I-Dow Jones Index iwela ngaphantsi kwe-24,000 intraday, njengoko izitokhwe zehlabathi zithengisa, ukuwa okuthe chatha ngenxa ye-Brexit kunye noloyiko lwezoqoqosho
Ngelixa kugxilwe kwiimarike zase-USA, njengoko i-DJIA yaphosa i-circa ngamanqaku ayi-1,600 ngexesha lokwehla kwe-intraday ngoMvulo, uninzi lweentatheli zezemali ziphosile ukunika ingxelo ngokuwa kutsha nje kwiimarike zaseYurophu. Isalathiso esikhokelayo sase-UK-FTSE 100, siwile nge-circa ye-4.5% ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kwaye ngoMvulo yafumana eyona nto ithengiswayo ukusukela oko inkulumbuso uMay yabiza unyulo ngo-Epreli 18 kunyaka ophelileyo. Kufuneka kuqatshelwe ukuba isalathiso esikhokelayo sase-UK singaphantsi kuphela kwamanqaku angama-400 ngaphambi kokuphakama kwayo ngo-1999. Kuthathe isalathiso sase-UK ngaphezulu kweminyaka eli-15 ukwaphula irekhodi le-1999 lama-6,950 kwaye ngoku, ixabiso langoku kwi-7,334 yokuphela kosuku, isalathiso siyi-approx kuphela. I-5.5% ngaphezulu kwenqanaba layo le-dot com boom ka-1999. Iimarike eziphambili zase-Yuropu azikhange zikonwabele ukunyuka kwamanani e-USA kule minyaka idlulileyo, njengoko ifuthe lokudodobala koqoqosho liphelile, ngoko ke ulungiso (lwe-10%) luza kususa , hayi iiveki okanye iinyanga, zeenzuzo / zenzuzo.
Iimarike zaseYurophu zibambe ukuthengisa okusasazekayo iimarike zaseAsia zazakhe ngobusuku nje - ekuseni; I-DAX, i-CAC, i-STOXX 50 zonke zithengiswe ngokukhawuleza, i-CAC ivala i-1.48% ngosuku. I-EUR / USD yehle nge-circa ye-0.50%, nge-EUR / JPY yehla nge-1.5%. I-Sterling yawa kufutshane nge-2% xa ithelekiswa ne-yen, yaza yawa kuthelekiswa neninzi yoontanga bayo, njengoko umba we-Brexit waphinda wabangela ukungaqiniseki kwi-UK. Ngokungafaniyo neenyanga ukusukela ekubhengezweni kwesigqibo se-referendum, i-USA ilawula isalathiso senkampani i-FTSE 100 isilele ukuzuza, kurhwebo oludityanisiweyo olubi, njengoko kwawiswa nesitayile. Uxinzelelo lweBrexit (oluvela kwicala lase-UK) lwenziwa yi-govt yase-Bhritane. echaza ukuba ilizwe alizukuhlala kumanyano wabathengi, okanye kwintengiso enye. Oku kuyaphikisana nesivumelwano ekucingelwa ukuba sifikelelwe ngoDisemba, esivumele ukuba uthethathethwano ludlulele ekuxoxeni ngesivumelwano sentengiso. Inokuqhubela phambili njani ngoku into yokuqikelela komntu, njengoko unokuthi uthintelwe umda waseIreland, ukuba akukho CU kwaye akukho ukufikelela kwimakethi enye.
Ii-PMI ezininzi zeMarkit ze-Eurozone zapapashwa ngoMvulo, kunye nentlanganiso yesininzi, okanye ukubetha uqikelelo. Iinkonzo ze-PMI zase-UK ziphose uqikelelo kwi-53.5, zibetha inyanga elishumi elinesithandathu kwaye yanika ilizwe ukuthembela kuthengiso olungenisa iinkonzo, le nto iphosakeleyo ngabahlalutyi kunye nabatyali mali, ngexesha apho imiba yeBrexit iphinde yavela phakathi kwamashishini olingano lwehlabathi. thengisa.
Imarike yaseNew York evulekileyo yayilindelwe ngolangazelelo kwimarike yexesha elizayo kwii-indices zase-USA ezingakhange zinike zinkcukacha malunga nokuthengiswa okugqithisileyo okulandelayo. Ngexesha elinye i-DJIA ichithe ngaphezulu kwe-7% (ngelishwa indawo apho ikhefu lesekethe lixhonywe kwisalathiso se-SPX sokuthintela ukuwa okungaphezulu) kunye nokuhla ngamanqaku ayi-1,600, ngaphambi kokuphinda uphele usuku ezantsi nge-1,175 yamanqaku kunye ne-4.60%, Olona suku lukhulu luthengisiwe ukusukela ngo-2011. I-SPX yehle ngamanqaku ayi-100 kunye ne-3.61%, i-2018 YTD yokufumana / ukunyuka kwama-indices ase-US ngoku icinyiwe. Ngaphandle kokuthengisa kunye nokuchitheka kwegazi, bekukho intwana yethemba malunga noqoqosho lwase-USA; Isalathiso esingakhange sivelise i-ISM esikhokelayo singene kwi-59.9, sibetha uqikelelo lwe-56.7 ngomgama othile. Idola yaseMelika yenze inzuzo xa kuthelekiswa noontanga abaliqela, ngaphandle kwe-yen kunye ne-Swiss franc, eyayisebenza njengendawo ekhuselekileyo njengamashishini athengiswayo. Igolide ayiphumelelanga ukubamba iibhidi ezikhuselekileyo, inyuka ngokuthobekileyo nge-circa 0.2%, kunye neoyile yeWTI eyehla ngaphezulu kwe-2%. I-Bitcoin iwele kwi-6,600, ukusuka kwi-circa engama-20,000 200 ngoDisemba, i-selloff iphule i-DMA engama-7,234, ihleli kwi-XNUMX.
EURO
I-EUR / USD ithengiswa kuluhlu olubanzi lwe-bearish yonke imihla, iwela nge-S1, iwela nje kufutshane nge-S2, ivala usuku kwi-circa 1.237, nge-approx ezantsi. I-0.5% ngosuku. I-EUR / GBP ithengiswe kuluhlu lwe-bullish, iphula i-R2, ivala nge-0.6% ngosuku, inyuka ngaphezulu kwesiphatho esibalulekileyo se-0.8800 ukuya kwi-0.886. I-EUR / CHF yabethelwa kuluhlu olubanzi, ibonisa zombini ezixhasayo kwaye ekugqibeleni zi-bearish, ixabiso lenyuka nge-R1 lokufumana nge-circa ye-0.5%, ngaphambi kokuguqula umkhombandlela, ukubetha nge-S3, kunye nokuvala ngaphezulu kwe-1% kwi-approx. 1.152.
I-USDOLLAR
I-USD / JPY yawa nge-circa 0.5%, kufutshane nje nge-S2 ukuvala nge-circa 109.11. I-USD / CHF isoyikise ngokwaphula i-R2, ngaphambi kokunikezela ngeenzuzo zosuku, ukuvala usuku kufutshane neflethi, ngaphezulu nje kwe-PP yemihla ngemihla, kwi-0.931. I-USD / CAD ithengiswa kuluhlu olubanzi lwe-bullish kunye nejelo, inyuka ngokuthe chu ukuya kwi-R2, ivala nge-1.252, inyuka nge-0.5% ngosuku.
UKUQALA
I-GBP / i-USD yawa ngaphezulu kwe-1% ngosuku, yawela kwinqanaba lokuphatha elibalulekileyo le-1.4000, yawela nge-S2 ephelisa usuku kwi-circa 1.395, yatshona nge-approx. Iipips ezingama-400 okoko kuthunyelwe i-2018 ephezulu nge-26 kaJanuwari. I-GPB / JPY yaphazanyiswa nge-2% ngosuku, yaphula i-S3, yavala usuku nge-circa 152.2. I-GBP / CHF yawa ngaphezulu kwe-1%, yaphazamiseka nge-S3, yaphelisa usuku kufutshane nesiphatho esibalulekileyo se-1.300.
GOLD
I-XAU / i-USD ithengiswe kuluhlu oluxineneyo lwe-circa 0.2% emini, ukuvala ngaphezulu nje kwe-PP yemihla ngemihla, kwi-1,339. Isinyithi esinexabiso siwa kwi-intraday ephantsi ye-1,328, kwaye yafikelela kwi-1,341 ephezulu. Ku-1,279 i-200 DMA ngumgama othile kude nexabiso lemali.
IZALATHISO UQINISEKISO LWE-FEBRUWARI 5th.
• I-DJIA ivale i-4.6%.
• I-SPX ivale i-4.10%.
• I-FTSE 100 ivale i-1.46%.
• I-EURO STOXX ivale i-1.26%.
• I-DAX ivale i-0.76%.
• I-CAC ivale i-1.48%.
IZIGANEKO EZIBALULEKILEYO ZEKHALENDA YEZOQOQOSHO KWE-FEBRUWARI 6th.
• IUSD. Ibhalansi yezoRhwebo (DEC).
• Ii-Orders zeJamani zeFektri nsa (YoY) (DEC)
• IUSD. JOLTS Ukuvulwa kwemisebenzi (DEC).
• I-NZD. Utshintsho kwezeNgqesho (YoY) (4Q).
• UHLOLO. Umsebenzi we-AiG weSalathiso soKwakha (JAN).
IZIGANEKO EKUFUNEKA ZIJONGE NGOLWESIBINI NGOFEBRUWARI 6.
Ngaphandle kokuthengisa kwi-equities yase-USA, ukuthotywa kwangoMvulo kuthatha kuphela ii-indices zokulinganisa ukubuyela emva kweyeNkanga / kwangoko kumanqanaba kaDisemba 2017. Ukuba uthotho olulandelayo lwengeniso luza kwithagethi, kwaye ukuvuleka kwemisebenzi kuyahambelana nedatha ye-NFP ethembekileyo epapashwe ngoLwesihlanu we-2, ke iimarike kunye nexabiso le-USD linokuzinza. Ii-PMI ezininzi zeentengiso zeMarkit ziya kupapashwa kumazwe akhokelayo aseYurophu kunye ne-Eurozone ebanzi ngolwe-Lwesibini, ezi ziya kujongwa ngenyameko kuyo nayiphi na imiqondiso yokuba buthathaka kwabathengi. Njengenjini yokukhula kwe-EZ, amanani eefektri zaseJamani aya kujongwa ngeliso elibukhali, njengoko kuya kuba sisalathiso sokwakha saseJamani, nakuphi na ukwahluka kubikezelo kunokubona i-EUR isabela kuthelekiswa noontanga bayo abaphambili. Nge-RBNZ ibhengeza isigqibo sayo senqanaba langoLwesithathu, amanani abantu abangasebenziyo aza kujongwa ngononophelo njengoko bekhululwa ngolwe-Lwesibini ngokuhlwa, ngokwendalo i-NZD inokuthi isabele njengesiphumo.
« Ugxininiso luya kuba kwiimarike zezabelo ze-USA ezivulwe emva kohambo lwangoLwesihlanu Njengokuba i-MPC yeBhanki yaseNgilani ihlangana ukuxoxa nokwazisa ngenqanaba lenzala yase-UK, abahlalutyi baqala ukubuza ukuba "luza kubakho nini unyuko olungenakuphepheka?" »
