Intlanganiso yokuqala yokumisela i-FOMC ye-2018 inokubonelela ngemikhondo, ngokubhekisele phambili kwisikhokelo seFed sonyaka
NgoLwesithathu nge-31 kaJanuwari nge-19: 00 GMT (ixesha lase-UK), i-FOMC iya kutyhila isigqibo sayo malunga namazinga enzala e-USA, emva kokubamba intlanganiso yeentsuku ezimbini. I-Federal Open Market Committee yikomiti, ngaphakathi kweFederal Reserve System, enoxanduva phantsi komthetho wase-United States wokongamela imisebenzi yesizwe evulekileyo yentengiso, enje; ukumiselwa kwamaxabiso, ukuthengwa kweeasethi, ukuthengiswa kweebond kunye neminye imiba enokuthathwa njengomgaqo-lawulo wemali. I-FOMC inamalungu ali-12; Amalungu asixhenxe eBhodi yeRhuluneli kunye no-7 kwabaongameli be-Reserve Bank abali-5. Iishedyuli ze-FOMC ziintlanganiso ezisibhozo ngonyaka, zibanjwa malunga neeveki ezintandathu ngokwahlukeneyo.
Imvumelwano ngokubanzi, evela kwizimvo eziqokelelwe kwiphaneli yezoqoqosho ezivotelweyo yiarhente yeendaba yeReuters, akukho tshintsho lwenqanaba eliphambili lokuboleka (elibizwa ngokuba liphezulu) okwangoku likwi-1.5%, emva kokunyuswa kwe-0.25% EtiMnga. I-FOMC igcinile kwisibophelelo sayo esenziwe kwangoko ngo-2017 sokunyusa amaxabiso amatyeli amathathu ngo-2017. Kwiintlanganiso zayo zokugqibela zowe-2018 i-FOMC ikwazibophelela kuthotho lwamazinga enzala anyukayo ngo-2018, ngelixesha izibophelelayo ekuqaliseni i-QT (ukuqiniswa kwamanani); ukunciphisa i-Fed's circa ye- $ 4.2 trillion sheet sheet, ekhule nge- $ 3 trillion ukusukela ngo-2008.
Ngaphandle kokuzibophelela ekunyuseni amaxabiso ngexesha le-2018, i-FOMC ibingacacanga ngabom malunga nexesha kwaye beyikhathalele ukunganyanzeli ikomiti kumgaqo-nkqubo we-hawkish. Endaweni yoko, bamkela umgaqo-nkqubo ongathathi cala; Ukunyanzelisa ukuba ukunyuka ngakunye kwexesha elizayo kuya kubekwa esweni ngononophelo kwimpembelelo yayo kuqoqosho lwase-USA. Ukucebisa ukuba ukuba kukho nasiphi na isiphumo esibi esenzekayo, mhlawumbi sicothise ukukhula, umgaqo-nkqubo unokuhlengahlengiswa. Ngokunyuka kwamaxabiso kufutshane ne-FOMC / Fed ekujoliswe kuyo nge-2.1% kunye neempawu ezincinci zoxinzelelo lwamaxabiso ezinto ezakhiweyo kuqoqosho, nasiphi na isigqibo sokunyuka kwamazinga akunakulindeleka ukuba siphenjelelwe kulawulo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso.
Ukuba i-FOMC ibhengeza ukubanjwa kwamazinga enzala, ingqwalaselo iya kutshintsha ngokukhawuleza kwiingxelo ezahlukeneyo ezihamba nesibhengezo kunye nenkomfa ebanjwe ngusihlalo we-Fed uNkosikazi Janet Yellen, oza kuba ngusihlalo wentlanganiso yakhe yokugqibela kwaye abambe inkomfa yakhe yokugqibela , njengosihlalo weFed ngaphambi kokuba athathwe indawo ngusihlalo omtsha weFed, uJerome Powell, ukhetho olukhethwe ngumongameli uTrump. Kuyo nayiphi na ingxelo ebhaliweyo kunye nenkomfa yeendaba, abahlalutyi kunye nabatyali mali bazakufunda ngononophelo kwaye baphulaphule ngenyameko kuyo nayiphi na imikhondo malunga nokulingana phakathi kwamahobe kunye nookhetshe kwi-FOMC; ii-hawks ziya kuba zityhala ukunyusa okunamandla ngakumbi kwamaxabiso kunye nokuncitshiswa okukhawulezayo kwiphepha lemali leFed. Uhlalutyo oluneenkcukacha ngakumbi lwentlanganiso ye-FOMC luya kuza xa imizuzu ikhutshwa, kwiiveki nje ezimbalwa zentlanganiso leyo iqhubekile.
Nokuba sithatha siphi isigqibo kunye nengxelo ehamba nayo, izigqibo zenqanaba lenzala zihambisa ngokweemarike zelizwe lasekhaya apho kuthathwa khona isigqibo. Iimarike ze-equity zinokunyuka kwaye ziwe, njengoko kunjalo ngeemarike zemali kwangoko ngaphambi, ngexesha nasemva kokuba isigqibo sikhutshiwe. Idola yaseMelika iye yaxutyushwa kakhulu ngo-2017, ngenxa yokuwa kwayo kuthelekiswa neontanga zayo eziphambili, ngaphandle kokuba i-FOMC inyuke ngezinga eliphindwe kathathu ngo-2017, iphindaphinda inqanaba ukusuka kwi-0.75% ukuya kwi-1.5%. Abarhwebi kufuneka ke ngoko bathathe inxaxheba kulo msitho wekhalenda yezoqoqosho kwaye balungelelanise izikhundla zabo kunye nomngcipheko ngokufanelekileyo.
IZALATHISI ZEZOQOQOSHO EZINGUNDOQO KWI-USA UQOQOSHO
• IGDP 2.5%.
• I-GDP QoQ 2.6%.
Umyinge wenzala 1.5%.
• Ixabiso lentengo ngu-2.1%.
Umyinge ongenamisebenzi 4.1%.
• Ityala v GDP 106.1%.
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