Kana Muti Ukadonha Musango uye Pasina Munhu Aripadyo Kuti Uzvinzwe, Unoita Ruzha Here?

Gumiguru 14 • Mashoko eMusika • 12269 Views • 1 Comment pane Kana Muti Ukadonha Musango uye Pasina Munhu Aripadyo Kuti Uzvinzwe, Unoita Ruzha Here?

"Kana muti ukawira musango uye pasina ari pedyo kuti uunzwe, unonzwika here?" ingano yekufungidzira yekufungidzira inomutsa mibvunzo maererano nekutarisa uye ruzivo rwechokwadi. Pane chimwe chinhu chingave chiripo pasina kuonekwa here? Inzwi rinongova ruzha here kana munhu akarinzwa? Musoro wenyaya wefilosofi unonyanya kutaurwa nechirahwe unosanganisira kuvapo kwemuti (uye nezwi raunoburitsa) kunze kwekuona kwevanhu. Kana pasina munhu aripo; ona, kunzwa, kubata kana kunhuwidza muti, zvinganzi zviripo sei? Chii chiri kutaura kuti chiripo kana hupenyu hwakadai husingazivikanwe?

Kuedza kunowanzokurukurwa nenzira iyi; Kana muti ukawira pachitsuwa pasina vanhu, paizonzwika inzwi here? Mhinduro haina kupihwa kuti ruzha iko kunzwa kunonakidza munzeve kana mhepo, kana imwe svikiro yaiswa. Izvi zvinounza mubvunzo kwete kubva pamaonero ehuzivi, asi kubva kune yesainzi chete. Ruzha kubvunda, kunopfuudzwa kumanzwiro edu kuburikidza nemagadzirirwo enzeve, uye kunozivikanwa senzwi chete panzvimbo dzedu dzetsinga. Kudonha kwemuti kana kumwe kuvhiringika kunoburitsa kuzunguzika kwemhepo. Kana pasina nzeve dzokunzwa, hapazovi nenzwi. Mukati mesango rakazara vanhu ruzivo rwemusika ratinogara tichibhowa zuva nezuva panogona kunge paine ruzha rwemiti inodonha yatisiri kunzwa? Iwo mareferenzi ekuparara kwemusika we2008-2009 anga apfuura pamusoro pemwedzi mishoma yapfuura; ivo PIIGS, iyo Eurozone chikwereti dambudziko uye mukana wayo wekupararira, kudzikisirwa kweUSA chikwereti chehuwandu, kuramba uchikundikana kwebhangi muUSA, (gumi neshanu kubva Nyamavhuvhu 2011), mutengesi ane mukurumbira weSoc Gen, chikwereti chemabhangi eFrance chinodzikisira, kushaikwa kwemabasa kuchiramba kwakaomesa musoro. , MPC yekuUK BoE iri kuita imwe nhanho yeQE..Rondedzero yacho haina magumo maererano neazvino hupfumi uye kunyangwe hazvo paine kusagadzikana kwemisika, kunyanya misika yemakambani, yakatsausa nyaya uye ikaramba iri pamatanho ayo ( ichiri kukundwa) hapana kana padhuze nepasi pemusi waKurume 9th 2009 apo iyo Dow Jones maindasitiri avhareji (INDU) yakavharwa pa6547.05, nzvimbo yayo yepasi kubva muna Kubvumbi 25, 1997. Iyo yekirasi chinzvimbo chekutengesa V yakaumbwa mutengo chiito 'kudzoreredza' ipapo chaishamisa. Tichishandisa girazi redu rekare rekuona girazi zvaive pachena kuti kutya kwakange kwanyanya uye misika zhinji yepasi rose yakatengeswa zvakanyanya, rally yakatevera yaishamisa zvakaenzana. Pasina kupokana zirp, bailouts, yakabatsira kubhuroka muUSA, (inonzi pre-packaged rescue in the UK) uye kutenderera kweQE "kununura system" yakabatsira kupora kweDow Jones kusvika pamusoro pe11,000 kutanga kwa2010. Tsaona yepasi rose ye2008-2009 yakamisikidzwa neLehman Bros. kudonha, revisionist uye selective memory inoratidza kuti Lehman ndiye aive honzeri. Nekudaro, izvo zvinofuratira kuvhunduka kwakatambura musika gore rakapfuura neBear Stearns. Ndakaona chiitiko chinoshamisa apo Bear Stearns yakatanga kuderera. Ndakanga ndiri pazororo nemhuri yangu muKefalonia Greece panguva yekurova kwemoyo, sekunge vamwari vekare vechiGreek vaive 'varova' sisitimu, iyo ATM system pachitsuwa ichidzika. Chikonzero chakapiwa manheru chaiva chokuti pedyo nechitsuwa chacho, kana kuti panyika huru, pakanga paita kudengenyeka kwenyika kuduku. Gare gare manheru iwayo, ndichiverenga nezve Bear Stearns mamiriro pane imwe Internet cafe ndakashamisika, mune imwe coincidental twist, dai taizosvika pa'inflection point' yemhando. 'Isu' takanga tapererwa nemari here?

Musi waChikumi 22, 2007, Bear Stearns akavimbisa chikwereti chakanyorerwa chinosvika madhora 3.2 bhiriyoni kuti "abhadhare" imwe yemari yayo, Bear Stearns High-Grade Structured Credit Fund, apo ichitaurirana nemamwe mabhanga kukweretesa mari muchibvumirano cheimwe homwe. , Bear Inobata Yakakwira-Giredhi Yakarongedzwa Kiredhiti Yakagadziriswa Leveraged Fund. Chiitiko ichi chakamutsa kunetseka kwekutapurirana sezvo Bear Stearns inogona kumanikidzwa kumisa maCDO ayo, zvichikonzera kumiswa-pasi kwezvinhu zvakafanana mune mamwe mapotifoliyo. Pakati pevhiki yaChikunguru 16, 2007, Bear Stearns akaburitsa pachena kuti iwo maviri eprime hedge mari akarasikirwa nechero kukosha kwavo pakati pekudonha nekukurumidza mumusika weiyo subprime mogeji. Panguva iyo Bear Stearns yaive bhanga rekudyara pasi rose uye zvibatiso zvekutengesa nebrokerage, kusvika kutengeswa kwayo kuJPMorgan Chase muna 2008 panguva yedambudziko remari pasi rose uye kudzikira. Bear Stearns yaibatanidzwa mukuchengetedza uye yakabudisa zvivimbiso zvakawanda zveasset-backed, izvo munyaya yezvikwereti zvakapayona naLewis Ranieri, "baba vezvikwereti zvembavha". Sezvo kurasikirwa kwevatengesi kwakaiswa mumisika iyi muna 2006 uye 2007, kambani yakawedzera kuratidzwa kwayo, kunyanya pfuma-yakatsigirwa pfuma yakanga iri pakati pe subprime mortgage crisis. Muna Kurume 2008, Federal Reserve Bank yeNew York yakapa chikwereti chechimbichimbi kuyedza kudzivirira kudonha kwekambani kamwe kamwe. Iyo kambani haina kukwanisa kuponeswa uye yakatengeswa kuna JP Morgan Chase ne $ 10 per share, mutengo uri pasi pedambudziko rayo risati rasvika 52-vhiki yakakwirira ye $ 133.20 per share, asi kwete yakaderera se $ 2 per share yakatanga kubvumirana neBear Stearns. uye JP Morgan Chase. Kupunzika kwekambani iyi yaive nhanganyaya yekuparara kwekutonga kwenjodzi kweWall Street Investment bank indasitiri munaGunyana 2008, uye dambudziko rezvemari repasi rose uye kudzikira. Muna Ndira 2010, JPMorgan akarega kushandisa zita reBear Stearns. Bear Stearns yaive yechinomwe pakukura kwesecurity femu maererano nemari yakazara. Kubva muna Mbudzi 30, 2007, Bear Stearns yakanga iine chibvumirano chechibvumirano chemari inosvika madhora gumi nematanhatu. Pamusoro pezvo, Bear Stearns yanga yakatakura mari inodarika mabhiriyoni makumi maviri nemasere emadhora mu 'level 28' midziyo pamabhuku ayo pakupera kwemari ya3 maringe net net equity chinzvimbo chemadhora zviuru gumi nerimwe chete. Iyi $11.1 bhiriyoni yakatsigira $395 bhiriyoni mumidziyo, zvichireva chiyero chechikamu che35.5 kusvika 1. Iri pepa rakakwidziridzwa zvakanyanya, raisanganisira zvinhu zvakawanda zvisiri pamutemo uye zvingangove zvisina kukosha, zvakakonzera kudzikira nekukurumidza kwemutyairi uye chivimbo chemukweretesi, izvo zvakazopera apo vakamanikidzwa kufonera New York Federal Reserve kuti vadzivise kuparara kwaiuya kwebato. njodzi iyo yaizotevera kubva mukumanikidzwa kuvharwa. Icho chokwadi chekuti Bear Stearns yakanga yakonzera kurwiswa kwemoyo kukuru kune sisitimu muna 2007, izvo zvaifanira kunge zvakakonzera mibvunzo kubvunzwa maererano nekugadzirisa uye nzira dzekudyara dzemabhangi ese, asi iyo mibvunzo nezve iyo yakazara solvency uye anoshanda mechanics epasi rose. hurongwa hwemari hauna kunyatso ratidza kusvika 2008, inofanira kunge iri yambiro chiratidzo uye chiratidzo chezvingave zviri kutamba zvino pasi pepamusoro. Iyi ichangoburwa misika yemoyo yakatambura muna Nyamavhuvhu-Gunyana inogona kuratidza kuve kutanga kwematambudziko akanyanya kupfuura iyo subprime dambudziko rakatambura muna 2008-2009. Zvakadaro izvi zvinogona kunge zviri kutanga kwekuburitswa kwezviitiko zvinogona kutora nguva kuti kubuda ropa kuzere kuburikidza nehurongwa. Asi maererano nekuenzanisa kwakananga isu tiri paBear Stearns nhanho ikozvino uye kwete Lehman bros. Saka 'Bear Stearns' yedu iripi? Zvakanaka hazvisi izvo zviri nyore uye sezvakaratidzwa kuti vaingove canary mumugodhi wemarasha iyo yakavharwa isati yarira rwiyo rwechirpy rwakanyanya. Zvisinei, kana tikaona hurongwa hwedu hwebhangi sechiropa chekushanda kwemari yepasi rose; inhengo ine mabasa mazhinji akakosha uye akaomarara: kugadzira, metabolise, kuumba uye kuburitsa bile, kuburitsa zvigadzirwa zvinogona kukuvadza uye kazhinji kuchenesa sisitimu, ipapo kune akawanda echenjedzo masaini anobva kubhanga system inoratidza miti mishoma sango rava kuda kudonha. Tichisiya padivi mibvunzo yekugadziriswa kwemabhanga eFrance yatichangobva kuona Dexia iyo, senge circus freak show chiitiko munguva yakapfuura yeVictorian, yakakurumidza kurongedzerwa, kuvharwa uye kuenda kudhorobha rinotevera pamberi pevana ve. mufundisi vanotya zvakanyanya. Asi kufungidzira kuti Dexia inyaya yakasarudzika iri kutambanudza kuvimbika kwebhangi system uye kuvimbika kweiyo miviri yakaiwana yakamira kune ichangoburwa yekushushikana bvunzo, kune tensile miganhu. Tisingamirire Dexia misika yekutya ichangobva kuona kurambidzwa kwekutengesa kupfupi pamasheya emari, imwe 'kudzokera kune ramangwana' mafuta akatadza kushanda muna 2008-2009. Nhasi tinodzidza UniCredit, bhanga reItaly, rakamisa zvikamu zvaro mushure mekudonha kwe7.5%. Hakusi kudonha kuri kunetseka kumisika, kana kutapukira kana domino mhedzisiro, sekusiyana neBear Stearns iyi haisiriyo hurongwa hwebhangi huri mubvunzo, iyi idambudziko rakazvimirira rechikwereti riri kuunza mubvunzo kugadzikana kwenyika, kwete. mabhanga ega uye ndizvo zvaive mamiriro aya akasiyana zvakanyanya ne2008-2009. Nekudaro, kana Bear Stearns yaive chiratidzo chaLehman, Greece ingave iyo inozivisa kune makuru kusarudzika?

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