Ukuphazamiseka okungathethekiyo kurhwebo lwangokuhlwa njengoko iPalamente yase-UK ivotele ukwenza isivumelwano neBrexit
I-GBP/USD inikezele ngeenzuzo zayo zeveki ngexesha leseshini yokurhweba ngokuhlwa ngoLwesibini, njengoko iPalamente yase-UK ivotele ukuvumela uhlengahlengiso lwezopolitiko, oluya kuxhobisa urhulumente wase-UK ukuba asondele kwi-European Union, ukucela ukuba isivumelwano sokurhoxiswa sikrazulwe. phezulu, kunye nomqolo osusiweyo. I-backstop yindlela eyilelwe ukukhusela i-Ireland ekubandezelekeni komda onzima, ngelixa iqinisekisa ukuba isivumelwano samazwe ngamazwe esaziwa ngokuba siSivumelwano soLwesihlanu oLungileyo, sihlala sinjalo. Emva kokuba ivoti idluliselwe kwiNdlu yeeMimandla, i-EU yaphendula ngokukhawuleza ngokukhupha isitatimende esiqinisekisa ukuba isithembiso sokuhoxiswa asivulwanga ukuxoxisana, ukunika ivoti engenanto kwaye ininzi kakhulu.
Iimarike zeFX ngokudibeneyo kwaye zizimisele ngokukhawuleza, ukuba akukho sivumelwano i-Brexit ngoku sesona siphumo sinokubakho, ngokusekwe kwinto yokuba i-EU ayizukuyisusa i-backstop. I-GBP / USD yehla nge-circa 1% emva kokuba ivoti yokugqibela idluliselwe, inikezela isikhundla sayo ngaphezu kwendawo ye-pivot yemihla ngemihla, ukuphahlazeka kwinqanaba lesithathu lenkxaso, i-S3. Ngasekupheleni kweseshoni yokurhweba yosuku, isibini esikhulu sithengisa ngexabiso eliphantsi le-1.305 yonke imihla. Ikhebula yayingekho yodwa ekuboniseni isimo sengqondo seemarike zeFX ngokubhekiselele kwivoti, i-EUR / GBP yenyuka kwinqanaba lesibini lokuchasana i-R2, i-0.70% kwi-0.874, ukuthumela i-high quality yemihla ngemihla engabonakali ukususela kwiveki edlulileyo. I-Sterling iphinde yancama iinzuzo zayo zamva nje, ngokuchasene noninzi loontanga bayo abaseleyo.
Ukurhweba kwi-FTSE yase-UK ivaliwe ngaphambi kokuba uchungechunge lweevoti ezihlonyelweyo lwenzeka kwiNdlu yee-Commons, i-index yase-UK ehamba phambili ivale iseshoni kwi-1.29% kwi-6,834. Iimarike zekamva kwisalathiso ziqhubekile nokunyuka emva kweevoti. Ngendlela ehambelana kakubi, isalathiso siyenyuka njengoko i-GBP iwa, ngenxa yexabiso leefemu ezisekelwe e-USA eziqhuba urhwebo lwazo kwi-USD, ezikwiifemu eziphezulu ze-100 ezicatshulwe e-UK.
I-FOMC imele ikhulule isigqibo sayo malunga nenzala ngoLwesithathu kusihlwa, ikomiti ayiyi kukhumbula kuphela amanani e-GDP yakutshanje e-USA, ebikezelwa ukubonisa ukuwa kwi-2.6% ye-GDP ngonyaka xa ikhutshwe ngoLwesithathu ntambama, usenokuba uqaphele ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ezindlu e-USA kwehle kakhulu. I-S & P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 inkcazo yexabiso lekhaya lesixeko, inyuke ngo-4.7% ngonyaka ukuya kutsho ngoNovemba 2018, ilandela inzuzo ye-5% ngo-Oktobha, ngaphantsi kokulindela kweemarike ze-4.9%. Oku kwakuyeyona nto incinci yokunyuka kwiminyaka emine, ukususela ngoJanuwari 2015 kwaye ingabonisa ukuba abathengi base-USA baqala ukufikelela kwinqanaba, malunga nokunyamezela kwabo ukuhlawula amaxabiso aphezulu ezindlu kunye nokukwazi kwabo ukuxhasa imali eyandisiweyo yeentlawulo ze-mortgage.
Kwezinye iindaba zekhalenda ezinempembelelo ephezulu ezinxulumene ne-USA, ezinokugxila kwiingqondo zezihlalo ze-FOMC, iBhodi yeNkomfa ehlonitshwa kakhulu ipapashe iimetriki zayo zokuqala zika-2019 ngoLwesibini. Ukuzithemba kwabathengi kuye kwawa kwi-120.6, ngelixa ulindelo lokufunda luye lwawela kwi-87.3, zombini ukufundwa kukaJanuwari kuphoswe yi-Reuters malunga nomgama othile.
Imvumelwano ngokubanzi, ethathwe emva kokuba iReuters kunye neBloomberg ziphendule i-economists zabo, kukuba i-FOMC igcine izinga eliphambili lingatshintshi kwi-2.5%. Kanye njengoko iivoti kwipalamente yase-UK zenze umsebenzi onzima kwizibini ezibalaseleyo, uninzi lwazo lwatyhutyha uluhlu olubanzi ngaphambi kokufumana isikhokelo esitsha, isigqibo se-FOMC kunye nenkomfa yabezindaba eyalandelayo eqhutywe ngusihlalo weFed uJerome Powell, inokubangela umsebenzi omkhulu kwi-USD pairs. . Ke ngoko, njengoko bekukhuthazwa ngaphambili ngokumalunga neevoti zeBrexit, abarhwebi beFX baya kucetyiswa ukuba bahlale bephaphile ukuba banezikhundla, okanye bathande ukurhweba ngababini be-USD.
IGolide igcine ukunyuswa kwayo kutsha nje kwiiseshoni zangoLwesibini, igcine indawo engaphezulu komqheba obalulekileyo wengqondo we-1,300 nge-ounce, ngelixa iphula i-R2. Kwi-1,311 nge-ounce, i-XAU / i-USD inyuke nge-0.61% ngosuku, isinyithi esixabisekileyo sithengisa kwinqanaba lexabiso elingazange libonwe ukususela phakathi kukaJuni 2018. Isibheno semarike yeentsimbi ezixabisekileyo asikhawulelwanga kwigolide, isilivere nayo iye yafumana utyalo-mali olwandisiweyo. , ngakumbi kwiinyanga zamva nje, njengoko iinkxalabo zoqoqosho lwehlabathi zibangele amanqanaba okutsala utyalo-mali lwendawo ekhuselekileyo anyuke. I-Palladium, isinyithi esixabisekileyo esisetyenziswe kwiinkqubo ezininzi zoshishino, nayo yavuka ngamandla ngexesha leeseshoni zangoLwesibini, ivala i-1.05% ngosuku.
I-oyile ye-WTI ifumene inxalenye yelahleko efunyenwe ekuqaleni kweveki, ukuwa okusekelwe kubaqhubi be-rig base-USA ababonisa ukwanda komsebenzi kunye nokunyuka kwee-stockpiles. I-WTI yafumana isikhundla ngexesha leeseshoni zokurhweba ngoLwesibini, ukuvala usuku olungaphezulu kwe-$ 50 yesibambo se-barrel, ekhuphuka nge-2.48% ngosuku, ukuya kwi-$ 53.40. Ioyile ye-WTI yenze ukuchacha okukhulu, emva kokuthumela i-2019 ephantsi yeedola ezingama-46 ngomphanda, ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari.
IMICIMBI YEKHALENDA YOQOQOSHO NGOWE-30 JANUWARI
I-JPY yeeNtengiso ezinkulu zaBathengisi (Dec)
URhwebo loRhwebo lweJPY (MoM) (Dec)
I-JPY yoRhwebo loRhwebo (YoY) (Dec)
I-AUD RBA ilungiswe i-CPI (QoQ) (Q4)
I-AUD Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Q4)
I-AUD RBA ilungiswe i-CPI (YoY) (Q4)
I-AUD Consumer Price Index (QoQ) (Q4)
Isalathi esiKhokelayo se-CHF KOF (kuJanuwari)
UPhando lwe-CHF ZEW – Okulindelekileyo (Jan)
Imvume ye-GBP ye-Mortgage (Dec)
IMozulu yoShishino ye-EUR (uJan)
USD ADP Employment Change (Jan)
I-USD elindele ukuthengiswa kweKhaya (MoM) (Dec)
INGXELO yeNgxelo yoMgaqo-nkqubo weMali we-USD Fed
ISigqibo seRhafu ye-USD Fed
USD FOMC Press conference INTETHO
« Sukubandezeleka sisiqalekiso sokugqithisa, xa amayeza alula enokufumaneka Kutheni le nto abathengisi beFX kufuneka babeke iliso kwisigqibo senqanaba le-FOMC kunye nengxelo yenkomfa yeendaba kaJerome Powell »
