I-Sterling iphahlazeka ekuhwebeni kwakusihlwa njengoba iPhalamende lase-UK livota ukuthi angenzi isivumelwano ne-Brexit
I-GBP/USD ilahle izinzuzo zayo zamasonto onke ngesikhathi sohwebo lwakusihlwa ngoLwesibili, njengoba iPhalamende lase-UK livotele ukuchitshiyelwa kwezepolitiki, okuzonikeza uhulumeni wase-UK amandla okuxhumana ne-European Union, ukuze acele ukuthi isivumelwano sokuhoxa sikhishwe. phezulu, ne-backstop isusiwe. I-backstop iyindlela eklanyelwe ukuvikela i-Ireland ekuhluphekeni umngcele onzima, ngenkathi iqinisekisa ukuthi isivumelwano samazwe ngamazwe esaziwa ngokuthi Isivumelwano SoLwesihlanu Oluhle, sihlala sinjalo. Ngemuva kokuthi kuphasiswe ivoti eNdlu Yezikhulu, i-EU yaphendula ngokushesha ngokukhipha isitatimende esiqinisekisa ukuthi isiphakamiso sokuhoxiswa asivulekele ukuxoxisana, okwenza ivoti libe lingenangqondo futhi ngokuyinhloko lingenamsebenzi.
I-FX izimakethe ngokuhlangene futhi yanquma ngokushesha, ukuthi i-no dill I-Brexit manje isiwumphumela okungenzeka kakhulu, ngokusekelwe eqinisweni lokuthi i-EU ngeke isuse i-backstop. I-GBP/USD yehle cishe ngo-1% ngemva kokuphasiswa kwevoti lokugcina, inikezela isikhundla sayo ngaphezu kwephoyinti le-pivot yansuku zonke, ukuze iphahlazeke ifinyelele ezingeni lesithathu losekelo, i-S3. Ngasekupheleni kweseshini yokuhweba yosuku, umbhangqwana omkhulu uhwebe ngenani eliphansi lansuku zonke elingu-1.305. Ikhebula bekungeyona yodwa ekuboniseni isimo sezimakethe ze-FX maqondana nevoti, i-EUR/GBP yenyuka yafinyelela ezingeni lesibili lokumelana no-R2, ikhuphuke ngo-0.70% ku-0.874, ukuze kuthunyelwe ukuphakama kwansuku zonke okungakaze kubonwe kusukela ngesonto eledlule. I-Sterling iphinde yadela izinzuzo zayo zakamuva, uma iqhathaniswa neningi lontanga yayo esele.
Ukuhweba e-UK FTSE kwakuvaliwe ngaphambi kochungechunge lwamavoti okuchitshiyelwa e-House of Commons, inkomba ehamba phambili yase-UK ivale iseshini ngo-1.29% ku-6,834. Izimakethe zekusasa kunkomba ziqhubekile nokukhuphuka ngemuva kwamavoti. Ngendlela ehlobene kabi, inkomba ikhuphuka njengoba i-GBP yehla, ngenxa yenani lamafemu ase-USA aqhuba ukuhweba kwawo nge-USD, asemafemini aphezulu acashuniwe ayi-100 e-UK.
I-FOMC kufanele ikhulule isinqumo sayo ngamanani enzalo ngoLwesithathu kusihlwa, ikomidi ngeke likhumbule kuphela izibalo zakamuva ze-GDP zase-USA, ezibikezelwa ukukhombisa ukuwa ku-2.6% GDP ngonyaka lapho ikhishwa ngoLwesithathu ntambama, kungenzeka futhi ukuthi ubonile ukuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali e-USA kwehle kakhulu. Inkomba yentengo yasekhaya yedolobha le-S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20, inyuke ngo-4.7% unyaka nonyaka kuze kufike kuNovemba 2018, kulandela inzuzo engu-5% ngo-Okthoba, ngaphansi kokulindelwe yimakethe okungu-4.9%. Lokhu bekuwukukhuphuka okuncane kakhulu kweminyaka emine, kusukela ngoJanuwari 2015 futhi kungabonisa ukuthi abathengi base-USA sebeqala ukufinyelela esicongweni, mayelana nokubekezelela kwabo ukukhokha amanani ezindlu aphezulu kanye nekhono labo lokuxhasa izinkokhelo zezindlu ezikhulayo.
Kwezinye izindaba zekhalenda ezinomthelela omkhulu eziphathelene ne-USA, ezingagxilisa izingqondo zezihlalo ze-FOMC, Ibhodi Lenkomfa elihlonishwa kakhulu lishicilele amamethrikhi walo okuqala ka-2019 ngoLwesibili. Ukuzethemba kwabathengi kwehle kwafika ku-120.6, kuyilapho ukufundwa okulindelwe kwehle kwafinyelela ku-87.3, kokubili ukufundwa kukaJanuwari kugeje izibikezelo zeReuters ngebanga elithile.
Ukuvumelana okujwayelekile, okuthathwe ngemuva kokuthi bobabili abakwaReuters kanye neBloomberg bevotele osomnotho babo, ukuthi i-FOMC igcine isilinganiso esibalulekile singashintshile ku-2.5%. Njengoba nje amavoti ephalamende lase-UK abangele ukusebenza okushubile ngamabhangqa asezingeni eliphezulu, amaningi awo adlula ezindaweni eziningi ngaphambi kokuthola indlela entsha, isinqumo se-FOMC kanye nengqungquthela yabezindaba eyalandela eqhutshwa usihlalo we-Fed uJerome Powell, kungabangela umsebenzi omkhulu ngamapheya e-USD. . Ngakho-ke, njengoba kukhuthazwe ngaphambilini maqondana namavoti e-Brexit, abathengisi be-FX bazolulekwa ukuthi bahlale beqaphile uma benezikhundla, noma bekhetha ukuhweba ngamapheya e-USD.
Igolide ligcine umfutho walo wakamuva phakathi neseshini yangoLwesibili, ligcine isikhundla esingaphezulu kwesibambo esibucayi se-psyche sika-1,300 iazu ngalinye, kuyilapho lephula u-R2. Ku-1,311 iounce, i-XAU/USD ikhuphuke ngo-0.61% ngosuku, insimbi eyigugu ihweba ngezinga lentengo elingakaze libonwe kusukela maphakathi noJuni 2018. Isikhalo semakethe sezinsimbi eziyigugu asikhawulelwe egolideni, isiliva liphinde lathola ukwanda kokutshalwa kwezimali. , ikakhulukazi ezinyangeni ezisanda kwedlula, njengoba ukukhathazeka kwezomnotho emhlabeni wonke kuye kwabangela amazinga okukhanga otshalo-mali ezindaweni eziphephile ukuthi akhule. I-Palladium, insimbi eyigugu esetshenziswa ezinqubweni eziningi zezimboni, nayo ikhuphuke kakhulu phakathi neseshini yangoLwesibili, ivale ngo-1.05% ngosuku.
Uwoyela we-WTI ubuyise ingxenye yokulahlekelwa okutholwe ekuqaleni kwesonto, ukuwa obekusekelwe kuma-opharetha ama-rig e-USA aveza ukwanda komsebenzi kanye nokwanda kweziqongo. I-WTI iphinde yathola isikhundla ngesikhathi sokuhweba ngoLwesibili, ivala usuku olungaphezu kuka-$50 isibambo somphongolo, ikhuphuke ngo-2.48% ngosuku, yafinyelela ku-$53.40. Uwoyela we-WTI useluleme kakhulu, ngemuva kokuthumela i-2019 ephansi ye-circa $46 emgqonyeni ngamunye, ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari.
IMICIMBI YEKHALENDA LEZOMNOTHO NGOMHLAKA 30 JANUARY
Ukuthengiswa Kwabadayisi Abakhulu be-JPY (Dec)
I-JPY Retail Trade sa (MoM) (Dec)
I-JPY Retail Trade (YoY) (Dec)
I-AUD RBA esikiwe i-CPI (QoQ) (Q4)
I-AUD Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Q4)
I-AUD RBA isikwe i-CPI (YoY) (Q4)
I-AUD Consumer Price Index (QoQ) (Q4)
Inkomba ehamba phambili ye-CHF KOF (Jan)
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Izimvume ze-GBP Mortgage (Dec)
I-EUR Business Climate (Jan)
I-USD ADP Employment Change (Jan)
I-USD Esalindile Yokuthengisa Kwasekhaya (MoM) (Dec)
UMBIKO Wesitatimende Senqubomgomo Yezimali ye-USD Fed
Isinqumo Sezinga Lenzalo ye-USD Fed
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