Ukwenza iNtloko okanye umsila we-EUR / USD
Kwiveki ephelileyo, bekukho amaxabiso amangalisayo ahambayo kwimarike yehlabathi, kubandakanya nemarike yemali. Idatha ibiyeyokubaluleka kwinqanaba lesibini kuphela. Yonke le nto yayimi phambi konyulo oluphambili lwaseGrisi. Le voti ibonwe ubukhulu becala njengenyathelo elibalulekileyo lokusinda kweprojekthi ye-EMU.
Nangona kunjalo, xa kujongwa ii-stakes eziphezulu ezibandakanyekayo, isenzo samaxabiso kumaxabiso amaninzi e-euro cross aphuhliswe ngendlela enocwangco ngokumangalisayo.
NgoMvulo, abathengisi be-EUR / USD babengazi ukuba yiyiphi ikhadi eliza kudlala emva kokuba iinkokeli ze-EMU zithembise inkxaso ye-€ 100B yecandelo lebhanki laseSpain. Isivumelwano sasiyindawo yokuqala ukuzibophelela kwezopolitiko, kunokuba isisombululo esicacileyo kwiingxaki zaseSpain okanye kwicandelo lebhanki laseYurophu.
Iinzuzo kwiimarike ze-equity zase-Asia kunye ne-EUR/USD ziye zaba ngumphunga kungekudala. Oku akuzange kuhambe kakuhle ekuqaleni kweveki ekwakusithiwa yayiyeyona nto iphambili ekusindeni kohlobo lwemali enye. Ukuba isicwangciso se-EMU secandelo lebhanki laseSpain lalinenjongo yokubonisa ukuba iYurophu yayinodonga oluqinileyo lomlilo endaweni yokumisa ukosuleleka ngakumbi ukusuka eGrisi, isicwangciso ngokucacileyo asizange sifikelele kwinjongo yaso. I-EUR / USD yaze yavala iseshoni yokuqala yokurhweba ngeveki ngelahleko.
Nangona kunjalo, kamva evekini, i-euro yabonisa ukomelela okumangalisayo. Izihloko zaseGreece naseSpain bezikude ukuba zibe ntle, kodwa azibanga sabangela monakalo ongaphezulu kwi-euro kwakhona. Abatyali-zimali babebekwe kwindawo yeendaba ezimbi kakhulu. Ngaphezu koko, ngasekupheleni kweveki bekukho zonke iintlobo zamahemuhemu / izihloko zokuba iibhanki eziphambili zimi zilungele ukuxhasa iimarike kwimeko yokwanda kwesiphithiphithi semarike ngenxa yonyulo lwaseGrisi. Oku kwenza abatyali-zimali balumke ukuba babekwe kwi-euro emfutshane kakhulu (okanye umngcipheko omfutshane). Kwangaxeshanye, idatha yase-US yayikude nokuba inomtsalane, nayo. Ingqwalasela yayiseYurophu kodwa ngelo xesha kwakukho ingcamango ekhulayo yokuba i-Fed iya 'kunyanzeliswa' ukuba ithathe amanyathelo ongezelelweyo ukuxhasa uqoqosho kwintlanganiso yeveki.
Oku akuzange kube luncedo kwidola jikelele. Ukudityaniswa kwedola ebuthathaka kunye nokucutha okufutshane kwe-euro kwaze kwanceda i-EUR/USD ukuba ifumane indawo yokuya kunyulo lwaseGrisi.
Kunyulo lwale mpelaveki yolonyulo lwaseGrisi, i-pro-European ND ibe lelona qela likhulu ePalamente. Amathuba orhulumente waseYurophu makhulu ngoku kunokuba ebenjalo ekupheleni kweveki ephelileyo. Ngokuqinisekileyo ezi ziindaba ezimnandi ze-euro. I-EUR / i-USD iphinde yafumana okwethutyana umqobo we-1.27 e-Asia ngoMvulo ekuseni. Noko ke, kwakungekho luvuyo.
Izabelo zamashishini ezingenanzala emisiweyo zaseYurophu zivuleleke phezulu kodwa kungekudala kwafuneka zibuyise uninzi lweenzuzo zangaphambili. I-EUR / USD ibuyele kumanqanaba ukusuka ekupheleni kweveki ephelileyo.
Kwimpendulo yokuqala, abatyali-zimali behlabathi banokuvuyiswa kukuba uhlobo oluthile lweArmagedon luye lwaphetshwa. Oku kunokuba yinto yexesha elifutshane elungileyo kumngcipheko kunye ne-euro. Nangona kunjalo, ingxaki ye-euro ayikapheli emva konyulo lwaseGrisi. Urhulumente omtsha waseGrike (ukuba unokusekwa kwikamva elingekude) kufuneka aphinde axoxe ngephakheji entsha yoncedo enokusetyenzwa neYurophu. Oku akuyi kuba lula njengoko uninzi lweenkokeli zaseYurophu kutshanje zibonise ukuba zifuna iGrisi ibambelele kwinkqubo yangoku. Olu asilulo ukhetho (lwezopolitiko), alukho kwiqela le-EMU eGrisi. Ke, iimarike ziya kuthi kungekudala zifikelele kwisigqibo sokuba umngcipheko obalulekileyo uthintelwe kodwa ukuba imisitho emininzi ibeka imingcipheko njengoko isahleli. Iziphumo zolonyulo lwaseGrisi zinokuwunciphisa okwethutyana umngcipheko wokosuleleka kwizinto ezithandwayo eSpain nase-Itali. Nangona kunjalo, imiba yesakhiwo kula mazwe nayo ayiphumi endleleni.
Ekuqaleni kwale veki, iimarike ziya kugcina iliso elibukhali kwintlanganiso ye-G20 eMexico. I-IMF inokusondela kwimvumelwano ngohlaziyo lweNgxowa-mali nakwisifuba esiphakamileyo semfazwe. Oku kuyancomeka, kodwa akukabiyiyo indlela ethembekileyo, elungelelanisiweyo yokusombulula ingxaki yamatyala ehlabathi/aseYurophu okwangoku.
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