Umnotho wase-US ukhule ngaphezu kwalokho obekulindelwe; yini elandelayo?
Njengoba igagasi le-Delta lifiphala kanye nokwahluka kwe-Omicron kwaba usongo ekuqhumeni kabusha kwezinyanga zokugcina zika-2021, ukusimama komnotho wase-US kwakhula ngesivinini.
Ngakho-ke, ingabe sizobona ijubane lokukhula ngo-2022?
Ikota yesine eqinile
Ikota yesine inikeze ukukhululeka phakathi kokuqubuka kwe-coronavirus. Kwaqala ngenkathi okuhlukile kwe-Delta kuncipha, futhi ithonya lika-Omicron lazwakala kuphela emasontweni akamuva.
Ngekota yesine yonyaka odlule, i-GDP yezwe inyuke ngesivinini esingamaphesenti angu-6.9 ngonyaka. Ukusetshenziswa kwemali kwabathengi kube nomthelela ekukhuleni okuqinile kwekota yesine.
Ngemuva kokushaqeka kokuqala kwalolu bhubhane, ukusetshenziswa kwemali kwabathengi kanye nokutshalwa kwezimali kwangasese kwabuyiselwa ngenxa yemizamo yokugoma, izimo eziphansi zokubolekwa kwemali, kanye nemizuliswano eyalandela yosizo lukahulumeni kubantu nezinkampani.
Imakethe yezabasebenzi iphinde yathola imisebenzi engaphezu kwezigidi eziyi-19 kwezigidi ezingama-22 elahlekile ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kwemisebenzi okudalwa yigciwane.
Ngonyaka odlule, umnotho wase-US ukhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-5.7 unyaka nonyaka. Lokhu ukwanda okukhulu konyaka owodwa kusukela ngo-1984. Ukuphrinta kumane kungenye indumiso yonyaka omangalisayo wokululama. Ngo-2021, izwe lizobe selizuze imisebenzi eyizigidi ezingu-6.4, eminingi kakhulu onyakeni owodwa emlandweni.
Unethemba elikhulu?
UMengameli uBiden ukuncome ukukhula komnotho kulo nyaka kanye nezinzuzo zemisebenzi njengobufakazi bokuthi imizamo yakhe ithela izithelo. Kodwa-ke, ukusimama komnotho muva nje kugutyungelwe amazinga okwehla kwamandla emali amakhulu kakhulu kusukela ngo-1982.
Ukunyuka kwentengo yabathengi, okufinyelele kumaphesenti angu-7 ngonyaka kuze kube nguDisemba, kuqale ukusheshisa entwasahlobo lapho isidingo senethiwekhi yokulethwa kwempahla egcwele intela eyayivele ihlushwa yilolu bhubhane.
Ngokusho koMnyango wezabaSebenzi, amanani avela kwamanye amazwe abe phezulu ngamaphesenti ayi-10.4 ngoDisemba kunangonyaka odlule.
Misa ukululama
Izithiyo eziningana ezibalulekile ziyaqhubeka nokuvimbela ukululama. Ikota yesine ibone ukwanda kwamacala egciwane njengoba ukusabalala kwe-Omicron kushesha, nakuba isikhathi singazange sibambe okubi kakhulu kwegagasi elisha.
Njengoba izifo zibangela ukungabikho, ukwanda kohlobo lwe-Omicron kubonakala kwandisa izinselelo zamafemu zokuvikela abasebenzi abathembekile.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, njengoba izinkampani zehlula zodwa ukuze zifike ngaphambili kolayini ukuze zinikeze izingxenye ezakha izimpahla zazo zokugcina, ukushoda kwempahla yezingxenye okunzima ukuzikhipha emthonjeni, njengama-computer chips, kuseyinkinga.
Ukuthunyelwa kwempahla eyinhloko, okuyinkomba evamile yokutshalwa kwezimali kwenkampani ekusetshenzisweni kwemishini yase-US, kukhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-1.3 ngekota yesine kodwa kwahlala kuzinzile ngoDisemba.
Yini okufanele uyiqaphele?
Ukwenyuka okuqinile kwikota yesine kungase kumelele ukuphrinta okuphezulu kakhulu kokutholwa okuqhubekayo. Kuleli sonto, i-Federal Reserve isayine ukuthi isikulungele ukunyusa amanani enzalo emazingeni acishe abe ngu-zero emhlanganweni wayo kaMashi ukuze kwehliswe ukwesekwa kwayo kanye nokulwa nokwehla kwamandla emali.
Ukuthengwa kwempahla ephuthumayo ye-Fed kakade kuzomiswa ekuqaleni kukaMashi, futhi ukukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo cishe kuzoba nesisindo ekukhuleni komnotho. Kuleli sonto, i-International Monetary Fund yehlise ukubikezela kwe-GDP yayo yase-US ka-2022 ngamaphesenti angu-1.2, kuya kumaphesenti angu-4, icaphuna inqubomgomo ye-Fed eqinile kanye nokumiswa okulindelekile kunoma yikuphi ukusetshenziswa kwemali okugqugquzelayo yiCongress. Kodwa-ke, leyo nzuzo isazodlula isilinganiso saminyaka yonke ukusuka ku-2010 kuya ku-2019.
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