Izimpawu Ze-Forex Kafushane: Amabhange Amaphakathi Abuyile Nomhlangano We-RBA Namuhla
Emhlanganweni wanamuhla wenqubomgomo, i-Reserve Bank yase-Australia igcine i-Cash Rate kumaphesenti angu-4.10. UMbusi uLowe uthe amanani aphezulu asiza ekwehliseni ukwehla kwamandla emali, osekudlule inani eliphakeme kodwa ahlala ephezulu kakhulu. Ukuphendula, iDola lase-Australia lawela kwezinye izinhlobo zemali ngemuva kokuthi u-Lowe exwayise ngokuthi kungenzeka ukuthi kuqiniswe okwengeziwe.
Ngenkathi izimakethe zamasheya zomhlaba ziphansi kakhulu kusukela ekuvulweni kwe-Asia, izinkomba eziningi beziphansi ngesikhathi sokuvala kwayizolo kwe-New York, futhi indawo yemakethe ebanzi isalokhu ishintshile.
Esikhathini esifushane, iDola lase-Australia kube yimali ebuthakathaka kakhulu emakethe ye-Forex. Ngokuphambene, i-Swiss Franc ibe yimali enamandla kakhulu, ibeka isiphambano se-AUD/CHF ngaphansi kokuhlolwa. Abahwebi abathrendayo nabadayisi bemikhiqizo cishe bazoba nentshisekelo yokuba yinde kupheya lwemali ye-USD/JPY njengoba iqhubekile nokuthuthuka izolo futhi ihlala ngaphakathi kwendlela esemthethweni ekhuphukayo yesikhathi eside.
Kube nemibuthano eminingana emayelana nezimpahla, okuhlanganisa i-WTI Crude Oil kanye ne-Brent Crude Oil, efinyelele izinga eliphezulu lesikhathi eside ngoLwesihlanu olwedlule kanye nabahwebi besikhathi eside abanentshisekelo. I-Crude Oil ibambe isisekelo kusukela kuvalwa ngoLwesihlanu, okusikisela ukuthi izokhuphuka ibe phezulu.
Ngemuva kokuhluleka kaningi ezingeni lokumelana elihambisana no-$1.950, ukuthuthukiswa kwakamuva kwegolide kubonakala kumile isikhathi eside.
Idatha ye-GDP yase-Australia izokhishwa kusasa, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi ibonise ukukhuphuka okungu-0.3% kwekota.
Okulindelwe Kwemakethe Yanamuhla
Okuphambili kuleli sonto ngamabhange amakhulu amabili azobe edingida inqubomgomo yebhange elikhulu. Umhlangano we-Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ubusuvele ubanjwe ngasekuqaleni kwanamuhla, futhi ugcine izinga lenqubomgomo yawo liku-4.10%, njengoba bekulindelekile kabanzi, kuyilapho umhlangano weBhange LaseCanada (BOC) uzoba ngasekupheleni kwesonto. UPhilip Lowe, ozothatha isikhundla sombusi kuMichele Bullock ngoSepthemba, umemezele isimemezelo senqubomgomo e-RBA.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, iBhange LaseCanada lihlelelwe ukumemezela isinqumo senqubomgomo ngoLwesithathu. Abahlaziyi balindele ukuthi izinga lenqubomgomo ye-BOC nalo lizohlala lingashintshiwe ku-5.00%. Alikho ibhange elikhulu okulindeleke ukuthi liguqule amazinga alo enzalo ngokushesha.
Izolo, isenzo sentengo besihamba kancane, nakuba silandele iphethini esiyibone kakhulu ngenyanga edlule, lapho idola laseMelika lihlehla liphansi ekuseni bese lihlehla phezulu futhi. Okwathi ekugcineni, yazama ukuvala isonto onyaweni lwesokudla ngemuva kokuhlehla ngoLwesihlanu ntambama. Sivule izimpawu zokuhweba eziningana, nakuba zahlala zivulekile kuze kube namuhla njengoba uhla lokuhweba lwaluluncane.
Igolide Liya ku-200 SMA Futhi
Igolide lalinamandla kakhulu phakathi nengxenye enkulu ka-Agasti, kodwa emasontweni amabili edlule, kube nokuhlehla okuphawulekayo endleleni yalo. Kunezici ezimbalwa ezinomthelela ekushintsheni komfutho, okuhlanganisa nezimo zemakethe yezabasebenzi ezintengayo. Ekuqaleni, igolide licwiliswe kancane ngaphansi kuka-$1,900.
Njengoba abathengi bebuyela emakethe, umbono onethemba elikhulu ngegolide ubangele ukukhuphuka kwentengo ka-$1,953 ngoLwesihlanu ntambama.
Noma kunjalo, njengoba intengo isondela ku-Simple Moving Average (SMA) yezinsuku eziyi-100 emelwe umugqa oluhlaza, ihlangabezane nokuphikiswa okubalulekile. Igolide libonakala lishona phansi ngemva kokuthengwa kakhulu ngaphambili, kodwa i-200 SMA (purple) ibisebenza njengokusekela, ngakho-ke ake sibone ukuthi le MA izophinde ibambe intengo yini.
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