Ukulahleka kwamasheya e-USA, iminyaka elishumi yeebhondi zikanondyebo zinyuka ziye kufikelela kwiminyaka emine ephezulu, ngelixa irhuluneli yeBhanki yaseNgilane uMark Carney ihlangula ngokuqaqamba ngobungqina bayo bokuzithemba.
Iimpawu eziphambili zeemarike zezabelo zaseMelika; I-DJIA, i-SPX kunye ne-NASDAQ, ithengiswe ngokukhawuleza ngeLibini, emva kokuba ithengisiwe okokuqala ngaphezulu kwenyanga ngoMvulo. I-DJIA ilahle ngaphezulu kwamanqaku angama-400 kwinqanaba elinye njengoko i-intraday ephantsi (ngaphezulu kwama-26,000) yafikelelwa. Eminye imixholo kufuneka incanyathiselwe ekwindla lwamva nje; ukuthatha i-SPX njengomzekelo kwaye ngaphandle kwelahleko ethunyelwe kwiintsuku ezimbini ezidlulileyo, iinzuzo ze-2018 ngoku ziyi-5.5%, ngelixa i-NASDAQ izuza ikwi-7.2% ngoJanuwari. Ukuba sijonga iinzuzo ezenziwe yi-DJIA kwiiveki ezingama-52 ezidlulileyo zijikeleze iipesenti ezingama-35.
Kubalulekile ukuba uqaphele ukuba ukuze kubizwe intengiso yebhere, imvumelwano eyamkelweyo yeyokubuyiselwa umva okungama-20% ukusuka kwincopho yeendices ezininzi, ulungiso ngokubanzi luya kubalwa njengokuwa kwe-10% ukusuka kwincopho. Ukuwa kwiimarike zezabelo ze-USA (kwibhodi yonke) kungaphantsi kwe-2.5%. Kubalulekile ukuba umbono ugcinwe ngokubhekisele koku kubuyela umva ngokuthozamileyo, isikhundla esinokuthi sibuyele umva ngexesha leseshoni yangomso, nje ukuba ifuthe lesimo sokuqala sikaTrump "kwidilesi yemanyano" sithathiwe kwaye i-FOMC ityhile isigqibo sabo senqanaba lenzala.
Abahlalutyi abaninzi kunye nabahlalutyi beemarike babhekisa kwiqokobhe lemarike yebhondi enokuthi iqhume njengophawu lwesilumkiso ngokunxulumene nemarike yemasheya eyehla kakhulu; Isivuno seminyaka elishumi sityalwe ngaphezulu kwe-2.73% ngolwe-Lwesibini, elona nqanaba liphezulu lingqinwe ukusukela ngo-Epreli ka-2014. Kwaye i-3% ihlala ijongwa njengendawo apho: iindleko zenkampani ziya kuba zibiza kakhulu, intengiso yezemali iya kuphulukana nomtsalane wayo kwaye ke umfutho wokukhula uya kuphela. Kufuneka kuqatshelwe ukuba i-FOMC iphindaphinde amaxabiso enzala ukuya kwi-1.5% ukusuka kwi-0.75% ngo-2017, kwaye siza kuqala ukufumanisa ngolwesiThathu ngokuhlwa ukuba zeziphi izimvo zekomiti yeFed malunga nomgaqo-nkqubo wezemali ngo-2018. , ke amathuba okuba amaxabiso entengiso yezibophelelo aya kunyuka aqhubeke.
Ikhalenda yezoqoqosho ikhupha efanelekileyo kwi-USA echaphazelekayo ukuzithemba kwabathengi, okubethelela uqikelelo ngokunyuka ukuya kwi-125.4 ngoJanuwari, i-Case Shiller house price composite 20 yokufunda inyuke yaya kwi-6.31% YoY. Isalathiso sedola yaseMelika sivale usuku ngaphandle, ngelixa i-USD isilele ukwenza iinzuzo ezinkulu xa kuthelekiswa ne-yen, i-euro kunye ne-sterling. I-DJIA ivale i-1.19%, i-SPX yehla nge-0.92%. Igolide yawa nge-circa ye-0.2%, kunye neoyile ye-WTI ewela ngaphezulu nje kwe- $ 62 ngomgqomo.
Omabini la mazwe eFrance kunye ne-Eurozone's GDP angenise uqikelelo; I-EZ ithumele ukukhula kwe-YoY ye-2.7% kwaye iFrance yafikelela kwi-2.4% ye-YoY. Kwezinye iindaba zekhalenda yezoqoqosho ukuthunyelwa kwelinye ilizwe kweSwitzerland kunyuke nge-2.8% ngenyanga ngenyanga. Ukufundwa kwe-CPI YoY yaseJamani kwehle kwaba yi-1.6% ngoJanuwari ukusuka kwi-1.7%, ngelixa ukuzithemba kwabathengi kwe-Eurozone kuhlala kungatshintshanga kwaye kuqikelelo kwi-1.3%.
Kwezinye iindaba zaseYurophu ukuvunwa kwemali mboleko ye-UK kwehlile, ngeli lixa abathengi bekhredithi banyuka, njengoko kwaqinisekisa ukuboleka kwiindawo zokuhlala e-UK, nokuba ingaba oku kunyuka kwemali-mboleko kubonisa ukuzithemba, okanye ukuphelelwa lithemba, kuyinkohliso ukuseka. Iponti yase-UK ibiphantsi koxinzelelo ngexesha lokuqala leseshoni yase-Yuropu, njengoko usuku lwalunxibile ngokunyuka kwexabiso xa kuthelekiswa noninzi loontanga balo, befumana ukonyuka ekubonakala ngokuzithemba kwerhuluneli ye-BoE uMark Carney phambi kwendyebo. khetha ikomiti. Ngelixa avakalise umbono wokuba iBrexit ayinakuba sengozini kuqoqosho lwase-UK njengoko bekucingwa ngaphambili kwaye ngolawulo olusebenzayo lomgaqo-lawulo wezemali nakuphi na ukuwa kungabakho ngokulula. Amagama akhe athuthuzelayo afaneleke ukuba ingxelo evuzayo icebise ukuba i-UK ingaphulukana ne-8% ye-GDP emva kwe-Brexit, eyenze ukuba i-FTSE 100 ithengise kwaye ibangele ukuwa kwentsasa kwangoko.
Idola yaseMelika.
I-USD / JPY ithengisiwe kumgangatho oqinileyo we-bearish yonke imihla, iwela nge-S1 kwaye ibhalisa ukuwa kwe-0.4%, ngaphambi kokuphinda ivalwe nge-0.1% ngosuku nge-108.7. I-USD / CHF ilandele iphethini efanayo kwi-yen yen, iwela nge-S1, ukuze iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde iphinde kwakhona I-USD / CAD yabethelwa kuluhlu olubanzi, kwiseshoni yaseYurophu isibini semali yorhwebo saphula i-R0.3, ngaphambi kokuba iwele kwi-S0.934, ukuvala usuku kufutshane ne-pivot point ye-2, ezantsi nge-1%.
UKUQALA
I-GBP / i-USD ithengiswe kuluhlu olubanzi, iphinda ifumane ukuwa okokuqala nge-S1, intambo efunyenwe ukwahlulahlula i-PP yemihla ngemihla ukuze ekugqibeleni yaphule i-R1, iphele ngosuku ukuya kwi-0.3% kwi-1.414. I-GBP / JPY yayisisibini esisezantsi esasifumana eyona ndawo inkulu yokurhweba kunye nokutshiza ngemini, ekuqaleni ukuwa nge-S2 ukuphuka nge-PP yemihla ngemihla, ukuvala i-circa ye-0.3%, ngaphezulu kwe-R1 kwi-153.9.
EURO
I-EUR / GBP yabethelwa kuluhlu olubanzi, ekuqaleni isaphula i-R1 kwiseshoni yaseYurophu, isibini semali esinqamlezayo siguqula indlela edlula kwi-PP yemihla ngemihla yokwaphula i-S1, iprinta isezantsi ye-0.875, ivala nge-0.876 yehla nge-0.2% ngosuku . I-EUR / i-USD nayo yabethelelwa kuluhlu oluxineneyo, iwela kwi-S1 ngaphambi kokuphinda yaphule i-R1, inyuswe malunga. Iipesenti ezi-0.4, emva koko uyeke ezinye izibonelelo zokuphelisa usuku kwi-circa 1.240, ukuya kuthi ga kwi-0.2%.
GOLD
I-XAU / i-USD i-oscillated kuluhlu oluqinileyo kunye nokuthambeka kwicala elisezantsi, ukuwela kwi-S1, ukunyuka nge-PP yemihla ngemihla, emva koko ukubuyela umva kwakhona ukufikelela kwinqanaba lokuqala lokuchasana. Ukuvala usuku nge-1,334, isinyithi esixabisekileyo siphulukene namanqaku angama-32 ukusukela ekufikeni kwawo okuphezulu ngo-2018 kunye neenyanga ezintathu ze-1,366 kwiveki ephelileyo.
IZALATHISO UQWALASELO JANUWARI 30.
• I-DJIA ivale i-1.37%.
• I-SPX ivale i-1.09%.
• I-FTSE 100 ivale i-1.09%.
• I-DAX ivale i-0.95%.
• I-CAC ivale i-0.87%.
IZIGANEKO EZIBALULEKILEYO ZEKHALENDA YEZOQOQOSHO NGOJanuwari 31.
• I-EUR. Intengiso yaseJamani (YoY) (DEC).
• I-EUR. Umgangatho waseJamani wamabango okungaqeshwa (JAN).
• I-EUR. Inqanaba lokungaSebenzi le-Euro-Zone (DEC).
• I-EUR. Uqikelelo lwamaxabiso amaxabiso abathengi e-Euro-Zone (YoY) (JAN).
• I-CAD. Imveliso yasekhaya epheleleyo (YoY) (NOV).
• IUSD. Isigqibo seRhafu ye-FOMC (eBound Bound) (JAN 31).
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