Darajojin Amurka sun farfaɗo don rufe kan nasarorin da aka samu na 2018, ƙididdigar dalar Amurka ta faɗi, aikin farashin FX babu shi, kamar yadda manyan ma'aurata ke kasuwanci a cikin tsauraran matakai
Manyan kasuwannin Amurka da fihirisa yanzu sun dawo da mafi yawan ƙasar da aka ɓace da aka bayar makon da ya gabata; da DJIA sun rufe 1.70%, SPX sun ƙaru 1.39% kuma NASDAQ sun koma cikin yanki mai kyau har zuwa shekara zuwa yau; ya tashi da 1.57% a ranar da kuma 1.142 a cikin 2018. Gabaɗaya faduwar kasuwar 10% ta manyan mahimman bayanai guda uku, wanda ke nuna gyara na fasaha, yanzu ya ragu zuwa kusan 7.5% faɗuwa daga ƙwanƙolin, tare da DJIA yanzu suna rijistar -0.48 % shekara zuwa rashi yau don 2018 da SPX -0.68%.
Yayinda shekaru goma na ajiyar baitul ya dawo daga matsakaicin kashi 2.90% a ranar zuwa kashi 2.85%, hauhawar farashin riba ya koma baya. Masu saka jari na iya yin duba na hangen nesa na YoY game da hauhawar farashin CPI na Amurka, saboda za a buga shi a ranar Laraba, yana hasashen faɗuwa zuwa 1.9% kuma sun ɗauki ra'ayin cewa selloff ya wuce gona da iri. Dangane da bayanan kasuwar Amurka, masu saka hannun jari sun ci riba ta $ 30.6bn daga asusun hada-hadar duniya a makon da ya gabata yayin selloff, tare da Amurka da ke fuskantar fitattun kudade musamman saboda tsananin tashin hankalin da aka gani a kan Wall Street. Yawo daga kudaden hannun jarin Amurka ya kai dala biliyan 34 a cikin ranakun ciniki guda biyar zuwa Laraba, a cewar bayanan EPFR, wanda ke wakiltar mafi girman fitowar tun rikicin banki na 2008. Kasuwanni na iya fara ganin shigowar shigar cikin sauri cikin kwanaki masu zuwa. A cikin rana mai nutsuwa ga labaran kalanda na tattalin arzikin Amurka bayanin kasafin kudi na kowane wata ya ɓace, ta hanyar zuwa dala biliyan 49.2 na watan Janairu.
Indexididdigar dala ta faɗi da kimanin. 0.3% a yayin rana, yayin da dala ta rufe ranar zuwa kusan 0.3% v da euro kuma kusa da layi ɗaya da: franc na Switzerland, fam na Ingila da yen. Zinariya ta tashi da kimanin. 0.5% zuwa $ 1,324 a kowane awo, yayin da WTI ta kasance ƙasa da mahimman $ 60 ganga. Adadin baitulmalin shekara goma ya koma zuwa kashi 2.85%, bayan haurawa zuwa sabon shekaru huɗu na 2.90% yayin zaman ciniki. A duk faɗin hukumar FX yan kasuwa zasuyi gwagwarmaya don cire riba daga kasuwa wanda mafi yawan sanannun nau'ikan kasuwancin, musamman ma manyan ma'aurata, ba su da yawa kaɗan dangane da aikin farashi. Yawancin nau'i-nau'i sun yi ciniki a gefe a cikin tsararraki masu tsayi a duk zaman kasuwancin ranar.
A cikin rana mai nutsuwa don labarai na Turai manyan alamomin sun kuma sami ci gaba mai girma, UK FTSE 100 sun rufe ranar zuwa 1.19, DAX sun rufe 1.45% da CAC zuwa 1.20%. Koyaya, ba kamar takwarorinta na Amurka ba, ƙididdigar Turai har yanzu suna yin rijistar muhimmiyar shekara zuwa yau ta fadi, misali; FTSE 100 yayi kasa -6.64% YTD. Labaran kalandar tattalin arzikin Turai kawai na kowane muhimmiyar mahimmanci, ya shafi CPI na Switzerland na watan Janairu, yana doke hasashen faduwar -0.2%, ta hanyar shigowa cikin -0.1% da rijistar tashin YoY na 0.7%. Abubuwan ajiyar banki na Switzerland sun kasance masu karko. Yuro da aka buga kusan. Samu 0.3% a ranar tare da: dala Amurka, labanin Burtaniya da Swiss franc. Sauran sanannun labarai, ba a lissafa su a kalandar tattalin arziki ba, sun fito ne daga kamfanin sarrafa katin Visa, wanda ya bayyana cewa kudin da Burtaniya ke kashewa ya ragu da kashi 4% a watan Janairu, faduwar watan Janairu mafi girma da aka gani tun bayan shekarun koma bayan tattalin arziki, kimanin shekaru goma baya; a cikin 2008-2009.
Tsarin
GBP / USD sun yi ciniki a cikin kusan kusan. Matsakaicin 0.2%, tare da ɗan son zuciya zuwa ɓarna yayin zaman kasuwancin na rana. Rufe ranar ƙasa kusan 0.1%, a ƙasa da PP na yau da kullun a 1.383. GBP / CHF sun bi irin wannan tsarin kuma ana yin siye da siyarwa a cikin tsauraran matakai tare da dukkan manyan takwarorinta, sun kasa yin rijistar duk wata riba a ranar.
Euro
EUR / GBP sun yi ciniki a cikin tsananin kewayon kusan kimanin. 0.3% yayin zaman Litinin, rufe kusan 0.3% a ranar, a wani matakin keta matakin farko na juriya R1, kafin rufewa a 0.888. Jirgin ruwa na EUR / USD ya tashi cikin tsauraran matakai, yana tashi ta hanyar R1 a safiyar Turai, yana faɗuwa ta hanyar PP na yau da kullun, sannan ya dawo da matakin R1, yana rufe kusan 0.3% a ranar a 1.229.
US DOLLAR
USD / JPY sun yi ciniki a cikin wani yanki mai tsananin kusan 0.1% yayin zaman rana, ciniki kusa da mahimman maɓallin yau da kullun, manyan masu hada-hadar kuɗi sun ƙare ranar kusa da faɗi a 108.6. USD / CHF sun yi bulala a cikin wani tsayayyen fanni, suna ta jujjuyawa tsakanin yanayin saurin ɗaukar nauyi, don sauya saurin rufe ranar zuwa kusan 0.1%, sama da PP na yau da kullun a 108.6. USD / CAD sun yi ciniki a cikin tsauraran matakai, suna tashi sama da PP na yau da kullun, kafin su ba da fa'idodi, don rufe ranar zuwa kusan 0.1%, a 1.258.
Zinariya
XAU / USD ya buga ƙarami a ranar 1,317 kuma mai girma 1,324, kafin ya ƙare a kusan 1,327. Rufe kusan 0.5% a ranar, ƙarfe mai daraja ya sauya jerin asarar yau da kullun wanda ya shaida farashi ya faɗi zuwa makon da yawa na ƙasa da 1,314.
INGANTATTU NA SIFFOFI NA FABARA 12.
• DJIA rufe 1.70%.
• SPX ta rufe 1.39%.
• FTSE 100 ya rufe 1.19%.
• DAX rufe 1.45%.
• CAC ta rufe 1.20%.
ABUBUWAN DA KE BAN TATTALIN ARZIKIN KATSINA NA FEBRUARAR 13.
• GBP. Fihirisar Farashin Masu Amfani (MoM) (JAN).
• GBP. Fihirisar Farashin Masu Sayayya (YoY) (JAN).
• GBP. Fihirisar Farashin Gida (YoY) (DEC).
• JPY. Babban Kayan Gida na shekara-shekara sa (QoQ) (4Q P).
BABBAN SAKAMAKON TATTALIN ARZIKIN KASASHEN KASASHE DOMIN KASANCEWA A RANAR TALATA FEB 13.
Sabbin alkaluman CPI na Burtaniya, duk wata da na YoY, za a sa musu ido sosai lokacin da aka sake su yayin zaman London - na Turai. Hasashen yana faɗuwa ne zuwa -0.6% na Janairu da raguwa zuwa 2.9% YoY, daga adadi na 3% na yanzu. Idan -0.6% faɗuwa ya bayyana to aikin zai iya zama mahimmanci ga GBP. BoE ya ba da shawarar shirin manufofin kuɗin na iya canzawa a cikin watanni masu zuwa; Gwamnan Bankin na Ingila yana mai bayar da shawarar cewa kudin ruwa zai iya karuwa ya kuma fi yawa fiye da yadda yake jagorantar sa ta gaba a baya saboda matsin hauhawar farashin kaya na gajeren lokaci. Koyaya, idan duka karatun CPI suka shigo kamar yadda aka faɗi, to masu saka hannun jari na iya fassara labarai a matsayin masu haƙƙin laban, suna masu lalata cewa BoE yana ƙarƙashin ƙananan matsin lamba (a cikin gajeren lokaci zuwa matsakaici), don haɓaka ƙimomi.
Maraice maraice sauran manyan abubuwan tasirin tasiri na ranar sun shafi sabon GDP daga Japan. Hasashen ya kasance na faduwa daga QoQ na kaso 2.5% na kowace shekara zuwa 1%, tare da adadi na wata-wata da ke zuwa a cikin 0.6% GDP na ci gaba na Q4 na 2017. Idan wadannan hasashen sun shigo kamar yadda aka annabta, yen na iya fuskantar matsi, kamar yadda manazarta da ‘yan kasuwa ke na iya zuwa ga ƙarshe cewa lokaci ya yi da firayim minista Abe ko babban bankin BOJ, don haɓaka halayen shaho. Gwamnati da BOJ wataƙila za su yi la'akari da dakatar da niyyar watsa shirye-shiryen da suka gabata; don daidaitawa da ɓata tsarin manufofinsu da na kuɗi daidai da bi.
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