Umthelela Wokuhola Nokukhomba Izinkomba Ekuhwebeni Kwakho Kwangaphambili
Izinkomba, njengengxenye yokuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe jikelele, kusiza ukukhomba: umfutho, izitayela, ukungazinzi nezinye izici zokuziphatha kwezokuphepha kwe-forex okunika amandla abathengisi ukwenza izinqumo ezicatshangelwe kakhulu futhi ngenxa yalokho ziningi ezizuzisa isikhathi eside noma esifushane (ukuthenga noma ukuthengisa). Ngenkathi abanye abathengisi basebenzisa inkomba eyodwa, kuphela ukuthenga nokuthengisa amasiginali, zisetshenziswa kahle ngokubambisana nokunyakaza kwentengo, amaphethini eshadi nezinye izinkomba.
Ukuhlakanipha okubonakalayo ukuthi abathengisi basebenzisa kahle kakhulu inhlanganisela yezinkomba eziholayo nezisalela emuva njengengxenye yecebo labo jikelele futhi abathengisi abaningi bezobuchwepheshe bangavumelana nalokhu kugomela, kepha-ke, kufanelekile ukuhlaziya izinzuzo ezilinganisiwe zesethi ngayinye yezinkomba ukufika kuleso siphetho .
Izingxoxo ezimayelana nokufaneleka okuhlukahlukene kanye nezinkomba eziholela emuva zingavame ukubonakala zinokuphikisana phakathi komphakathi weFX, umbuzo osobala kakhulu ukuthi kungani uzihlupha ngezinkomba ezisalela emuva, kungani ungasebenzisi nje ukuhola? Uma isethi eyodwa ikhombisa ukuthi intengo ibhekephi kanti enye ikutshela ukuthi intengo ibikuphi ngokuqinisekile 'ayisebenzi'?
Abathengisi abaningi bangaphikisana ngokuthi wonke amaphethini nezinkomba zitholakala entengo futhi njengoba intengo uqobo isilela, zonke izinkomba (zombili eziholayo nezisalela emuva) ezisuselwa enanini zisemuva kwejika ngakho-ke futhi zisalela emuva, ngakho-ke kungani ungamane uthuthukise amakhono 'njenge-action actionista'? Abathengisi be-swing abazibophezele bangaphakamisa ukuthi bavame ukulinda usuku futhi baba usuku 'sekwedlule isikhathi' ekungeneni futhi basabamba iningi lesinyathelo salo mkhuba besebenzisa izinkomba ezisalayo.
Omunye umbuzo onengqondo ngukuthi ungahlukanisa kanjani phakathi kwezinkomba eziholayo nezisalela emuva, njengoba isimo semakethe esingahleliwe siholela ekubonisweni kwentengo? Ngakho-ke kungenzeka kanjani ukuthi noma iyiphi inkomba, noma uchungechunge lwenhlanganisela yezinkomba, ibikezele nganoma yiliphi izinga lokuqiniseka ukuthi intengo izobhekiswa kuphi? Omunye umbono ovame ukuphonswa inselelo ukuthi izinkomba ezisalayo empeleni zibonisa isenzo senani futhi izinkomba eziholayo azikwazi.
Isici esisodwa esibalulekile sokuthi uthanda izinkomba eziholayo noma ezisilelayo kungasuselwa ekutheni ngabe umhwebi ungumhwebi oshintshayo noma ongumkhuba, noma umthengisi we-scalper noma we-intraday. Ngokuqinisekile abathengisi bamathrendi basebenzisa kangcono izinkomba zokusalela emuva (izinkomba zomfutho) ezibonisa izinguquko nokuqhubeka kwethrendi, izikali noma abathengisi bosuku bangathola imiphumela engcono ngokukhetha izinkomba eziholayo (ezixakayo).
Isiqalo esihle sokuxoxa ngokufaneleka kwezinkomba eziholayo nezisalela emuva, kungaba ukwehlukanisa la maqembu womabili okokuqala ukuthola ukuthi ama-oscillators ahola izinkomba, izinkomba zomfutho yizinkomba ezisasalele emuva.
Izinkomba Oholela
Izibonelo zezinkomba eziholayo zingafaka okulandelayo;
- Stochastic
- Parabolic SAR
- Inkomba Yamandla Ahlobene (SRI)
- I-Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
- Inkomba yeWilliams% R, kanye
- Amazinga Wokubuyiselwa Kwe-Fibonacci
Izinkomba eziholayo yilezo ezithuthukisiwe (ngomqondo) eziyoqhubeka nokunyakaza kwentengo yezokuphepha ngaleyo ndlela kunikeze izimfanelo zokubikezela. Izinkomba ezimbili ezihamba phambili ezaziwayo nezethembekile yiRelative Strength Index (RSI) neStochastics Oscillator. Inkomba ehamba phambili kucatshangwa ukuthi iqine kakhulu (ngakho-ke ukuqagela kakhulu) ngezikhathi zezinhlangothi, noma amabanga wokuhweba angahambisani. Ngenkathi izinkomba zokusalela zithathwa njengeziwusizo kakhulu ngezikhathi zokuthrendayo.
Izinkomba eziholayo zizokwakha amasignali amaningi wokuthenga nokuthengisa okwenza izinkomba eziholayo zikulungele kakhulu ukuhweba ezimakethe ezingahambeli phambili. Ezimakethe ezihamba phambili kufaneleka kakhulu ukuba nezindawo zokungena nokuphuma okuncane. Iningi lezinkomba eziholayo ngama-oscillator, lezi zinkomba zakhiwe ngaphakathi kwebanga elihlanganisiwe. I-oscillator izoshintshashintsha phakathi kwezimo zokuthengwa ngokweqile nokuthengwa ngokweqile kususelwa kumazinga asethiwe ngokususelwa ku-oscillator ethile.
Isibonelo esihle kakhulu se-oscillator yi-RSI, eyehluka phakathi kuka-zero no-100. Ezokuphepha ngokwesiko kubhekwa njengokuthengwa ngokweqile lapho i-RSI ingaphezulu kwama-70 futhi ibhekwa ngaphezulu uma ingaphansi kwama-30. Izinkomba zama-Oscillator zihola izinkomba, ama-oscillator akhonjwa kalula njengalawo adonswe ngaphakathi imingcele yemigqa emibili. Amasiginali e-oscillator athenga noma athengise ngokuya ngamazinga abekiwe ebanga. I-stochastic oscillator ngesinye isibonelo esihle kakhulu, ikhiqiza amabhendi amabili, uma elinye lalawa maqembu liphuliwe (liwele) unesibonakaliso esingahle senziwe sokuthengwa ngokweqile, noma imakethe yemali ethe xaxa.
Isibonisi esiholayo ukumelwa okucacile kwenkulumo yezibalo ebikezela inani lesikhathi esizayo lokuguquguquka okungahleliwe ngokuthatha lonke ulwazi oluqukethwe kuze kube isikhathi sokugcina. Amapulatifomu okuhweba nge-Forex anjengeCurrenex neMeta Trader anezinkomba eziningi eziholayo. Umqondo oyinhloko wezinkomba ngukuthi “okwamanje kunjengesikhathi esedlule, kumbandela onokwenzeka”, okusho ukuthi amathuba okwenyuka kwentengo ngaphezu kwenani elinqunyiwe ayafana nanamuhla njengoba bekunjalo izolo.
Izinkomba ezi-Lagging
- MACD
- Amabhodi we-Bollinger
- Isikhombi sesilinganiso se-Directional Index (ADX)
- Izinkomba Zokuhamba Ngokwezilinganiso Ezichazayo
- Izinkomba Zokuhamba Okumaphakathi
Isibonisi esisilelayo yileso esilandela ukunyakaza kwentengo futhi ngenxa yalokho sinezimfanelo ezimbalwa zokubikezela. Izinkomba ezaziwa kakhulu futhi ezisetshenzisiwe ezisalayo yizilinganiso ezihambayo namabhendi e-Bollinger, lokhu kungafaka i-MACD okungukuthi, ngencazelo, uchungechunge lwezilinganiso ezihambayo. Izinzuzo zalezi zinkomba ziyancipha phakathi nezikhathi ezingezona ezihamba phambili, noma kunjalo, zingaba lusizo olukhulu phakathi nezikhathi ezihamba phambili.
Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi izinkomba ezisalela emuva zivame ukunika izimpawu ezicace bha ngesikhathi samathrendi futhi ngenxa yalokho zikhiqiza izimpawu ezimbalwa zokuthenga nokuthengisa. Lokhu kufanele ngokomqondo kusize umhwebi ukuthi abambe lo mkhuba omningi esikhundleni sokuphoqeleka ukuba aphume esikhundleni sakhe ngokuya ngesimo sokuguquguquka kwezinkomba eziholayo ezishiwo ngaphambili.
Izinkomba ze-Momentum yizinkomba ezisilelayo. I-Momentum ingachazwa njengokushintsha okusheshayo kwentengo lapho kuhlobene nokuhlaziywa kokuphepha. Izinkomba ze-Momentum, kalula nje, zilandelela umfutho ngentengo. Izinkomba ezigoqayo zilandela ushintsho lwentengo futhi, yize ikhwalithi yamasignali angabi njengokubikezela ayiyona 'inzuzo' encane uma isetshenziswe kahle ngaphakathi kohlelo lokuhweba ilusizo kakhulu ngezikhathi zokuhamba. Izinkomba ezisalela emuva ezithandwa ngabathengisi abaningi zihambisa isilinganiso (kufaka phakathi iMACD) neBollinger Bands.
Isibonisi seLagging yisibonisi sokuqhafaza sesisho sezibalo esidala izimpawu zethrendi lentengo entsha yemali ngokusho kolwazi olutholwe esikhathini esedlule. I- “Lag” iyisici sezibalo ochungechungeni lwezikhathi okusho ukuthi amanani wangaphambilini wokuguquguquka okungahleliwe (ngazimbili zemali) aqukethe imininingwane esilele enquma inani langempela lalokho kuguquguquka. Isibonisi esisetshenziswa kakhulu sokusalela emuva "yi-Moving Average" okuyisilinganiso esilula sezibalo zamanani wokugcina we-K (anqunywa ngumhwebi ngokuya ngokuthanda kwakhe). Umqondo oyinhloko wezinkomba ezisilelayo ukusebenzisa imininingwane oyitholile esikhathini esedlule, ukuze ukhombise ukuthambekela okusha kwentengo eseyakhiwe.
Akungabazeki ukuthi amasu asuselwa kunkomba yomthengisi wezobuchwepheshe ahlanganisa inhlanganisela yezinkomba eziholayo nezisalela emuva. Inhlanganisela yalaba ababili, efuna ukuqinisekiswa kuwo wonke amasethi womabili achaziwe, ingabonakala ibaluleke kakhulu ikakhulukazi lapho, ngokwesibonelo, ukuphepha kwemali kusesikhathini sokuhlanganiswa, ngokuvamile okubhekwa njengesikhathi sesikhathi lapho abathengisi abaningi bengabuyisa inani lezinzuzo zabo ezilwe kanzima.
Ukukhetha ongakusebenzisa kuncike kwisitayela sokuhweba nokuncamelayo, kubathengisi be-swing kufanelekile ukusebenzisa izinkomba ezisalela ukunquma izitayela, kungakuhle futhi ukucabanga ngokusebenzisa izinkomba eziholayo ukungena eduze nasekuqaleni komkhuba ngangokunokwenzeka. Ngenkathi samukela njengabahwebi ukuthi ukulahlekelwa akunakugwenywa njengama-whipsaws nokunyakaza kwamanani okungewona, ukuhlukanisa izinkomba ezimbili, nokunciphisa izinzuzo zabo kwisitayela esithile sokuhweba, kufanele kuholele ekutheni amathuba okukhethwa kwakho kwezohwebo abe nenzuzo enkulu.
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