Ngabe Kukhona Ukuphila Kwe-GBP Ngemuva Kwe-IMF?
NgoLwesibili, abathengisi abaqavile ekuqaleni bebengazi ukuthi iyiphi indlela okufanele bahambe ngayo. Inzondo yemali eyodwa yahlala intekenteke, kepha ukugeleza kwezindaba okuvela e-UK nakho kwakungasekeli ubukhazikhazi. Izinga lesiphambano le-EUR / GBP lifakwe ebangeni eliqinile cishe phakathi kuka-0.8100 no-0.8080, ekuqaleni kweYurophu.
Kube nokuguquguquka okuthile ngemuva kokushicilelwa kwemininingwane ye-inflation yase-UK. Ukwehla kwamandla emali kwehle kwaba ngu-3.0% Y / Y kusuka ku-3.5%. Lokhu bekungezansi kancane kwesivumelwano semakethe, kuphakamisa ukuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali kungahle kungabi yinkinga ye-BoE. I-EUR / GBP ifike ezingeni eliphakeme lezinsuku zangaphakathi endaweni engu-0.81, kepha empeleni i-EUR / USD iye yajoyina ukwehla kwekhebula, okushiya isilinganiso esiphambanweni se-EUR / GBP singashintshiwe.
I-IMF ishicilele umbono wayo ngeBrithani yaphinde yakhuthaza ukwehliswa kwemali uma izinto ziba zimbi kakhulu. Ngasikhathi sinye, uhulumeni kufanele angabi nesandla esiqinile uma kukhula ukukhula kungaphansi kwengcindezi eyengeziwe. Ngokombono, lokhu akusikho ukwesekwa kwemali, kepha asibonanga ukusabela okuhlala njalo emakethe ezihlokweni ze-IMF.
Kamuva kuseshini, i-EUR / GBP ijoyine ukwehla okubanzi kokuthengiswa kwe-euro iyonke. Laba bavale iseshini ngo-0.8050, uma kuqhathaniswa no-0.8094 ngoMsombuluko kusihlwa.
Namuhla, ikhalenda ye-eco eco yase-UK iheha ukuthengisa okuthengiswayo kanye nenhlolovo yezimboni zezimboni ze-CBI. Isonto elilodwa ngemuva kombiko we-Inflation, i-BoE izophinde ishicilele Amaminithi omhlangano wayo wakamuva we-MPC. Ngemuva kokunyuswa okuhlobene nesimo sezulu ngoMashi (1.8% M / M) ukuthengiswa kwezitolo zase-UK kulindeleke ukuthi kwehle ngo-Ephreli. Isivumelwano sifuna ukwehla kwe-0.8% M / M, kepha sikholwa ukuthi nokwehla okunamandla akubekelwa eceleni.
Ucwaningo lwezitayela zezimboni ze-CBI kulindeleke ukuthi lukhombise ukwehla okuncane kuma-oda esewonke (kusuka -8 kuya ku -11). Okubaluleke kakhulu kuzoba yimizuzu ye-BoE, noma ngabe i-inflation Report isinikeze eminye imininingwane.
Umbiko we-inflation wase-UK wawuthambile ekukhuleni futhi awuzange ushiye ngaphandle inketho yokuvuselelwa kwenqubomgomo eyengeziwe, okwakumangaza ngandlela thile ngemuva kweMizuzu yenyanga edlule, okwakhombisa ukuthi uPosen walihoxisa icala lakhe le-QE eyengeziwe kanti iBoE yazwakala ikhathazeke kakhulu nge-inflation.
Noma kunjalo, amaminithi omhlangano kaMeyi 9 no-10 azoba mnandi njengoba iBhange laseNgilandi linqume ukuma kancane hhayi ukukhulisa usayizi wokuthengwa kwempahla yalo. Sikholwa ukuthi uDavid Miles kungenzeka ukuthi uqhubeke nokuvotela i-QE eningi futhi kunengozi yokuthi uSpencer Dale ujoyine ucingo lwakhe lokuthengwa kwempahla eningi. Ngemuva kombiko we-inflation, kuzoba mnandi ukuthi i-BoE izwakale ithambile ekukhuleni nayo. Ngokwethiyori, i-BoE ethambile kufanele ibe yimbi nge-sterling.
Kodwa-ke, isenzo sentengo sayizolo sikhombisa ukuthi umuzwa jikelele we-euro uhlala uyinto ebalulekile futhi ekuhwebeni nge-EUR / GBP. Isithombe sezinga lesiphambano le-EUR / GBP asibi kangako uma siqhathaniswa neperi yesihloko se-EUR / USD. Kodwa-ke, isenzo sentengo sayizolo sikhombisa ukuthi ukubhekabheka kwe-EUR / GBP nakho kuzoba nzima.
« Ingqungquthela Engavumelekile ye-EU Ithatha Isiteji Sezikhungo Ukubuyekezwa Kwemakethe ngoMeyi 24 2012 »
