Li-Sterling tse kholo tsa li-FX li ile tsa shapa ka matla ha lipuo tsa Brexit li fihla nakong e thata, USA tekanyetso e kholo ea tekano DJIA e natefeloa ke moralo oa lekhetho
Bobeli DJIA le SPX qalong ba ile ba amohela litaba tse monate tsa hore lenaneo la ntlafatso ea lekhetho la maRephabliki le fetisitse voutu ho Senate hoseng ka Moqebelo hoseng, ho etsa hore ho be le monyetla o moholo hore (ka sebopeho sa eona sa joale) liphetoho li tla fetoha molao. Batseteli ha baa ka ba senya nako hang hang ba fetolela lintlafatso joalo ka mpho bakeng sa likhoebo tse kholo, mabapi le phaello e eketsehileng le likabelo tsa ba nang le kabelo. Leha ho le joalo, mantsiboea SPX e ile ea fetoha e mpe, ha NASDAQ e boima ea mahlale e oele motšehare ka 1%, kaha liphetoho tsa lekhetho li tla thusa lekala lena hanyane.
Dolara ea Amerika le eona e ile ea matlafatsoa ke khetho ea Senate, USD / JPY e nyolohang ka li-circa 0.3% ka letsatsi, ka phaello e ts'oanang e tlalehiloeng ho bapisoa le euro, libaka tse bolokehileng tse kang khauta le tsona li ile tsa rekisoa ka mokhoa o itekanetseng nakong ea likopano tsa USA. Le taba e atamelang ea ho koaloa hoa mmuso oa USA, ka lebaka la hore mmuso o ikemiselitse ho roba moeli oa mokoloto oa molao hamorao bekeng ena, ha o ntse o sebetsa mokoloto v GDP ea 106%, o hlotsoe ho fokotsa maikutlo a batseteli. Mabapi le litaba tsa khalendara USA litaelo tse tšoarellang li oele tlase ho feta kamoo ho neng ho lebelletsoe ka Mphalane; ha e theoha -0.8%, liodara tsa feme le tsona li ile tsa otla bolepi ba Reuters; ho fihla tlase -0.1%.
Tšepo ea Brexit e ne e phahame Brussels, ho tsoa sehlopheng sa UK le ho komiti e tsamaisang EU ea Brexit hoseng le har'a mpa ea motšehare oa mantsiboea, joalo ka ha lipolelo le liqoso mabapi le tsoelo-pele li fanoe ke mahlakore ka bobeli. Molaetsa o hokahaneng o ne o bonahala o fana ka maikutlo a hore tumellano e fihletsoe ho: Litokelo tsa bolulo tsa baahi ba EU UK kamora Brexit, bili ea tharollo ea tlhalo, makhotla a toka a Europe a nang le matla a fetang nakong ea phetoho le taba ea moeli oa Ireland. Boemo bona ba tšepo bo matlafalitsoe ke Markit PMI oa morao-rao bakeng sa khatiso ea kaho ea UK e otlang ponelopele ea Pulungoana, ka ho tla ka 53.1.
Ka bomalimabe, ho tonakholo May, o ile a bonahala a itlhahisa pele a ts'episa maemo a ikhethileng bakeng sa Ireland Leboea, mabapi le mokhatlo oa litheko le mmaraka o le mong oo balekane ba hae ba lipolotiki DUP ba neng ba ke ke ba o lumella. DUP e ne e ke ke ea lumellana le tokisetso e neng e tla bona maemo a fapaneng bakeng sa Ireland Leboea ha a bapisoa le UK e ngoe, haholo-holo selekane se ka fetoleloang e le United Ireland. Sterling o ile a shapuoa ka mabifi ho pholletsa le letsatsi, a phahama a ba a oa, joalo ka ha ts'epo e ne e phahamisoa ebe e oa. Ha re nahana, ka lebaka la ho hloleha ha lipuo ho ea pele, hoa makatsa hore barekisi ba FX ha baa ka ba khutsufala ho feta.
Leha ho le joalo, mohlomong tšepo e ntse e le hore tumellano e ntse e ka kopanngoa pele ho letsatsi la ho qetela la Laboraro, letsatsing leo moeletsi ea ka sehloohong oa EU, Michel Barnier a tlamehang ho itlaleha ho bokhomishenara ba hae haeba ho entsoe tsoelo-pele e lekaneng ho lumella UK ho ea mohatong oa bobeli; ho bua ka tumellano ea khoebo. Ke papali e sireletsehileng hantle, e ipapisitseng le ketso ea theko e pakiloeng ka Mantaha ke GBP / USD le EUR / USD, hore ho tla fanoa ka tse ling tse tšoanang ho fihlela mofuta o mong oa qeto ea konkreite o fihletsoe. Ho fihlela nako e joalo bahoebi ba hlahelletseng ba lokela ho ba hlokolosi haholo; ho laola mekhoa ea boipheliso, ho emisa, ho ipeha kotsing le ho boloka mocha o lula o butsoe bakeng sa liketsahalo tsa morao-rao.
HO SEBELISA
GBP / USD e shapuoa ka bongata bo lekaneng nakong ea likhoebo tsa Mantaha; ho oela ho S1 ha mebaraka ea Asia e buloa, e nyoloha ka PP ea letsatsi le letsatsi, ebe e oela butle ka S1 ho fihlela approx. 11:00 am, ha para e kholo ea chelete e fetola tsela, e nyolohela ho R1 ho ea holimo ka 1.353 ka letsatsi. Banyalani bao ba ile ba hloleha ho boloka boemo, ba oela morao ka S1, mme qetellong ba koala letsatsi ho circa 1.346, ka tlase ho 0.2%. Khahlano le CHF sterling e entse phaello ha boipiletso bo sireletsehileng ba franc ea Switzerland bo fokotseha, joalo ka ha kotsi ea haufinyane ea maikutlo a ho rekisa Wall Street e ne e bolokoa.
Yuro
EUR / GBP e ne e le mekhahlelo e fapaneng ea lichelete, e ts'oanang le GBP / USD, nakong ea linako tsa khoebo tsa Mantaha, kaha lihlopha tsena ka bobeli li amehile haholo ka lipuo tsa Brexit, leha li-euro tse ipapisitseng le tsona li ne li rekisoa ka mokhoa o fokolang ho pholletsa le letsatsi. EUR / GBP e oele ha limmaraka li buloa, ebe e phahama lenaneong la Europe la hoseng, e roba PP ea letsatsi le letsatsi, ebe e oela ho S2, e hatisa ka tlase 0.875, ka tlase ho 0.7%, ha e ntse e roba 200 DMA e mahlonoko e ho 0.879, pele hlaphoheloa ho phethela letsatsi tlase ka 0.2%, ho 0.880. EUR / USD e rekisitsoe ka har'a li-bearish tse thata letsatsi lohle, ho 1.186, e koala circa 0.3%, haufi le boemo ba pele ba ts'ehetso.
USDOLLAR
USD / JPY e rekisitsoe ka bongata bo matla nakong ea linako tsa Mantaha, e nyoloha ka R1 nakoana kamora hore limmaraka tsa Asia li buloe, kamora moo chelete e kholo ea lichelete e ile ea lula ho li-circa tsa 0.2% ho koala letsatsi ho fihlela 0.2%, ho 112.4. USD / CHF le eona e rekisitse ka bongata bo matla, e roba R1 pele London e buloa, ebe e lula maemong a tiileng bakeng sa letsatsi le setseng, e koala circa 0.3% ho 0.985, e phomotse haufi le R1. USD / CAD e rekisitsoe ka bongata bo tiileng ba bearish, e koala hoo e ka bang 0.2%, ho 1.267.
Gold
XAU / USD e rekisitsoe sebakeng se moqotetsane ka Mantaha, e oela ho S1 ho isa tlase ho 1270, pele e hlaphoheloa ho phethela letsatsi ho circa 1274. Ka 200 DMA e behiloeng ho 1266, batseteli le barekisi ba tla be ba shebile karolelano ena e mahlonoko e tsamaeang le Thahasello libekeng tse tlang, haeba kotsi ea maikutlo e lula e le 'marakeng oa lichelete tsa USA, boemo bo ka lekoa.
LITLHAKU TSE KHOLO TSA LITLHAKU TSE KHOLO TSA LA 4 DECEMBER.
• DJIA e koetse 0.24%.
• SPX e koetse 0.11%.
• NASDAQ e koetse 1.05%.
• FTSE 100 e koetse 0.53%.
• DAX e koetse 1.53%.
• CAC e koetse 1.36%.
LIKETSAHALO TSA BOHLOKOA TSA K'HALENDA EA MORUO LIHLOOHO TSA LA 5 DECEMBER.
• GBP Markit / CIPS UK Litšebeletso tsa PMI (NOV).
• GBP Markit / CIPS UK Composite PMI (NOV).
• Thekiso ea Li-Retail Sales tsa Yuro-Zone (YoY) (OCT).
• Mokhatlo oa USD ISM oo e seng oa Tlhahiso / Litšebeletso (NOV).
« Mamello le kamano ea eona le Khoebo ea Forex Khauta e oela ka 200 DMA, e babatsehang e tsitsitse leha Brexit e ne e le pherekano, ho putlama ha euro ho bapisoa le lithaka tse kholo »
