATTALIN ARZIKI DANGANE DA SAKON KALALE
• GDP na YoY 2.5%.
• GDP QoQ 2.6%.
• Kudin sha'awa kashi 1.5%.
• Hawan hauhawar farashin kashi 2.1%.
• Girman albashi 4.47%.
• Rashin aikin yi 4.1%.
• Bashin Gwamnati v GDP 106.1%.
« Kamar yadda sabon CPI (hauhawar farashi) ya fito, Shin Bankin Ingila zai tabbatar da daidai wajen kiyaye ƙimar riba a 0.5%? Darajojin Amurka sun farfaɗo don rufe kan nasarorin da aka samu na 2018, ƙididdigar dalar Amurka ta faɗi, aikin farashin FX babu shi, kamar yadda manyan ma'aurata ke kasuwanci a cikin tsauraran matakai »
