Izimakethe zase-US zikhuphuka ngemuva kwezinsuku ezimbili zokulahleka, inkomba yedola laseMelika, futhi ama-yen ayenyuka uma kuqhathaniswa nontanga
Izimakethe ze-Equity e-USA ziphule umkhondo wazo wokulahlekelwa yizinsuku ezimbili ngoLwesine, njengoba i-DJIA ne-SPX zivala, zakhuthaza izimangalo zokungasebenzi. Ukwehla kwamasonto amahlanu, kanye nezimangalo eziqhubekayo nazo ziwa, zengezwe esimweni esiphelele sethemba labatshalizimali ngesikhathi seseshini yaseNew York.
Kodwa-ke, abahlaziyi abaningi bebecaphuna ukuthi abatshalizimali bezinga lesikhungo basenokukhathazeka mayelana nokukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo, okubangele ukuthi zombili izinkomba zibuyisele inzuzo yazo, isuka ngaphezu kuka-1%. Imithombo eminingana yasebhange manje ibikezela ukuthi i-FOMC ingakwazi ukugunyaza ukukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo ezine ngo-2018, okukodwa kunalokho okwakuphakanyiswe ngaphambili. Lokhu kungabona izinga elingukhiye ku-3% ngoDisemba. Uhlu lwamandla ahlukahlukene lwehla, okudale ukuthi uwoyela we-WTI unyuke ngo-1.5%, kuyilapho igolide liqeda ukulahlekelwa kwalo, kwavala cishe u-0.1% ngosuku.
Ezinye izindaba zaseNyakatho Melika zabona ukuthengiswa kwezitolo zaseCanada kwehla; ukufundwa okubili okubalulekile kwehla ngo -0.8% kanye -1.8% ngoDisemba, okubangela ukudayiswa okukhulu ku-CAD, ngemuva kokumenyezelwa kokuwa kokuthengisa. I-Yen yeqe ngo-1% uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika, kanti futhi ikhuphuka kakhulu uma iqhathaniswa nabo bonke ontanga yayo abakhulu.
Izindaba zase-Europe ziqale zagxila ekufundweni okuhlukahlukene kwe-IFO yaseJalimane, bobathathu bageja isibikezelo sezulu kancane. Ngemuva kwalokho, kwagxilwa e-UK nasekufundweni okuhlukahlukene okwadumaza izimakethe. Isilinganiso sesibili se-GDP sehle saya ku-1.4% sisuka ku-1.5%, iflethi lokutshalwa kwezimali kwebhizinisi lafinyelela ku-0.00%, kanti ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kwehle kwaya ku--0.2% ku-Q4 QoQ, ukuthengwa kwamanye amazwe kukhuphuke ngo-1.5% kwikota efanayo. Njengomphumela walokhu kufundwa okune, umbono womhlaziyi okhona ukuthi ukuvuselelwa kokukhiqiza nokuthumela kwamanye amazwe abaningi abebekubikezela nge-UK ngenxa yephawundi elibuthakathaka kuhwamuka ngokushesha njengethiyori esebenzayo.
I-UK FTSE 100 yehla, kuyilapho iphawundi lithole inzuzo ngokuqhathaniswa nontanga abambalwa. I-akhawunti ye-ECB/amaminithi omhlangano wenqubomgomo wangomhla zingama-21-22 kuMasingana ikhululiwe, kufundeka phakathi kwemigqa ithoni iyonke yayingathathi hlangothi, noma i-dovish noma i-hawkish, ukuhumusha ukuthi i-ECB ngeke iphazamise i-APP yayo ngaphambi kwesikhathi, noma ngokunamandla ithemba lanoma yikuphi ukukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo ngo-2018 alikho ku-radar.
IDOLELA LASEMelika
I-USD/JPY yehle ngamaleveli amathathu osekelo, yehla ngesibambo esingu-107.00, lapho umbhangqwana wohlobo lwemali enkulu wawuyibambe njengeleveli ezinsukwini ezintathu ezedlule. Intengo isengaphansi kakhulu kokubili kwe-100 kanye ne-200 DMA, ebekwe cishe ku-111.00. Ekupheleni kwentengo yokudlala ibiku-106.74, yehle ngo-1%. I-USD/CHF yehla ngobubanzi obubanzi usuku lonke, yaqala yafinyelela ku-R1 esimisweni sase-Asia, umbhangqwana wemali waqala ukwehla, wagcina uvale cishe usuku lokwehla. 0.6%, emgqeni wesibili wokusekela i-S2, ku-0.932. I-USD/CAD ikhuphuke kakhulu, yakhipha izinga lesibili lokumelana, ngaphambi kokubuyisela okuthile okuzuziwe ukuze kuvalwe cishe ku-1.270, cishe. 0.2%.
UKUQALA
I-GBP/USD ishayeke ebangeni elibanzi ngokuchema ekugcineni, yangena ku-S1 kuseshini yaseYurophu, ikhebula latholwa ukuze lephule u-R1 ukuze lenqabe izinga, livale usuku ngo-1.395, eduze nendawo ye-pivot yansuku zonke. I-Sterling yehla uma iqhathaniswa kokubili i-CHF ne-JPY, njengoba zombili izinhlobo zemali ziheha amabhidi ezindawo eziphephile. I-GBP/CHF yehle nge-S1, yavala usuku lwehla cishe ngo-0.4%, ngaphezu nje kwesibambo esingu-1.300 ku-1.301.
EURO
I-EUR/USD ibuyise okunye ukulahlekelwa okumaphakathi okutholwe kusukela ngomhla ka-Feb 18 lapho umbhangqwana omkhulu wemali wephula isibambo esingu-1.2500. Laba bashadikazi baphule ukulahleka kwezinsuku ezintathu kwakamuva kochungechunge ngokuvala cishe usuku lonke. 0.3% ngo-1.233. I-EUR/GBP ishayeke ebangeni eliqinile ngokuchema okuncane, yephula u-R1 ekuqaleni kweseshini yaseYurophu, ngaphambi kokubuyela emuva eduze ne-PP yansuku zonke, ivale cishe u-0.1% ngosuku ngo-0.883. I-EUR/CHF yagcina ihwebe ngenani elibanzi le-bearish nsuku zonke ngemuva kokugqashuka okokuqala nge-PP yansuku zonke, yavala u-0.6% ngosuku, ngo-1.150, umbhangqwana wemali uhwebe ngebanga eliqinile manje cishe. izinsuku eziyishumi.
GOLD
I-XAU/USD ishayeke ebangeni eliqinile ngokuchema ekugcineni, yaqala yawela ku-S1 kuseshini yase-Europe yehle ngo-0.3%, ngenkathi yanyathelisa okuphansi kwe-intraday okungu-1,320. Ukuvikeleka kwensimbi eyigugu kutholakale ukuze kuhlakazwe i-PP yansuku zonke, ekugcineni kuvalwe cishe usuku. 0.1% ku-1,331 eduze nokuphakama kwansuku zonke kwe-1,322.
IZIQINISEKISO ZAMA-INDICES FOR FEBRUARY 22nd.
• I-DJIA ivale u-0.66%.
• I-SPX ivale u-0.10%.
• I-FTSE 100 ivale u-0.40%.
• I-DAX ivale u-0.07%.
• I-CAC ivale u-0.13%.
IMICIMBI YEKHALENDA LEZOMNOTHO OMQOKA KAFEBRUARY 23rd.
• EUR. I-German Exports (4Q).
• EUR. I-German Imports (4Q).
• EUR. I-German Gross Domestic Product wda (YoY) (4Q F).
• EUR. I-Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (YoY) (JAN F).
• I-CAD. Inkomba Yentengo Yabathengi (YoY) (JAN).
UKHISHWA NGEKHALENDA UKUZE UQAPHELE NGOKUQAPHELA NGOLWESIHLANU FEBRUARY 23rd.
Isikhundla saseJalimane, esisenhliziyweni yesizinda sokukhiqiza se-Eurozone, sizoqinisekiswa uma ukufundwa kwe-Q4 kungena ku-2.2% ehlaba umxhwele kakhulu okubikezelwe. Ukuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kubikezelwa ukuthi kuzokhula ngo-1.4% ngesikhathi esifanayo, futhi iJalimane izobe ihlinzeka ngemodeli nesibonelo esihlaba umxhwele sokuthi umnotho wezwe ophumelelayo udala kanjani insalela yohwebo kanye nebhalansi yezinkokhelo ezinqwabelene. I-GDP yaseJalimane ibikezela ukuthi izofika ku-2.9% YoY, isondele ngokuphindwe kabili ukusebenza komnotho wase-UK obhaliswe kuleli sonto.
Idola laseCanada lehle uma liqhathaniswa nontanga yalo ngoLwesine, njengoba izinombolo zokuthengiswa kwezitolo zidumaze imakethe ngokuphuthelwa yizibikezelo. Kungenzeka ukuthi abatshalizimali bebebheke isibalo sakamuva se-CPI, okumele sikhishwe esimisweni saseNew York, sengathi i-CPI iwela njengoba bekubikezelwe bese i-BOC (ibhange elimaphakathi laseCanada) izoba mancane kakhulu amathuba okuthi inyuse inzalo, ngamafuphi. ukuya esikhathini esimaphakathi. Ngakho-ke abathengisi bangase babe yi-bearish eyengeziwe, maqondana nenani le-CAD.
« Imizuzu ye-FOMC igcizelela ukholo lwe-Fed emnothweni wase-USA, kodwa ayinikezi umkhondo mayelana nokukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo, idola laseMelika liyaqhubeka nokusimama kwakamuva. Ngabe ukulungiswa okufishane, okubukhali, ezimakethe zamasheya, kunikezwe amabhange aphakathi izaba zokunganyusi amanani entengo? »
