Kamar yadda sabon CPI (hauhawar farashi) ya fito, Shin Bankin Ingila zai tabbatar da daidai wajen kiyaye ƙimar riba a 0.5%?
A ranar 13 ga Fabrairu da karfe 9.30AM hukumar kididdiga ta Burtaniya ONS, za ta buga sabbin alkaluman hauhawar farashin tattalin arzikin Burtaniya. Ididdigar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki sun haɗa da: CPI, RPI, ƙimar hauhawar kayayyaki, shigarwa, fitarwa da hauhawar farashin gidan. Babban adadi ne na CPI, kowane wata a wata da shekara a shekara, wanda masana da masu saka jari zasu sa ido sosai kuma bayanan na iya haifar da tasirin kasuwa a cikin fam na Burtaniya lokacin da aka sake su, idan hasashen ya cika.
An yi hasashen watan da zai hauhawar farashi ya sauka zuwa -0.6% a cikin Janairu, daga matakin 0.4% a cikin Disamba. An yi hasashen shekara ta shekara ta faɗi zuwa 2.9% na Janairu, daga 3% a cikin Disamba. Faduwa cikin yankin mara kyau na watan Janairu, wanda ke wakiltar cikakken juzu'i na 1% daga tabbataccen 0.4% bugawa a watan Disamba, na iya ɗaukar yawancin masu saka hannun jari (waɗanda suka kasa tsayawa a saman fitowar muhimman bayanan da za a zo nan gaba) ta hanyar mamaki da aka ba Bankin Ingila damuwa game da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, wanda suka watsa a yayin ganawarsu da manema labarai kamar yadda ya gabata a makon da ya gabata.
BoE ya ambaci tsoratar da matsakaita matsakaita na hauhawar farashin kaya, a matsayin hujja kan labarinsu na shaho wanda aka gabatar a makon da ya gabata, a lokacin da ba su yanke shawara game da canjin kudin Burtaniya. Mark Carney ya gabatar da jagorar gaba yana mai ba da shawarar cewa masu saka jari su shirya don wata manufa mafi saurin amfani da kudi a yayin shekaru masu zuwa; hawa zai zama mafi girma kuma da sannu. Ya dena gabatar da tebur na lokaci, duk da haka, gamammiyar yarjejeniya ta bayyana hawa uku ne na 0.25% kafin ƙarshen 2019, suna ɗaukar darajar tushe zuwa 1.25%. Koyaya, taka tsantsan da ba da hujja ga kowane tashin hankali na gaba, na iya zama tasirin tattaunawar Brexit a cikin watanni shida masu zuwa, tasirin Brexit daga Maris 2019 zuwa gaba da ci gaban tattalin arzikin Burtaniya a lokacin.
Fan na Burtaniya ya tashi sosai bayan shawarar ƙimar tushe na BoE da kuma taron manema labarai na gaba; kebul (GBP / USD) ya tashi kuma EUR / GBP ya faɗi. Koyaya, abubuwan da aka samu ba su daɗe ba kamar yadda Brexit ya sake firgitawa, ya sake dawo da martaba zuwa matakan sanarwar BoE, tare da manyan kuɗaɗen sahun gaba biyu. Idan bayanin MoM na faduwa zuwa -0.6% ya zama gaskiya, ko kuma an rubuta mummunan karatu kusa da wannan adadi, to, an yi hasashen BoE da fargaba game da hauhawar farashi da wuri, saboda irin wannan fam ɗin na iya fuskantar matsin lamba, tare da masu saka jari sun batar da cewa an yi karin gishiri game da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.
MAGANAR MAGANAR TATTALIN ARZIKI GA OFasar BIRNAN TAIMAKAWA ZUWA SAMUN.
• GDP na YoY 1.5%.
• GDP QoQ 0.5%.
• Kudin sha'awa kashi 0.5%.
• Hawan hauhawar farashin kashi 3.0%.
• Rashin aikin yi 4.3%.
• Bashin Gwamnati v GDP 89.3%.
• Ayyukan PMI 53.
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