Khauta e oela ka 200 DMA, e babatsehang e tsitsitse leha Brexit e ne e le pherekano, ho putlama ha euro ho bapisoa le lithaka tse kholo
Bahlahlobisisi le litsebi tsa moruo ba ka tšoareloa ho iphapanya litekanyetso tse fapaneng tsa data tse thata mabapi le moruo oa USA likhoeling tse sa tsoa feta, joalo ka ha data e thata e sa natsoe, athe litaba tse ntle li bonahala li khothaletsa mebaraka ea lichelete tsa Amerika maemong a macha. E le mohlala; khaello ea khoebo ea naha e mpefetse ka Mphalane, ho latela lipalo-palo tsa morao-rao tse phatlalalitsoeng ka Labobeli; e tlang ka - $ 47b, ka lebaka la rekoto e tsoang kantle ho naha, ho fepa moruo o ka bang 80% o ipapisitse le tšebeliso ea bareki, ha maemo a kantle ho naha a ntse a eme. Limmaraka tsa tekano li ile tsa oa, empa mabapi le lintlha tsa lenaneo la ntlafatso ea lekhetho, ho etsa hore batseteli ba belaele se boleloang ke phaello e ntlafalitsoeng ea mmaraka, eseng ka lebaka la ho pharalla ha chelete ea khoebo.
Ka 2016, kakaretso ea khaello ea khoebo ea US e ne e le $ 502 billion, naha e kentse $ 2.712 trillion ea thepa le lits'ebeletso ha e ntse e rekisa $ 2.209 trillion. Sekhahla sa khaello ea 2017 se lebelletsoe ho feta sena, likhakanyo li beha khaello ea selemo ho $ 550b. Ho bapisa kapele le Jeremane ho etsa ho bala ho khahlisang; Kakaretso ea khoebo ea Jeremane bakeng sa 2016, e tsoa naheng e nang le approx. 25% ea baahi ba USA, e nyolohetse ho $ 270.05 billion, ho latela Federal Statistics Office.
Ka mokhoa o ts'oanang, mmuso oa USA o etsa sekoloto v GDP ea 106% mme hajoale o tobane le ho koaloa hoa mmuso hamorao bekeng ena, ho fihlela boemo ba mokoloto bo eketsoa hape, ka litsebi tse ngata tsa moruo li fana ka maikutlo a hore eng kapa eng e kaholimo ho 90% e lokela ho hlaba litloloko , e le papiso ea 'muso oa Jeremane. mokoloto v GDP hajoale ke 68%. Tšokelo ea ho koaloa ha mmuso e kanna ea (lilemong tse fetileng) e ka baka hore batseteli mekhatlong ea lichelete tsa Amerika ba tšohe, leha ho le joalo, ke ketsahalo e tloaelehileng hona joale e ts'oanang le e tšosang: tekano ea lipalo tsa tefo, tekano ea lipalo tsa khoebo, likhaello, maemo a mokoloto le Chelete e nang le balanete e ka bang $ 4.5 trillion, ha e ngolise, kapa e bonahala e etsa hore motseteli a itšepe.
USA equites e rekisitsoe ka Labobeli, ha ts'epo ea ntlafatso ea lekhetho e fela ha bahlahlobisisi ba fokotsa linomoro mme ba qala ho bala mongolo o motle o fumanehang lenaneong le felletseng. Oli ea WTI e ile ea phahama ha OPEC e ts'episitsoeng e ntse e fokotsa lintlha tse bonts'ang hore litheko tsa USA li oele. Khauta e thelletse, e roba 200 DMA, kaha e ne e theohela tlase ka 1260 ka letsatsi, ho theosa le 1.5% ka nako e le ngoe. Dolara ea Amerika e entse phaello khahlanong le lithaka tsa eona tsa mantlha nakong eohle ea khoebo.
Ho suthisa moferefere o tsoelang pele le pherekano ea Brexit, litaba tsa Europe li shebane haholo le ho khothaletsa li-PMI tse lokiselitsoeng moruo o etelletseng pele, ho kenyeletsoa; Italy, Fora, Jeremane le Eurozone e pharaletseng. PMI ea litšebeletso tsa UK, e amehang haholo moruong oa Borithane ka lebaka la ts'epo ea eona ea tšebeliso ea chelete ea bareki, e lahlehetsoe ke se boletsoeng ke Reuters ka ho fihla ka 53.8, ho bapisoa le tebello ea 55, e leng ho eketsang maikutlo a ho felloa ke tšepo ao Brexit a fanang ka hona. Ponto ea Borithane e ile ea boela ea shapuoa ka marang-rang a thata ho bapisoa le bongata ba lithaka tsa eona. GBP / USD e koala circa 0.2% ka letsatsi.
USDOLLAR
Ha re se re tlohile ho li-DMA tse 100 le 200 tse hlokolosi, ka bobeli li lutse ho circa 111.5, USD / JPY e rekisitsoe ka bongata bo matla / bo matla nakong ea liboka tsa Labobeli, ka nako e 'ngoe e oela ka circa 0.2%, ebe e nyoloha ka palo e ts'oanang, ho phethela letsatsi haufi le folete ka 112.5, u phomole haufi le PP ea letsatsi le letsatsi. USD / CHF e ile ea nyoloha ka R1, mme qetellong ea qeta hoo e ka bang 0.2% ho 0.986, ka tlase ho boemo ba pele ba ho hanyetsa letsatsi le letsatsi. USD / CAD e ne e rekisoa ka marang-rang, e oela ka S1 ebe e khutla, e nyoloha ka PP ea letsatsi le letsatsi, e phethela letsatsi le haufi le bataletseng ho 1.268.
HO SEBELISA
Ponto e shapuoa ka bongata, ha e bapisoa le lithaka tsa eona ka Labobeli, GBP / USD e lahlile 0.4% ha e ntse e putlama ka S1, hore e hlaphoheloe ho phethela letsatsi ka 0.2%. GPB / CHF e oele nakong ea khoebo ea Europe, ho ntan'o hlaphoheloa ho phethela letsatsi ho fihlela 0.1% ho 1.326. GBP / AUD e lahlehetsoe ke 1% ka nako e le ngoe, ha Aussie e arabela hantle khahlano le lithaka tsa eona tlalehong ea hawkish e tsamaeang le sekhahla sa tswala sa 1.5%, se phatlalalitsoeng ke RBA hoseng haholo.
Yuro
EUR / USD e rekisitsoe ka bongata ba li-bearish nakong ea Labobeli; ho theoha ka S2 ho ngola tlase beke le beke ea 1.180, ho qeta hoo e ka bang ka 1.182. DMA ea 100 e lutseng ho 1.799, le eona e ne e le haufi le ho rojoa ka tlase. Ha e sa tsoa roba 200 DMA ho ea tlase, EUR / GBP e hlotsoe ho etsa phaello khahlanong le e mong oa lithaka tsa eona tsa mantlha, leha ho bile le pherekano ea Brexit. Kamora ho roba R1 nakoana kamora hore mebaraka ea Europe e buloe, chelete ea sefapano e ile ea hloleha ho boloka boemo, ea khutla ho khutlisa phaello, ea koala haufi le boemo ka letsatsi ka 0.879, haufi le PP ea letsatsi le letsatsi.
Gold
XAU / USD qetellong e ile ea putlama ka 200 DMA ka Labobeli, e romella tlase ea 1260 ho tloha ho theko e qalang ea 1277, ho theoha ha circa 1.5% sethaleng se le seng nakong ea ts'ebetso ea letsatsi. Kamora ho putlama ka S3, theko e ile ea khutlisoa ho koala haufi. libeke tse tšeletseng tse tlase ho 1265, ka tlase ho 200 DMA ho 1266, ho lahleheloa ke li-circa 0.8% ka letsatsi.
LITLHAKU TSE KHOLO TSA LITLHAKU TSE KHOLO TSA LA 5 DECEMBER.
• DJIA e koetse 0.45%.
• SPX e koetse 0.37%.
• NASDAQ e koetse 0.19%.
• FTSE 100 e koetse 0.16%.
• DAX e koetse 0.08%.
• CAC e koetse 0.26%.
LIKETSAHALO TSA BOHLOKOA TSA K'HALENDA EA MORUO LIHLOOHO TSA LA 6 DECEMBER.
• Li-Orders tsa Euro tsa Jeremane nsa (YoY) (OCT).
• EUR Markit Jeremane Kaho PMI (NOV).
• Phetoho ea Khiro ea USD ADP (NOV).
• Qeto ea Sekhahla sa CAD Bank of Canada (DEC 06).
« Li-Sterling tse kholo tsa li-FX li ile tsa shapa ka matla ha lipuo tsa Brexit li fihla nakong e thata, USA tekanyetso e kholo ea tekano DJIA e natefeloa ke moralo oa lekhetho Limaraka tsa thekiso ea mantlha ea USA li thellisoa, tsoelo-pele ea lidolara tsa Amerika ha e bapisoa le lithaka tse ling, likhahla tse ntle haholo moferefereng o mong oa Brexit »
