Likhoebo tsa USA li ntse li tsoela pele ho khutla morao, USD e phahama, ha batseteli ba ntse ba emetse molulasetulo oa Fed Powell ponahalo ea pele ho phanele ea Ntlo
Limmaraka tsa lichelete tsa Amerika le maikutlo a motseteli ka kakaretso, ho bonahala li fumane boemo ba tekano. Litaba tsa infleishene, litlamo, litekanyetso tsa mmaraka, le boleng ba dolara ea Amerika, ha e sa le mathata a akaretsang a bakileng thekiso ea tšohanyetso, ho pakiloe bofelong ba Pherekhong mathoasong a Hlakola. Boikutlo bo bonahala bo khutlela maemong a ts'ebeliso ea 2017, mohlala oa ona ke limmaraka tsa tekano tse felisang ho putlama ho makatsang ha thekiso e ncha ea matlo, e tlalehiloeng e le -7.8% ka Pherekhong, e haelloa ke ponelopele ea ho nyoloha ho 3.5% mme e batla e lekana the -7.6% e oela ka Tshitwe. Maikutlo a mmaraka a se a sa natse litaba tse mpe, ka ha batseteli ba batla ho reka litefiso, empa eseng ho ipapisitse le metheo kapa litheknoloji.
DJIA e phahame ka circa 1.58% mme SPX e phahame ka 1.18%, e nka melemo ea 2018 ho li-indices ka bobeli ho isa ho 4%. Ha dolara ea Amerika e phahame ka approx. 0.2% ha e bapisoa le bongata ba lithaka tsa eona, ha index ea dollar e nyolohile ka chelete e ts'oanang. Oli ea WTI e ile ea atamela $ 64 ka moqomo oa moqomo, kaha bothata ba tlhahiso ea Libya bo bakile khaello, ha khauta e ne e fihla ho $ 1,240 ka hora ea intraday, pele e fana ka phaello e sireletsehileng ea boipiletso, ho koala letsatsi ka $ 1,326.
Limmaraka tsa European equity le tsona li ile tsa tsoela pele nakong ea khoebo ea mots'eare. FTSE, DAX le CAC ea Fora kaofela li ile tsa phahama. Litaba tsa khalendara ea moruo tse amanang le UK le Eurozone li ne li haella, leha ho le joalo, BBA ea UK e phatlalalitse palo e eketsehileng ea likalimo bakeng sa theko ea matlo, mme Mario Draghi o ile a tšoara seboka Brussels moo a ileng a tšohla leano la lichelete bakeng sa Eurozone le sekhahla Europe ka bophara. Ka lipolotiki, taba ea Brexit e ne e boetse e le sehlohlolong, joalo ka ha moetapele oa bohanyetsi UK Jeremy Corbyn a boletse hore Mokha oa Basebetsi o tla tsitlella hore UK e lule mokhatlong oa litheko ho netefatsa hore mekoallo ea khoebo e lula e se na likhohlano le litaba tsa moeli. Mabapi le Ireland Leboea e ne e tla rarolloa.
Litaba li ile tsa etsa hore UK pound e fokotsehe, nakoana kamora hore ofisiri ea Bank of England e hlahise hoseng hore ho phahama ha sekhahla sa maemo ho ka etsahala ho tloha ka Mots'eanong. Taba e tobaneng le mmuso oa UK joale e thata haholo, kaha ba bangata mokheng oa Conservative ba kanna ba nahana ho ikamahanya le Mokha oa Basebetsi le ho khetha khahlanong le mmuso oa bona ho lumellana tumellano ea ho qetela ea Brexit. Sena se ka tiisa ho fela ha puso ea mokha hona joale mme sa baka likhetho tse akaretsang, ka mokhoa oa likhetho tsa ho hloka tšepo.
Yuro
EUR / USD e shapuoa ka mefuta e mengata ho pholletsa le letsatsi, e nyoloha ka R2 ho fihlela intraday e phahameng ea 1.2355, pele e khutlisa tataiso ea ho putlama morao ka mekhahlelo ka bobeli ea ho hanyetsa, le ho roba PP ea letsatsi le letsatsi, e ts'osetsang ho fihlela boemo ba pele ba ts'ehetso . Theko qetellong e ile ea khutlisoa ho koala letsatsi ho fihlela ka 0.2% ka letsatsi ho 1.231. EUR / CHF e hlahisitse tloaelo e matla ea letsatsi le letsatsi, e rekisa ka mokhoa o pharalletseng oa ho ts'oara, e nka boemo ba bobeli ba ho hanyetsa, ho koala letsatsi ho fihlela ka 0.8% ho 1.154. CHF e ile ea sokola ho etsa phaello ho bapisoa le lipara life kapa life, nakong ea kotsi ea tikoloho ea khoebo.
HO SEBELISA
GBP / USD e shapuoa ka mefuta e fapa-fapaneng ho pholletsa le letsatsi, qalong e nyoloha ka R2 ho beha seporo se phahameng se roba mochini oa 1.400. Tataiso e khutlisitsoeng ke theko ho khutlela morao ntlheng ea pivot ea letsatsi le letsatsi, hore qetellong e koalehe haufi le PP ho 1.396. Sterling e na le boiphihlelo bo makatsang le boits'oaro bo fapaneng le lithaka tsa eona tse ngata, GBP / JPY e fana ka mohlala o hlaheletseng ka ho fetisisa. Qalong ea kopano ea Asia ts'ireletso e ile ea nyoloha ka R1, ea oela morao ka PP ea letsatsi le letsatsi, 'me ea phahama ho fihlela R2, ho khutlisa tataiso le ho koala 0.2% ka letsatsi.
LOLOLO LA US
USD / JPY e shapuoa ka mohala o moqotetsane, 'me qetellong e ba leeme ho ea holimo. Qalong e oela ka S1, theko e fetotse tsela, e qobella ho fihlela ka PP ea letsatsi le letsatsi, ho phethela letsatsi ka 0.2% ho 106.93. USD / CHF e boetse e shapuoa, theko e fapaneng ka bongata, qalong e oela ho S1 ho khutlisa matla ho sutumelletsa boemong ba pele ba ho hanyetsa, theko e koala ho 0.938, ho fihlela ka 0.3% ka letsatsi. USD / CAD e rekisitsoe ka bongata bo nang le khethollo e matlafatsang, qalong e oela ka PP ea letsatsi le letsatsi, tataiso e khutliselitsoeng ka theko ho nyolohela ho R1, qetellong e oela morao, ho koala circa 0.2% ka letsatsi.
Gold
XAU / USD e ile ea phahama ka matla mananeong a Asia le Europe, ea nyoloha ka R3 ho fihlela matsatsi a mararo a phahameng a 1,340. Leha ho le joalo, ho phahama e ne e le ha nakoana ha theko e oela morao haufi le mohala oa pele oa khanyetso ho 1,333. Theko e ntse e nyoloha haholo ho 1,308 ea Tlhakola e tlase, empa e ntse e haelloa ke bophahamo ba selemo le selemo ba 1,361 e hatisitsoeng ka la 18 Hlakola.
LITLHAKISO TSE KHOLO TSA MOTSOALLE OA LA 26 FEBRUARY.
• DJIA e koetse 1.58%.
• SPX e koetse 1.18%.
• FTSE 100 e koetse 0.62%.
• DAX e koetse 0.35%.
• CAC e koetse 0.51%.
LIKETSAHALO TSA K'HALENDA EA MORUO KA LA 27 FEBRUARY.
• EUR. Bundesbank's Weidmann E hlahisa Tlaleho ea Selemo ea Setsi.
• EUR. Index ea Theko ea Bareki ea Jeremane (YoY) (FEB P).
• USD. Bopaki ba Congressional Powder bo fanoa.
• USD. Tsoelo-pele ea Thepa ea Khoebo ea Thepa ea Pele (JAN).
• USD. Litaelo tsa thepa e tšoarellang (JAN P).
• USD. S & P / Case-Shiller Index ea Theko ea Lehae ea US (YoY) (DEC).
• USD. Index ea Tšepo ea Bareki (FEB).
• USD. Fed's Powell e Pakela Komiti ea Litšebeletso tsa Lichelete ea Ntlo.
• JPY. Tlhahiso ea Liindasteri (YoY) (JAN P).
LIKETSAHALO TSA CALENDAR HO MOKHATLO OA HLOKOMELA KA Labobeli la la 27 FEBRUARY.
Kamora hore Bundesbank ea Jeremane (banka e kholo ea Jeremane) e fane ka tlaleho ea eona ea morao-rao ea selemo, re tla amohela sekhahla sa ho qetela sa infleishene sa Jeremane sa CPI, se lebelletsoeng ho oela ho 1.5% YoY ka Hlakola, ho tloha ho 1.6% ka Pherekhong. Tlaleho ea Bundesbank e ka ama boleng ba euro, ho latela litaba.
Ke letsatsi le maphathaphathe haholo bakeng sa litaba tsa khalendara ea USA, thekiso e tsoetseng pele ea thekiso le lipalo tse tšoarellang tsa thekiso, li tla fana ka leseli mabapi le takatso ea MaAmerika ea ho reka lintho tse rekisoang, haholo thepa ea litekete tse kholo joalo ka thepa e tšoeu. Lenane la theko ea ntlo le tsebahalang ka ho fetisisa, Case Shiller index, le tla senola hore na litheko tsa ntlo li tšoarelletse joang likhoeling tse sa tsoa feta, sena se tla senola maikutlo a akaretsang a bareki ba USA, joalo ka ha ho baloa boits'epo ba bareki ba morao-rao.
Ketsahalo e hlahelletseng ea khalendara ea letsatsi e amana le bopaki boo molula-setulo e mocha oa Federal Reserve Jerome Powell a tla bo fetisetsa ho Komiti ea Ntlo ea Litšebeletso tsa Lichelete. Batseteli le bahlahlobi ba tla beha leihlo ponahalo ena le puo ka mabaka a fapaneng, ho kenyeletsoa tataiso efe kapa efe ea lichelete, lintlha tsa tataiso ea pele. Ho itšepa le bokhoni boo a nang le bona bo tla hlahlojoa.
« Lipalo tsa morao-rao tsa kholo ea GDP ea USA li ka khutsisa matsete a batseteli, empa tsa hlahisa lipotso mabapi le leano la lichelete la Fed Lichelete tsa Amerika li oa 'me USD ea phahama, ha batseteli ba fetolela bopaki ba Jerome Powell joalo ka hawkish »
