Kushupika Kunogona Kutungamira Kukurudzirwa?
Idzo dzakagadziriswa vhiki nevhiki USA kushaya manhamba dzakaburitswa neChina. Huwandu hwevaAmerican vanonyorera zvikumbiro zvekushaya mabasa hazvina kumbobvira zvachinja kubva svondo rapfuura. Zvikumbiro zvekushaya inishuwarenzi kubhadhara zvakadzikira chiuru muvhiki rakapera Gumiguru 1,000 kusvika 8, nhamba dzeDhipatimendi reVashandi dzakaratidza nhasi. Nyanzvi mune zveupfumi dzinofungidzira 404,000 zvirevo maererano nekufungidzira kwepakati peBloomberg News kuongorora. Vagari vemuUSA vanosvika mamirioni makumi matatu nemasere uye vakura nemakumi matatu emamiriyoni pamakumi gumi apfuura Vanenge 405,000% vari pamusoro pemakore gumi nemasere ekuberekwa. Kunze kwevagari vemamiriyoni makumi maviri nematatu evakuru vanofungidzirwa kuti 'nhau dzakanaka' nhasi ndezvekuti marginal 308 chete anonyorerwa kushaikwa kwemabasa kubatsirwa mwedzi wapfuura.
Paive kuchine 404,000 mitsva mitsva yakataurwa svondo rapfuura uye nhepfenyuro huru yakakwanisa kufara nekudzikira kwe0.247% kuzivisa nhau idzi nekumwe kunatsurudzwa kwepakati pegore rekutengeserana ne0.4%, sezviratidzo zvekuti hupfumi huri kusimukira. Hupfumi hweUSA hwarasikirwa nemamirioni gumi nemazana mashanu emabasa akazvimiririra kubva muna10.5, zvinhu zvakasiyana-siyana zvakagadzira mabasa emamirioni maviri. Kufungidzira kwekusimudzira kwese, uchifunga nezvese mabhailout, kununura uye QE, inoratidza approx. $ 2008 trillion yakasikwa / yakashandiswa kubvira 2 uye vamwe vatauri vakaisa mutengo pabasa rega rega rakagadzirwa neyakaitisa padyo nemakumi masere emadhora mazana masere pabasa.
Huchenjeri hwakagamuchirwa ndewekuti USA inofanirwa kuburitsa mudunhu remabasa mazana maviri nemakumi maviri nemakumi matanhatu pamwedzi kuti irambe yakamira, nekudaro huwandu hwekushaikwa kwemabasa hwaizodonha kubva pa265,000% kusvika padyo ne9.1%. Naizvozvo kana USA isingakwanise kugadzira mamwe mabasa zvine hungwaru kuburikidza neyakavanzika bhizimusi (kugadzira kuperevedza kwemamirioni gumi akarasika kubva 5) ko sei kukurudzira kungangotungamirwa mberi nemari yakadai pabasa?
Mukaha unowedzera pakati pevapfumi uye varombo kwazvo vagari vemuUS pasina mubvunzo unogadzira hupfumi hweUS, genie parizvino rabuda muhombodo. Kuruboshwe kusingadzorwe, maitiro ekuwedzera kusaenzana anogona kuzunza kugadzikana munharaunda. Kubva 1980, approx. 5 muzana yemari yepagore yenyika yatama kubva kuboka repakati kuenda kumhuri dzakapfuma kwazvo dzenyika. Dzimba dzakapfuma kwazvo makumi mapfumbamwe nemakumi mapfumbamwe nemazana mapfumbamwe nemakumi matatu nemana muna 5,934 dzakanakidzwa nemari inosvika mabhiriyoni mazana matanhatu nemakumi mashanu emadhora, ingangoita $ 2010 miriyoni imwe neimwe, kupfuura zvavaizowana dai 'hupfumi hwehupfumi' hwakamurwa sezvazvaive muna 650, maererano neCensus Bureau data. Kufemerwa kuchabuda mukusuwa here? Chokwadi iyo USA haigone kuenderera munzira yayo yazvino. Iyo Occupy kufamba kuri kungo tanga kubaya pane iyo tsvina yezviri chaizvo zviri pasi.
Kudzika kana Kuderera?
Kudzikira pamwe ndiyo yakanyanya kunaka hupfumi hwenyika hwakasimukira hungave netarisiro yegore rinotevera, vazhinji vakatarisana nemukana wakakura wekudzikira, sekureva kweReuters ongororo yevanosvika mazana matatu evapfumi vakaratidza neChina. 350 yakave chinhu chinonyadzisa kune dzakafuma hupfumi hwepasi rose, idzo dzakaremara nekubatanidzwa kwe; kushushikana, kukwereta matambudziko uye njodzi dzinongoitika dzega.
Yakatsigirwa neChina yevatengesi vasina kusimba manhamba kubva kuChina, zvichinongedzera kushaya simba kwehupfumi hwenyika, ongororo yaGumiguru yegore rose inoratidza kuwanda kwekukura kusimba muhupfumi hwakawanda hweG7 hunogona kuwedzera mukati megore rinouya nekupfuura. Hupfumi hwepasi rose hunofungidzirwa kukura 3.8 muzana muna 2011, uye ingori 3.6 muzana gore rinouya kusiyana ne4.1 muzana uye 4.3 muzana fungidziro kubva kuongororo yekota yekupedzisira muna Chikunguru.
Europe
Zvishoma nezvishoma, inodonhedza ne (yakanyatsogadzirwa uye yakarukwa zvakanyanya) inodonha, iyo nhau dzakaipa dziri kubuda kunze maererano nekunyora kukuru pasi mabhanga eEuropean anofanira kutambura kuitira kutevedzera hwaro huri kutaurwa sehurongwa hukuru. Sekureva kwenhau dzeBloomberg mabhanga eGerman anofanirwa kuzvigadzirira kurasikirwa kweanosvika makumi matanhatu muzana pazvikwereti zvavo zvehurumende yeGreek. Mabhanga emunyika akaita musangano wekudaidzira svondo rino, vatori vechikamu vakakurukura mikana yekurasikirwa pazvibvumirano zveGreek zviri pakati pe60 muzana uye 50 muzana.
Iine "hongu" vhoti izvozvi muhomwe kubva kuSlovakia Van Rompuy Uye Barroso vazivisa kuti iyo € 440 bhiriyoni EFSF iri kushanda zvizere, matanho api avanofanira kutora kuitira kuti vawedzere mari iyi kune inofungidzirwa € 2-3 trillion iyo Eurozone ingangodaro inoda ichave inonakidza kupupurira kusununguka. Ie € 440 bhiriyoni yaizokwana kuvhara zvisizvo zveGreek zvisirizvo.
Fitch Kuwana Fidgety
Fitch ratings yakatora scythe kune mamwe mabhangi 'chikwereti ratings mukupera kweChina manheru, ichiisa akati wandei parufu wachi apo ichipa vamwe vashoma kuhofisi yavo sweepstake vakafa-puru. Fitch Ratings yakadzikisira UBS nemusi weChina ndokuisa mamwe mabhanga manomwe eUS neEurope pachikwereti kuona zvisina kunaka, vachidoma matambudziko muhupfumi nemisika yemari, pamwe nekukanganisa kwemitemo mitsva. Iyo ratings agency yakadzora UBS's-refu-nguva yekupa default default kuA kubva kuA +.
Fitch iri kuongorora zvakare ratings yeBarclays Bank Plc, BNP Paribas, Credit Suisse Group AG, Deutsche Bank AG, Societe Generale, Bank of America Corp, Morgan Stanley naGoldman Sachs Group kuitira zvimwe zvingangoderedzwa. Kucheka kwacho kunogona mune dzakawanda zviitiko kuve notch imwe, kune mamwe maviri notches. Pakutanga neChina, Fitch yakadzikisawo zviyero zvayo paRoyal Bank yeScotland neLloyds Banking Group PLC.
misika
Masheya akadonha, achimisa iyo hombe yeStandard & Poor's 500 Index rally pamusoro pemazuva manomwe kubva 2009, zvichitevera kuderera kweJPMorgan Chase & Co purofiti pakati pekunetseka kuti equities dzakakwira zvakanyanya kutarisiro nezvematambudziko echikwereti muEurope. Zvinhu zvakatsvedza uye Pfuma yakaungana. Iyo S & P 500 yakatsvedza 0.3 muzana na4 pm nguva yeNew York, ichienzanisa kudzoka kwayo kubva ku1.4 muzana. JPMorgan yakashuma zvikamu makumi matatu nezvishanu kubva muzana, kusabvisa $ 33 bhiriyoni yekubatsira, sezvo kubhengi kwekudyara nemari yekutengesa zvakaderera. Misika yeEurope yakawa zvakanyanya nekuda kwekunetseka pamusoro pemabhangi emari uye solvency. Iyo STOXX yakavhara 1.9%, iyo FTSE pasi 1.67%, iyo CAC 0.71% uye iyo DAX yakavhara 1.33%. iyo bhureki yeItaly, MIB yakavhara 1.33%, nyaya dze Unicredit uye vhoti inogona kuvhota yekusavimba nehurumende yaBerlusconi inorema kwazvo pane indekisi yakatotetepa neka circa 3.71% gore pagore.
Kuburitswa kwehupfumi kunogona kukanganisa mafungiro mangwanani eLondon neEuropean chikamu chinosanganisira zvinotevera;
10:00 Eurozone - CPI Gunyana
10:00 Eurozone - Trade Balance Nyamavhuvhu
Ongororo yeBloomberg yevaongorori inoratidza fungidziro yepakati pe3.0% gore pagore yemutengo wevatengi isina kuchinjika kubva kune yapfuura nhamba. Iyo 'core' nhamba yakafungidzirwa yaive 1.5% kubva ku1.2% yaive nhamba yakaburitswa pamberi peizvi. Mwedzi pamwedzi kutarisira kwaive 0.8% kubva pa0.2% kare.
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