Igolide phambi kwe-FOMC
Izabelo ziyathengisa emva kokunyuka kwamanani okungenisa kunye nokuthumela kwelinye ilizwe evela kwiJapan exhaswa zizibonelelo. Ingqungquthela ye-G-20 ivumile imigaqo-nkqubo enxulumene neeBhanki zaseSpain njengoko isivuno seminyaka eli-10 yeebhondi sikhuphukile ngaphezulu kweepesenti ezisi-7 sibetha irekhodi eliphezulu kwi-EU nge-7.13%. I-Spain ikwacwangciselwe ifandesi yebond ngomso kwaye inyuse isivuno ukuba siqhubeke sonyuka emva koko sinokubangela uloyiko phakathi kwabatyali mali. Ngapha koko, i-chancellor yase-Jamani ichaze inkuthazo kwi-Greece ngendlela yothethathethwano malunga ne-bailout, inokubangela ukuzithemba kubarhwebi njengoko i-Greece iqhubeka nokuhlala iyinxalenye ye-bloc yemali enye, kwaye inokuxhasa inzuzo kwi-asethi eyingozi.
Namhlanje, iimarike ziya kujongana nesigqibo sereyithi ye-FOMC kunye nokungazinzi kungangqinwa ngasemva kokunyuka kokuthengwa kweeasethi kwiFed, apho ibhanki esembindini yase-US inokugcina inqanaba lokulinganisa lenzala lingaguqukanga ngelixa ulwandiso lwe "twist yokusebenza" lunokungagwetywa.
Ukunciphisa umsebenzi wezoqoqosho wase-US kunokunyanzelisa amagosa e-Fed ukuba abonelele ngomgaqo-nkqubo wezemali kuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso akunakuba yinkxalabo njengoko sele yehlile kwaye inokunika indawo eyongezelelweyo kusihlalo weFed. Nangona kunjalo, kwiinyanga nje ezi-6 ngaphambi konyulo lukaMongameli, iFed inokuthandabuza ukubonelela nge-QE3, nangona kunjalo ithemba elongezelelekileyo lokuqhubeka lingaqhubeka nokuxhasa inzuzo kwiziseko zesinyithi. Amaxabiso abavelisi baseJamani anokuhla ngakumbi ngenxa yemfuno ebuthathaka yezinto zokwenza izinto kunye nezicelo zokubolekwa kwemali mboleko zaseMelika nazo zinokuhlala zibuthathaka ngenxa yokuqalisa kancinci kwezindlu kunye nokuswela ibango lokomelela.
Amaxabiso egolide abambe umgca ngokuhamba kancinci okanye umsebenzi, uhlala ngaphakathi kuluhlu olomeleleyo phakathi kwesiphithiphithi saseGrisi esisele ngaphakathi kwe-Euro. Ngaphandle kwezaziso zangoku ze-G20, isinyithi ngekhe sibe nengeniso ngexa; I-euro yadibana. Oku kubonisa umahluko phakathi konxibelelwano lwe-euro-yegolide. Nangona kunjalo, ukunamathela kwintshukumo yegolide kulindeleke ukuba kutshintshe icala elinye okanye elinye njengoko i-FOMC ilungiselela ukukhupha ingxelo yayo emva kwentlanganiso yeentsuku ezimbini.
Izabelo zeAsia zithengisa ngaphezulu namhlanje kusasa njengoko ulindelo olutsha olukhuthazayo lutyhalele phezulu iimarike. Kodwa, igolide khange, kungenxa yokuba ithuba lokuthengiswa kwemali ayivunyelwanga ngokulinganayo phakathi kwamagosa. Nangona kunjalo, ezoqoqosho zikholelwa ekubeni iFed iya kuyandisa inkqubo yokujija ukusebenza ngaphambi komhla wokugqibela wama-30-Jun. Kuzo zombini ezi meko, "ukungabhengezi i-QE3" okanye "ulwandiso lomsebenzi we-twist" iya kuba sisenzo sokulinganisa segolide.
Okwangoku, idatha yezindlu ezihlaziyiweyo zase-US ayinokunceda ekuphuculeni amanani ezicelo zobambiso namhlanje ezinokuxhasa igolide. Kodwa, kutshanje, isithembiso sokusebenza ngokujija okanye i-QE3 inokuxhasa iiasethi ezinobungozi ukuba zibhabhe phezulu (ifuthe kwangoko), zishenxise isibheno esikhuselekileyo sensimbi. Nangona kunjalo, ngaphambi kokuba i-FOMC iqale, ulindelo oluphezulu lweemarike zokuphehlelelwa kwe-QE3 lunokubonelela ngokuqhuba kwegolide; Ngelixa ukungabikho okufanayo (okunokwenzeka) kunokuba yingozi kwisinyithi.
Amaxabiso esilivere aya kuthi ngokuqinisekileyo athathe imikhondo evela kwigolide kwaye alandele i-bounce efanayo kwiseshoni yanamhlanje.
Khumbula iSicwangciso esiliGolide esidumileyo seBernanke, xa uBernanke ethetha ngesibhakabhaka okanye ukuwa kwegolide kodwa angahlali njalo.
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