Msonkhano woyamba wokonzekera kuchuluka kwa FOMC wa 2018 ukhoza kukupatsirani chidziwitso, chokhudza kuwongolera kwa Fed kwa chaka
Lachitatu 31 Januware nthawi ya 19:00 GMT (UK nthawi), FOMC iulula chisankho chawo chokhudza chiwongola dzanja cha USA, atakhala ndi msonkhano wamasiku awiri. Federal Open Market Committee ndi komiti, mkati mwa Federal Reserve System, yomwe ili ndiudindo malinga ndi malamulo aku United States oyang'anira ntchito zogulitsa zotseguka mdziko muno, monga; Kukhazikitsa mitengo, kugula katundu, kugulitsa ndalama ndi zina zomwe zitha kuonedwa ngati mfundo zandalama. FOMC ili ndi mamembala 12; Mamembala 7 a Board of Governors komanso mapurezidenti asanu mwa khumi ndi awiri a Reserve Bank. FOMC imakonza misonkhano isanu ndi itatu pachaka, imachitika pafupifupi milungu isanu ndi umodzi.
Mgwirizano wapagulu, kuchokera pamalingaliro omwe asonkhanitsidwa kudzera pagulu la akatswiri azachuma omwe adafunsidwa ndi bungwe lofalitsa nkhani la Reuters, sichingasinthe chiwongola dzanja chachikulu (chomwe chimatchedwa kuti chomangidwa) chomwe pakadali pano chili pa 1.5%, atalengeza zakukwera kwa 0.25% Disembala. FOMC idasungabe kudzipereka kwawo koyambirira kwa 2017 kukweza mitengo katatu mu 2017. M'misonkhano yake yomaliza ya 2018 FOMC idadziperekanso ku chiwongola dzanja chambiri mu 2018, pomwe ikuyambanso kuyitanitsa QT (kuchuluka kwamphamvu); kuchepetsa ndalama za Fed za $ 4.2 trilioni, zomwe zakula pafupifupi $ 3 trilioni kuyambira pomwe banki idakumana ndi 2008.
Ngakhale anali odzipereka kukweza mitengo mu 2018, a FOMC sanamvetse mwadala za nthawiyo ndipo anali osamala kuti asakakamize komitiyo kuti ikhale ndi mfundo za hawkish. M'malo mwake, adayamba kutsatira ndale; akuumirira kuti kukwera mtsogolo kulikonse kuyang'aniridwa mosamala pazomwe zingakhudze chuma cha USA. Kuwonetsa kuti ngati zovuta zilizonse zitha kuchitika, mwina kukula pang'onopang'ono, ndiye kuti lamuloli lingasinthidwe. Ndi kufufuma pafupi ndi chiwopsezo cha FOMC / Fed cha 2.1% ndi zizindikilo zochepa zakukwera kwamphamvu kwachuma zomwe zikumanga pachuma, lingaliro lililonse lachiwonekere silingakhudzidwe kuti athe kuwongolera kukwera kwamitengo.
Ngati FOMC yalengeza zakusunga chiwongola dzanja, chidwi chidzasinthana mawu osiyanasiyana omwe akutsatira kulengeza ndi msonkhano womwe wapangidwa ndi wapampando wa a Fed Akazi a Janet Yellen, omwe azitsogolera msonkhano wawo womaliza ndikupanga msonkhano wawo womaliza atolankhani. , ngati mpando wa Fed asanasinthidwe ndi wapampando watsopano wa Fed, a Jerome Powell, Purezidenti Trump. M'mawu aliwonse olembedwa komanso pamsonkhano wa atolankhani, ofufuza ndi omwe adzagwiritse ntchito ndalama adzawerenga mosamala ndikumvetsera mwachidwi zidziwitso zilizonse zokhudzana ndi kuchuluka pakati pa nkhunda ndi akaba ku FOMC; Ma hawk angakhale akukweza kukweza kwamitengo mwamphamvu komanso kuchepetsa mwachangu pepala lazachuma la Fed. Kusanthula kwatsatanetsatane kwa msonkhano wa FOMC kudzachitika maminiti atatulutsidwa, mkati mwa milungu ingapo msonkhano uchitikapo.
Kaya chigamulochi chikhale chiyani komanso nkhani yomwe ikutsatiridwa, ziwongola dzanja zomwe zidasankhidwa zimasunthira misika yakomweko komwe chisankhocho chapangidwa. Misika yama equity imatha kukwera ndikugwa, monganso misika yamalonda nthawi yomweyo, nthawi ndi chisankho chitha kutulutsidwa. Madola aku US akhala akukangana kwambiri mu 2017, chifukwa chakugwa kwake motsutsana ndi anzawo akulu, ngakhale FOMC idakwera pamlingo katatu mu 2017, kuwirikiza kawiri kuchoka pa 0.75% - 1.5%. Amalonda akuyenera kuwonetsa chochitika chambiri chokhudza kalendala yazachuma ndikusintha malo awo ndikuwopseza moyenera.
ZOFUNIKIRA ZOFUNIKA ZAZOCHITIKA KWA UCHUMIKI WA USA
• GDP 2.5%.
• GDP QoQ 2.6%.
Chiwongola dzanja cha 1.5%.
• Mtengo wama inflation wa 2.1%.
• Mulingo wopanda ntchito 4.1%.
• Ngongole v GDP 106.1%.
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