I-USD iza ngaphansi kokuhlolwa, njengoba abadayisi be-FX beqala ukunaka umhlangano we-FOMC kuleli sonto.
Idola laseMelika liqhubekile nokulahlekelwa yizinga elithile uma liqhathaniswa nontanga yalo eminingana phakathi neseshini yasebusuku yase-Asia kanye namahora okuqala ngemuva kokuvulwa kweLondon, njengoba abatshalizimali nabahwebi bebhekise ukunaka kwabo emhlanganweni wokuhlela amanani we-FOMC, okuhlelwe ukuthi ube phakathi kukaJanuwari 29th- 30 kwe. Ngokuqhathaniswa ne-CHF, JPY, CAD kanye nawo womabili amadola ase-Australasia (NZD kanye ne-AUD), idola elibhalisiwe liwa kancane ekuhwebeni kwangaphambi kwesikhathi. Ngo-9:45am ngesikhathi sase-UK, i-USD/JPY yehle ngo-0.16%, futhi i-USD/CHF yehle ngo-0.10%.
Abakhiqizi abaningi bezimakethe kanye nabahwebi be-FX edola, babikezela ukuthi uJerome Powell, isikhulu se-Fed, uzomemezela ukuxegiswa kwesikhashana kwenqubomgomo yokuqinisa imali ibhange eliphakathi eliyamukele, kusukela ekuqokweni kwakhe. Kulindeleke ukuthi avume ukuthi ukukhula komhlaba wonke kuya ngokuya kuba buthaka, kuyilapho kunezinye izici ezithuthukayo emnothweni wase-US, ikakhulukazi ukwehla kwamandla emali okunesimo esibucayi okucishe kube ngu-1.7%, okukhuthaze yena kanye nawo wonke amanye amalungu ekomidi le-FOMC, ukuthi basebenzise i-dovish. isimo senqubomgomo. Izingxoxo zohwebo phakathi kwe-USA ne-China zenziwa ngoLwesibili nangoLwesithathu waleli sonto, ezingase futhi zigxile emiqondweni ye-FOMC, bangase baphethe ngokuthi ukumemezela ukukhuphuka kwamanani enzalo abalulekile ase-US manje, ngeke kube okungalungile.
Ngokuqondene nokuthi lokhu kuzoba ikhefu lesikhashana emjikelezweni wokuqinisa, noma amanani azohlala ezingeni lawo lamanje lika-2.5% esikhathini esisele sika-2019, kuzoba isihloko uMnu. Powell May akhuluma ngaso esitatimendeni sakhe, uma isinqumo sokusetha izinga eyenziwe. UMnu. Powell uphinde wathola ukugxekwa okukhulu okuvela kuMongameli uTrump, okholelwa ukuthi izinga lokukhuphuka elibonwe phakathi no-2018 lilimaza umnotho wase-US, ikakhulukazi izimakethe ze-equity zase-USA, ezehla kakhulu emasontweni okugcina ka-2018.
I-FOMC kufanele imemezele isinqumo sabo ngo-19: 00 GMT ngoLwesithathu 30th, noMnu. Powell ethula inkulumo yakhe esithangamini nabezindaba ngo-19: 30pm. Lokhu kuzoza ngemuva kokukhishwa kwezibalo zakamuva zokukhula komnotho wase-USA ngo-13:30 ebusuku. Osomnotho ababuzwa ngabakwaReuters babikezela ukuthi ukukhula kwaminyaka yonke e-USA kuzobe kwehle kakhulu engxenyeni yokugcina ka-2018, njengoba ukungaboni ngaso linye kwe-China-USA mayelana nentela yezohwebo kwaqala ukuba nomthelela ekukhuleni kwasekhaya. Isibikezelo siwukuthi ukwehla ku-2.6%, kusukela ezingeni langaphambili lika-3.6%, kuzorekhodwa.
Naphezu kokukhathazeka ngokuphathelene nomnotho womhlaba, i-yen yaseJapane yehlulekile ukuheha ukutshalwa kwezimali endaweni ephephile ngezikhathi zokuhweba zakamuva, ngemuva kokuthi i-Bank Of Japan ikhiphe umbiko wokwehla kwamandla emali ngesonto eledlule, ephakamisa ukuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali kuzoba buthaka. Ibhange elikhulu liphinde lazibophezela ukuthi lizoqhubeka nenqubomgomo yalo yezimali yendawo yokuhlala exegayo kakhulu, kuyilapho lingalethi zinkomba zokuthi ukuthengwa kwebhondi kuzophela nini, noma uma inzalo izonyuka.
Ngemuva kwezibalo zokukhula ezidumazayo ezivela eJalimane naseFrance, abathengisi be-FX babheja ukuthi i-ECB izogcina inqubomgomo yayo yemali yamanje, maqondana ne-Eurozone kanye nenani le-euro. I-ECB yehlise isibikezelo sayo sokukhula kwe-bloc yemali eyodwa ngesonto eledlule. Naphezu kwalesi simo i-EUR/USD yenze izinzuzo ezincane ngeviki eledlule cishe ngo-0.5% futhi azizange zishintshe kakhulu phakathi namahora okuhweba asekuseni ngoMsombuluko.
Ikhebula nalo alizange lishintshe kakhulu phakathi namahora okuqala okuhweba, i-GBP/USD iphrinte izinzuzo ezicishe zibe ngu-2.5% phakathi nezikhathi zokuhweba zangesonto eledlule, njengoba uhulumeni wase-UK ebheke ukugwema isivumelwano se-Brexit, njengoba iwashi lifika phansi ngoMashi 29. idethi yokuphuma. Inani lokuphumelela ebhodini lonke ngokumelene nontanga yalo lisekelwe izindaba zokuthi i-DUP, eyeseka uhulumeni wase-UK ephalamende elilengayo, izowuseka umthethosivivinywa wokuhoxiswa kwezimali uma lokho okubizwa ngokuthi “i-backstop” kususwa. Kodwa-ke, lokhu kungenzeka kuphazamisekile ngempelasonto, njengoba bobabili abenzi bezomthetho base-Ireland nabaseYurophu bethi i-backstop izosala, ngaphandle kokuthi i-UK ivume ukuhlala enhlanganweni ehlala njalo.
Izimakethe zokulingana zaseYurophu zavulwa futhi zahweba kancane ekuqaleni kweseshini yaseYurophu, lapho i-UK FTSE ihweba yehle ngo-0.50%, i-CAC yaseFrance yehle ngo-0.62% kanye ne-DAX yaseJalimane yehla ngo-0.51%, ngo-8:45am ngesikhathi sase-UK. Ikusasa lezimakethe zokulingana zase-USA lalikhombisa ukufundwa okungekuhle ezimakethe ezinkulu uma sezivuliwe, ikusasa le-SPX lehle ngo-0.52%, kodwa lenyuke ngo-7.99% phakathi nenyanga. Igolide liqhubekile nokubamba inani lalo eduze kwesibambo se-psyche esibucayi se- $ 1300 i-ounce, ihweba phansi ngo-0.21% ngo-1303.
« Abathengisi be-FX basalokhu begxile ebuhleni, njengoba inkulumo-mpikiswano ye-Brexit ibuyela ePhalamende kuleli sonto. Izimakethe zamasheya zomhlaba wonke ziyadayiswa njengoba izingxoxo zezohwebo zase-USA-China ziseduze, uwoyela uyancipha ekukhuphukeni kwempahla. »
