UFebhu 3 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-9937 • 1 Comment ku-Greece Izozenzakalela Esikweletini Sayo Futhi Ekugcineni Izoyishiya I-Euro
"I-Greece izoba nephutha esikweletini sayo futhi ekugcineni izoyishiya i-Euro" - uPaul Krugman
Izinombolo zemisebenzi zase-USA zingadumaza..
Ngakho-ke enye inyanga idlula bese kufika enye 'usuku lwe-NFP'. Ngokufanele iseluleko sami ukuthi, ngaphandle uma usuvele usohwebo lwethrendi, kufanele ukuxwaye ngendlela emangalisayo ukuthatha uhwebo olusha oluhilela i-USD, ngaphambi noma ngokushesha ngemva kokumenyezelwa kwezinombolo zemisebenzi ngo-1:30 pm (isikhathi sase-UK) . Njengoba kunephesenti elincane labahwebi abazuzayo 'ngokudlala izinombolo zemisebenzi' iningi, njengoba lidalwe yidatha yokuhweba emlando, lizolahlekelwa yimali uma lizama ukudlala izibalo ze-NFP. Kodwa-ke, kunesinye isibonelo okufanele sicatshangelwe, kodwa ungathathi izwi lami ngakho, zihlole ngokwakho. Umkhuba usuwonke awuvamisile ukuhlehliswa izibalo ze-NFP..” njengoba abazala bethu baseMelika bengasho, empeleni kuncane ukucabanga okudingeka kwenziwe.
Cishe zingu-42,000 imisebenzi engeziwe yezincwadi ezingezwe ezinombolweni zabaholayo ngoDisemba kanti isiphakamiso siwukuthi isibalo sangaphambilini sangoDisemba, izinsolo zokuthi cishe zingu-200,000 zengezwe ezibalweni ze-NFP, zazingaphezu kwamandla futhi zizobuyekezwa kwehle. Kokubili izinhlolovo ze-Reuters kanye ne-Bloomberg zibikezela ukwengezwa kwemisebenzi engu-140-150K namuhla, inani le-circa 100K lingadambisa ithemba.
Yize ukukhula kwemisebenzi sekungcono, ukuqashwa kwabantu kusasele cishe ezigidini eziyi-6.1 ngaphansi kwezinga langaphambi kokwehla komnotho. Ayikho imisebenzi kubantu abathathu kwabane abangasebenzi kanti abantu baseMelika abayizigidi ezingama-23.7 basuke bengasebenzi noma abaqashiwe. Abaningi bakhethe ukuzama ukuzisebenza kanti abanye abaningi bavele bancama noma bawa phansi futhi abanakuziphendulela. I-USA isebenzisa amamethrikhi ahlukahlukene ukukala ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi, okuyisibalo esikhulu iziphathimandla ezisishicilelayo saziwa nge-U6 okwamanje enokuntuleka kwemisebenzi ku-8.5%, abanye bakhetha isilinganiso se-U16 esiphakamisa ukuthi cishe u-15.5-16% yizinga eliyiqiniso lokuntuleka kwemisebenzi.
Umnotho wase-US ukhule ngamaphesenti angu-2.8 ngezinga lonyaka ezinyangeni ezintathu zokugcina zika-2011, usuka kumaphesenti angu-1.8 ngekota yesithathu. Kodwa-ke, ukwakhiwa kabusha kwamasheya ngamabhizinisi kubalele izingxenye ezimbili kwezintathu zokukhuphuka.
I-China Icabanga Ukusiza Ngenkinga Ye-Eurozone
Abatshalizimali nabo baqaphele imikhondo mayelana nezinyathelo zokunciphisa imali ezingamenyezelwa e-China ngemuva kokuthi idatha yezomnotho yakamuva ikhombise Inkomba esemthethweni Yabaphathi Bokuthengwa kwemikhakha engakhiqizi yehle yafinyelela ku-52.9 ngoJanuwari isuka ku-56.0 ngoDisemba. Ukwehla kwezibalo emkhakheni ongakhiqizi waseChina kubambe ithemba lezimakethe zezimali ngoLwesihlanu ngaphambi kwemininingwane yemisebenzi yaseMelika ezocacisa amandla okusimama komnotho wase-USA.
I-China icubungula ukubamba iqhaza emalini yokuhlenga okuhloswe ngayo enkingeni yezikweletu zase-Europe, uNdunankulu waseChina uWen Jiabao etshela izintatheli ngoLwesine. U-Wen akazange enze noma yiziphi izibopho zezimali ezicacile ze-European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) noma i-European Stability Mechanism (ESM).
Wen wathi;
I-China iphinde icabange ukwandisa ukubamba kwayo iqhaza ekuxazululeni inkinga yezikweletu zase-Europe ngokusebenzisa imigudu ye-EFSF ne-ESM. Uhlangothi lwaseShayina luyayisekela imizamo yokugcina uzinzo lwe-euro kanye ne-euro zone. I-China iphenya futhi ihlola izindlela, nge-IMF, zokuzibandakanya ngokujulile ekuxazululeni inkinga yezikweletu zaseYurophu ngeziteshi ze-ESM/EFSF.
Ingabe isixazululo saseGreece yimali enhle ngemuva kokubi?
IGreece izosilela esikweletini sayo futhi izogcina iyishiye i-euro, kusho owahlomula iNobel Economics uPaul Krugman izolo engqungqutheleni ebiseMoscow.
Isimo samaGreki empeleni asinakwenzeka. Bazosikhokhela isikweleti sabo. Eqinisweni sebenayo. Umbuzo wukuthi bazophinde bayishiye i-euro, engicabanga ukuthi kuleli phuzu kungenzeka kakhulu kunalokho.
Ukukhululwa kwesibili kweGreece kwamazwe ngamazwe kungase kuvele kuvule i-boo entsha, emzabalazweni wayo wokuhlala endaweni ye-euro. Uhlelo lokuhlenga, izikhulu zaseYurophu kanye nabakweletwayo baseGreece abathi lungaphothulwa ezinsukwini ezizayo, luhlanganisa ukulahlekelwa okungaphezu kwamaphesenti angama-70 kwabanamabhondi ngokushintshana ngokuzithandela kanye nemali mboleko okungenzeka yeqe ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-130 manje asetafuleni.
UNgqongqoshe Wezezimali waseJalimane uWolfgang Schaeuble;
Asikwazi ukukhokha emgodini ongenamkhawulo. IGreece idinga uhlelo olusha, akubuzwa ngalokho, kodwa iGreece kumele idale izimo zayo.
Market Sibutsetelo
Amasheya aseYurophu aqhubekele phambili ngosuku lwesine njengoba abatshalizimali belindele umbiko ongabonisa umnotho wase-US wengeze imisebenzi ngesivinini esincane ngenyanga edlule. Ikusasa lenkomba yase-US lishintshile kancane, kuyilapho amasheya ase-Asia ehla. I-Stoxx 600 ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 kuya ku-260.98 ngo-9: 40 ekuseni eLondon ngemuva kokuba i-gauge izolo ikhuphukele ezingeni eliphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngo-Aug. 1. Isilinganiso sokuma sibheke phambili ngamaphesenti angu-2.2 kuleli sonto. Izinkontileka ze-Futures ku-Standard & Poor's 500 Index eziphelelwa yisikhathi ngo-March zikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.1 namuhla. I-MSCI Asia Pacific Index yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.1.
Isifinyezo semakethe ngo-10: 30 ekuseni GMT (isikhathi sase-UK)
Izimakethe zase-Asia/Pacific zithole izinhlanhla ezixubile ngesikhathi seseshini yasekuseni, i-Nikkei ivale ngo-0.51%, i-Hang Seng ivale ngo-0.08% kwathi i-CSI yavala ngo-0.8%, i-ASX 200 yavalwa ngo-0.39%. Izinkomba ze-European bourse zikhuphuke ngokulingene kuseshini yasekuseni, i-STOXX 50 ikhuphuke ngo-0.14%, i-FTSE ikhuphuke ngo-0.31%, i-CAC ikhuphuke ngo-0.16% kanti i-DAX ikhuphuke ngo-0.29%. Ikusasa le-SPX equity index okwamanje likhuphuke ngo-0.16%. I-ICE Brent crude ikhuphuka ngo-$0.23 umphongolo ngamunye kuyilapho igolide le-Comex likhuphuka ngo-$3.40 iounce.
I-Forex Spot-Lite
I-euro ibheke ekwehleni kwamasonto onke uma iqhathaniswa nayo yonke intanga yayo emikhulu engu-16. Bekungashintshiwe kusukela izolo ngo-$1.315 ngo-8:00 ekuseni eLondon futhi okwamanje kunyatheliswa ku-1.317. Isivuno sebhondi yaseJalimane yeminyaka eyi-10 yehle ngamaphuzu angu-2.5 saya kumaphesenti angu-1.82, kuyilapho isivuno samabhondi ase-Italy eminyaka engu-10 sikhuphuke ngamaphuzu angu-0.7 saya kumaphesenti angu-5.567.
i-eurozoneisiGreecekrugmanschaeuble
« Ukufa Kwezomnotho Kwesizukulwane I-UK Iyidwala Endaweni Enzima »
IGrisi Izokwenza Okuzenzakalelayo Esikweletini Sayo Futhi Ekugcineni Izoshiya i-Euro
UFebhu 3 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-9937 • 1 Comment ku-Greece Izozenzakalela Esikweletini Sayo Futhi Ekugcineni Izoyishiya I-Euro
"I-Greece izoba nephutha esikweletini sayo futhi ekugcineni izoyishiya i-Euro" - uPaul Krugman
Izinombolo zemisebenzi zase-USA zingadumaza..
Ngakho-ke enye inyanga idlula bese kufika enye 'usuku lwe-NFP'. Ngokufanele iseluleko sami ukuthi, ngaphandle uma usuvele usohwebo lwethrendi, kufanele ukuxwaye ngendlela emangalisayo ukuthatha uhwebo olusha oluhilela i-USD, ngaphambi noma ngokushesha ngemva kokumenyezelwa kwezinombolo zemisebenzi ngo-1:30 pm (isikhathi sase-UK) . Njengoba kunephesenti elincane labahwebi abazuzayo 'ngokudlala izinombolo zemisebenzi' iningi, njengoba lidalwe yidatha yokuhweba emlando, lizolahlekelwa yimali uma lizama ukudlala izibalo ze-NFP. Kodwa-ke, kunesinye isibonelo okufanele sicatshangelwe, kodwa ungathathi izwi lami ngakho, zihlole ngokwakho. Umkhuba usuwonke awuvamisile ukuhlehliswa izibalo ze-NFP..” njengoba abazala bethu baseMelika bengasho, empeleni kuncane ukucabanga okudingeka kwenziwe.
Cishe zingu-42,000 imisebenzi engeziwe yezincwadi ezingezwe ezinombolweni zabaholayo ngoDisemba kanti isiphakamiso siwukuthi isibalo sangaphambilini sangoDisemba, izinsolo zokuthi cishe zingu-200,000 zengezwe ezibalweni ze-NFP, zazingaphezu kwamandla futhi zizobuyekezwa kwehle. Kokubili izinhlolovo ze-Reuters kanye ne-Bloomberg zibikezela ukwengezwa kwemisebenzi engu-140-150K namuhla, inani le-circa 100K lingadambisa ithemba.
Yize ukukhula kwemisebenzi sekungcono, ukuqashwa kwabantu kusasele cishe ezigidini eziyi-6.1 ngaphansi kwezinga langaphambi kokwehla komnotho. Ayikho imisebenzi kubantu abathathu kwabane abangasebenzi kanti abantu baseMelika abayizigidi ezingama-23.7 basuke bengasebenzi noma abaqashiwe. Abaningi bakhethe ukuzama ukuzisebenza kanti abanye abaningi bavele bancama noma bawa phansi futhi abanakuziphendulela. I-USA isebenzisa amamethrikhi ahlukahlukene ukukala ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi, okuyisibalo esikhulu iziphathimandla ezisishicilelayo saziwa nge-U6 okwamanje enokuntuleka kwemisebenzi ku-8.5%, abanye bakhetha isilinganiso se-U16 esiphakamisa ukuthi cishe u-15.5-16% yizinga eliyiqiniso lokuntuleka kwemisebenzi.
Umnotho wase-US ukhule ngamaphesenti angu-2.8 ngezinga lonyaka ezinyangeni ezintathu zokugcina zika-2011, usuka kumaphesenti angu-1.8 ngekota yesithathu. Kodwa-ke, ukwakhiwa kabusha kwamasheya ngamabhizinisi kubalele izingxenye ezimbili kwezintathu zokukhuphuka.
I-China Icabanga Ukusiza Ngenkinga Ye-Eurozone
Abatshalizimali nabo baqaphele imikhondo mayelana nezinyathelo zokunciphisa imali ezingamenyezelwa e-China ngemuva kokuthi idatha yezomnotho yakamuva ikhombise Inkomba esemthethweni Yabaphathi Bokuthengwa kwemikhakha engakhiqizi yehle yafinyelela ku-52.9 ngoJanuwari isuka ku-56.0 ngoDisemba. Ukwehla kwezibalo emkhakheni ongakhiqizi waseChina kubambe ithemba lezimakethe zezimali ngoLwesihlanu ngaphambi kwemininingwane yemisebenzi yaseMelika ezocacisa amandla okusimama komnotho wase-USA.
I-China icubungula ukubamba iqhaza emalini yokuhlenga okuhloswe ngayo enkingeni yezikweletu zase-Europe, uNdunankulu waseChina uWen Jiabao etshela izintatheli ngoLwesine. U-Wen akazange enze noma yiziphi izibopho zezimali ezicacile ze-European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) noma i-European Stability Mechanism (ESM).
Wen wathi;
I-China iphinde icabange ukwandisa ukubamba kwayo iqhaza ekuxazululeni inkinga yezikweletu zase-Europe ngokusebenzisa imigudu ye-EFSF ne-ESM. Uhlangothi lwaseShayina luyayisekela imizamo yokugcina uzinzo lwe-euro kanye ne-euro zone. I-China iphenya futhi ihlola izindlela, nge-IMF, zokuzibandakanya ngokujulile ekuxazululeni inkinga yezikweletu zaseYurophu ngeziteshi ze-ESM/EFSF.
Ingabe isixazululo saseGreece yimali enhle ngemuva kokubi?
IGreece izosilela esikweletini sayo futhi izogcina iyishiye i-euro, kusho owahlomula iNobel Economics uPaul Krugman izolo engqungqutheleni ebiseMoscow.
Isimo samaGreki empeleni asinakwenzeka. Bazosikhokhela isikweleti sabo. Eqinisweni sebenayo. Umbuzo wukuthi bazophinde bayishiye i-euro, engicabanga ukuthi kuleli phuzu kungenzeka kakhulu kunalokho.
Ukukhululwa kwesibili kweGreece kwamazwe ngamazwe kungase kuvele kuvule i-boo entsha, emzabalazweni wayo wokuhlala endaweni ye-euro. Uhlelo lokuhlenga, izikhulu zaseYurophu kanye nabakweletwayo baseGreece abathi lungaphothulwa ezinsukwini ezizayo, luhlanganisa ukulahlekelwa okungaphezu kwamaphesenti angama-70 kwabanamabhondi ngokushintshana ngokuzithandela kanye nemali mboleko okungenzeka yeqe ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-130 manje asetafuleni.
UNgqongqoshe Wezezimali waseJalimane uWolfgang Schaeuble;
Asikwazi ukukhokha emgodini ongenamkhawulo. IGreece idinga uhlelo olusha, akubuzwa ngalokho, kodwa iGreece kumele idale izimo zayo.
Market Sibutsetelo
Amasheya aseYurophu aqhubekele phambili ngosuku lwesine njengoba abatshalizimali belindele umbiko ongabonisa umnotho wase-US wengeze imisebenzi ngesivinini esincane ngenyanga edlule. Ikusasa lenkomba yase-US lishintshile kancane, kuyilapho amasheya ase-Asia ehla. I-Stoxx 600 ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 kuya ku-260.98 ngo-9: 40 ekuseni eLondon ngemuva kokuba i-gauge izolo ikhuphukele ezingeni eliphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngo-Aug. 1. Isilinganiso sokuma sibheke phambili ngamaphesenti angu-2.2 kuleli sonto. Izinkontileka ze-Futures ku-Standard & Poor's 500 Index eziphelelwa yisikhathi ngo-March zikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.1 namuhla. I-MSCI Asia Pacific Index yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.1.
Isifinyezo semakethe ngo-10: 30 ekuseni GMT (isikhathi sase-UK)
Izimakethe zase-Asia/Pacific zithole izinhlanhla ezixubile ngesikhathi seseshini yasekuseni, i-Nikkei ivale ngo-0.51%, i-Hang Seng ivale ngo-0.08% kwathi i-CSI yavala ngo-0.8%, i-ASX 200 yavalwa ngo-0.39%. Izinkomba ze-European bourse zikhuphuke ngokulingene kuseshini yasekuseni, i-STOXX 50 ikhuphuke ngo-0.14%, i-FTSE ikhuphuke ngo-0.31%, i-CAC ikhuphuke ngo-0.16% kanti i-DAX ikhuphuke ngo-0.29%. Ikusasa le-SPX equity index okwamanje likhuphuke ngo-0.16%. I-ICE Brent crude ikhuphuka ngo-$0.23 umphongolo ngamunye kuyilapho igolide le-Comex likhuphuka ngo-$3.40 iounce.
I-Forex Spot-Lite
I-euro ibheke ekwehleni kwamasonto onke uma iqhathaniswa nayo yonke intanga yayo emikhulu engu-16. Bekungashintshiwe kusukela izolo ngo-$1.315 ngo-8:00 ekuseni eLondon futhi okwamanje kunyatheliswa ku-1.317. Isivuno sebhondi yaseJalimane yeminyaka eyi-10 yehle ngamaphuzu angu-2.5 saya kumaphesenti angu-1.82, kuyilapho isivuno samabhondi ase-Italy eminyaka engu-10 sikhuphuke ngamaphuzu angu-0.7 saya kumaphesenti angu-5.567.
i-eurozoneisiGreecekrugmanschaeuble
« Ukufa Kwezomnotho Kwesizukulwane I-UK Iyidwala Endaweni Enzima »