Ukubuyekezwa Kwemakethe ngoMeyi 24 2012
Izimakethe zaseMelika zikhombise ukwehla okuphawulekayo ekuhwebeni kwasekuseni ngoLwesithathu ngenxa yokukhathazeka okuqhubekayo mayelana nesimo sezezimali eYurophu, okufike ngesikhathi abaholi baseYurophu bebambe ingqungquthela ebhekwe kakhulu eBrussels. Kodwa-ke, amasheya abe nokusimama okukhulu engxenyeni yokugcina yosuku lokuhweba okudalwe imibiko evela engqungqutheleni yaseYurophu mayelana nezinyathelo abaholi abazimisele ukuzithatha ukuze kukhuliswe ukukhula komnotho. Izimakethe zase-Europe ziqede ngokuqinile ukuya phansi ngoLwesithathu zibuyisela emuva izinzuzo ezivela ezinsukwini ezimbili ezedlule zokuhweba ngemuva kokukhathazeka ngesimo saseGreece.
Ngokuqondiswa okuncane okuvela kubaholi baseYurophu kanye namazwi ahlabayo avela ku-IMF, iBhange Lomhlaba kanye nezimakethe ze-OECD zizoqhubeka nemodi yokwenqaba ubungozi njengoba izimali ziqhubeka nokufuna indawo ephephile yokudlala futhi zigwema noma yini yaseYurophu.
Idrama ku-Eurozone iyaqhubeka nokunensa ezimakethe, nemibiko yabezindaba yanamuhla ebonisa owayeyilungu lebhodi le-ECB eliqavile u-Lorenzo Binhi Smaghi exoxa “ngomdlalo wempi”- isitayela sokulingisa sokuhoxa kwamaGreki emalini evamile. U-Binhi Smaghi wathi “ukuhamba kunzima” futhi waphetha ngohlelo lokulingisa ukuthi ukushiya i-euro “akuyona impendulo ezinkingeni zabo (zeGreece). Siyavuma, nokho izimakethe azizange zikhuthazeke njengoba ukuphawula kwakhe nje kunikeze olunye uphawu lokuthi abantu abazimisele bacabanga okungenani ithuba lokuphuma kwamaGreki ku-Eurozone.
I-Euro Dollar
I-EURUSD (1.2582) I-euro iyaqhubeka nokuba buthakathaka, iphule i-January 2012 ephansi ye-1.2624 futhi ivule umnyango we-1.2500 ebalulekile engokwengqondo. I-EUR isalokhu iqinile ngokomlando, ngaphezu kwezinga layo elimaphakathi kusukela kwasungulwa i-1.2145 futhi inamandla kakhulu kunokwehla okungu-2010 okungu-1.1877.
Silindele ukuthi i-EUR ibe sezingeni eliphansi; kodwa ungacabangi ukuthi i-EUR izowa. Inhlanganisela yokugeleza kokubuyisela, inani eJalimane, amandla okuthi i-Fed iphendukele ku-QE3 kanye nenkolelo yemakethe eqhubekayo yokuthi iziphathimandla zizohlinzeka ngamazinga ahlukahlukene okusekelwa kwe-backstop. Ngakho-ke, asenzanga ushintsho esihlokweni sethu sokuphela konyaka esingu-1.25; nakuba beqaphela ukuthi i-EUR ingase yehle ngaphansi kwaleli zinga esikhathini esiseduze.
I-Sterling Pound
I-GBPUSD (1.5761) I-Sterling yehle kakhulu ngezinyanga ezimbili uma iqhathaniswa nedola ngoLwesithathu njengoba ukukhathazeka okuqhubekayo mayelana nokuphuma kwamaGreki e-euro kwenze abatshalizimali badayisa lokho abakubona njengezimali eziyingozi , kanye nedatha yokuthengisa engeyinhle yengezwe kumbono ontengantengayo wokukhula wase-UK.
Iphawundi likhuphuke uma liqhathaniswa ne-euro elibuthaka kakhulu njengoba ithemba lengqungquthela ye-European Union ingase yenze inqubekelaphambili ekubhekaneni nenkinga yezikweletu iye yashabalala, kuyilapho imithombo itshele i-Reuters euro zone states itshelwe ukuthi yenze izinhlelo zezimo eziphuthumayo ze-Greece ukuyeka i-currency bloc.
Uma kuqhathaniswa nedola, i-sterling igcine ukwehla ngamaphesenti angu-0.4 ku-$1.5703, ikhokha ukulahlekelwa ngemuva kokushaya iseshini ephansi ka-$1.5677, ephansi kakhulu kusukela maphakathi no-March. Ilandele ukwehla okukhulu kwe-euro, eshaye umkhumbi wezinyanga ezingama-22 uma iqhathaniswa nedola njengoba abatshalizimali bebuyela ezimpahleni eziphephile.
Imali yase-Asia-yePacific
I-USDJPY (79.61) I-JPY ikhuphuke ngo-0.7% kusukela ekuvaleni kwayizolo futhi idlula zonke izinto ezinkulu ngenxa yokuphikiswa okuqhubekayo kwengozi, futhi njengoba abahlanganyeli bemakethe becabangela izinguquko ezincane esitatimendeni se-BoJ kulandela umhlangano wayo wakamuva. I-BoJ ishiye inqubomgomo ingashintshiwe, ku-0.1% njengoba bekulindelekile, kodwa yehlisa igama eliyisihluthulelo elithi 'ukunciphisa okunamandla' esitatimendeni senqubomgomo, yehlisa okulindelekile ekuthengeni impahla eyengeziwe esikhathini esiseduze. Izibalo zokuhweba ezithengiswayo zase-Japan nazo zikhishiwe futhi zibonisa izinga elihamba kancane lomsebenzi uma kubhekwa ukwehla kwamazinga okukhula kukho kokubili okuthengiswayo nokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, bese kuthi lokhu okulandelayo kuhlale kuphakeme uma kuqhathaniswa nangaphambili.
Ibhalansi yezohwebo yaseJapan izohlala inenselelo ngesidingo sokungeniswa kwamandla ngaphandle uma kubhekwa ukwehla kokukhiqizwa kwamandla enuzi.
Gold
Igolide (1559.65) Ikusasa lehlile usuku lwesithathu njengoba ukukhathazeka ngokuwa kokuphuma okungenzeka kwamaGreki endaweni ye-euro kwacindezela abatshalizimali ukuthi banqwabelene edoleni laseMelika.
I-euro yacwila ezingeni layo eliphansi uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika kusukela ngoJulayi 2010, njengoba abatshalizimali beqhubeka nokuchitha izimpahla eziyingozi ngethuba lokuthi abaholi baseYurophu bangakwazi ukunqanda ukubonakala okuba kubi kakhulu kwenkinga yezikweletu yendawo ye-euro.
I-European Central Bank (ECB) kanye namazwe e-euro-zone aqinisa imizamo yokulungiselela izinhlelo eziphuthumayo zokuphuma eGreece, kusho imithombo.
Inkontileka yegolide edayiswa kakhulu, yokulethwa kukaJuni, ngoLwesithathu yehle ngo-$28.20, noma amaphesenti angu-1.8, ukuze ifinyelele ku-$1,548.40 i-troy ounce engxenyeni yeComex yeNew York Mercantile Exchange. AbakwaFutures bebehwebe kancane ekuqaleni kosuku, besabisa ngokuphela ngaphansi kwezinyanga eziyi-10 zokuhlala eziphansi kwe $1,536.60 iounce.
Amafutha ongahluziwe
Amafutha Angahluziwe (90.50) amanani ehlile, ehlela emazingeni aphansi ezinyanga eziyisithupha ngaphansi kuka-$US90 eNew York njengoba idola laseMelika lihlangana nokungezwani kwezikweletu ze-eurozone.
Abatshalizimali bafuna ukuphepha okulinganiselwe kwe-greenback njengoba ukwesaba kukhula ngokubukeka kwe-eurozone. Ngesivumelwano phakathi kwe-Iran kanye neKhomishini Yamandla, ukungezwani kwezwe kwehlile eceleni. Futhi ngokukhuphuka okuphezulu kunalokho obekulindelwe ezinhlwini zezimpahla okubikiwe kuleli sonto, uwoyela ongahluziwe unokuncane ukusekela ukwenyuka kwentengo.
Njengoba i-euro yehle yaba ngaphansi kwezinyanga ezingama-22, inkontileka eyinhloko yaseNew York, i-West Texas Intermediate crude ezolethwa ngoJulayi, yehle ngo-$US1.95 yaya ku-$US89.90 umphongolo - izinga eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngo-Okthoba.
I-Brent North Sea crude ngoJulayi yehle ngo-$US2.85 yaya ku-$US105.56 umphongolo kumadili aseLondon ngasekupheleni.
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