Kodi Kukhumudwa Kungayambitse Kuuziridwa?
Manambala osowa a ntchito ku America omwe adasinthidwa sabata iliyonse adasindikizidwa Lachinayi. Chiwerengero cha anthu aku America ofunsira anthu omwe alibe ntchito sichinasinthidwe sabata yatha. Kufunsira ndalama za inshuwaransi yakusowa ntchito kwatsika 1,000 sabata lomaliza pa Okutobala 8 mpaka 404,000, ziwerengero za department of Labor zawonetsa lero. Akatswiri azachuma akuneneratu zonena za 405,000 malinga ndi kuyerekezera kwapakati pakufufuza kwa Bloomberg News. Chiwerengero cha anthu aku USA ndi pafupifupi 308 miliyoni ndipo chakula ndi circa 30 miliyoni pazaka 75 zapitazi. Pafupifupi 18% azaka zopitilira 231. Mwa anthu achikulire okwana 1000 miliyoni omwe akuti 'ndi uthenga wabwino' masiku ano ndikuti ochepa okha omwe amafunsira ulova amapindula mwezi watha.
Panali zodandaula 404,000 zatsopano zomwe zidanenedwa sabata yatha komabe atolankhani ambiri adakwanitsa kusangalala ndi kutsika kwa 0.247% kulengeza nkhaniyi komanso kusintha kwakanthawi kochepa pamsika wamalonda ndi 0.4%, monga chisonyezo chakuti chuma chikuyenda bwino. Chuma cha USA chataya pafupifupi 10.5 miliyoni pantchito zaboma kuyambira 2008, zoyambitsa zosiyanasiyana zidapanga ntchito 2 miliyoni. Ziwerengero zakulimbikitsidwa kwathunthu, poganizira zopulumutsa zonse, kupulumutsa ndi QE, zikuwonetsa pafupifupi. $ 3.27 trilioni idapangidwa / kugwiritsidwa ntchito kuyambira 2008 ndipo ena ofotokoza adayika mtengo pantchito iliyonse yopangidwa ndi zoyambitsa pafupifupi $ 280,000 pa ntchito.
Nzeru zolandilidwa ndikuti USA iyenera kupanga m'chigawo cha ntchito 265,000 pamwezi kuti ziyime, chifukwa chake kusowa kwa ntchito kumatsika kuchokera ku 9.1% kufika pafupi ndi 5%. Chifukwa chake ngati USA singapangire ntchito zina mwanjira zabizinesi zapadera (kuthana ndi kuchepa kwa mamiliyoni khumi omwe adatayika kuyambira 2008) kodi chilimbikitso chilichonse chingapitirirebe chonchi pantchito yotere?
Kusiyana komwe kukukulirakulira pakati pa nzika zaku United States zolemera kwambiri komanso zosauka kwambiri mosakayikira kumakhazikitsanso chuma cha US, genie tsopano watuluka mu botolo. Akasiyidwa, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti pakhale kusiyana pakati pawo zitha kusokoneza bata. Kuyambira 1980, pafupifupi. 5% ya ndalama zapachaka zapadziko lonse yasunthira kuchoka pagulu lapakati kupita kumayiko olemera kwambiri mdzikolo. Mabanja 5,934 olemera kwambiri mchaka cha 2010 adapeza $ 650 biliyoni, pafupifupi $ 109 miliyoni banja lililonse, kuposa zomwe akanakhala nazo ngati 'chuma chachuma' chidagawika momwe zidaliri mu 1980, malinga ndi kafukufuku wa Census Bureau. Kodi kudzoza kutuluka posimidwa? Zachidziwikire kuti USA siyingapitilize pamaulendo ake apano. Gulu la Occupy likungoyamba kumene kubisala dothi la zomwe zili pansi pake.
Kukhazikika kapena Kukhazikika?
Kukhazikika mwina ndi chuma champhamvu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi chomwe chingayembekezere chaka chamawa, pomwe angapo akukumana ndi mwayi waukulu wachuma, malinga ndi kafukufuku wa Reuters wa azachuma pafupifupi 350 awonetsa Lachinayi. Chaka cha 2011 chakhala chokhumudwitsa pachuma chamayiko otukuka, chomwe chakhala chikulemala chifukwa chophatikiza; kutha kwa mavuto, ngongole ndi zovuta zachilengedwe.
Mothandizidwa ndi mayiko ofooka a Lachinayi ochokera ku China, ndikuwonetsa kufooka kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi, kafukufuku yemwe adachitika pakatikati pa Okutobala akuwonetsa kukula kwakuchepa m'maiko ambiri a G7 omwe atha kupitilira chaka chamawa ndikupitilira. Chuma padziko lonse lapansi akuti chikukula 3.8% mu 2011, ndipo 3.6% chaka chamawa mosiyana ndi 4.1% ndi 4.3% yolosera zakufufuza kwa kotala kotsiriza mu Julayi.
Europe
Pang'ono ndi pang'ono, kutayikira (kosanjidwa mosokosera komanso kuponyedwa kwambiri), nkhani zoyipazo zikungoyenda pokhudzana ndi kuchuluka kwakukulu komwe mabanki aku Europe akuyenera kuvutika kuti athe kutsatira zomwe akuti ndi dongosolo lalikulu. Malinga ndi nkhani ya Bloomberg mabanki aku Germany akuyenera kudzikonzekeretsa ndi 60% yotayika pamaboma awo aku Greece. Mabanki am'dzikolo adachita msonkhano sabata ino, omwe akutenga nawo mbali adakambirana za kutayika pazomangira zachi Greek zopezeka pakati pa 50% ndi 60%.
Pomwe voti "inde" tsopano ili mchikwama chochokera ku Slovakia Van Rompuy Ndipo Barroso alengeza kuti € 440 biliyoni EFSF ikugwira ntchito bwino, ndi njira ziti zomwe akuyenera kuchita kuti athe kupeza ndalamazo ku € 2-3 trilioni Eurozone yomwe ikufunika mwina idzakhala yosangalatsa kuchitira umboni ikumasulika. Ma € 440 biliyoni akwanira kuphimba zolakwika zonse ku Greece limodzi.
Fitch Kukhala Wodzidalira
Malingaliro a Fitch adatenga scythe kumabanki ena kubweza ngongole Lachinayi madzulo, ndikuyika angapo pawotchi yakufa kwinaku akuweruza ena ochepa kuofesi yawo yopserera. Fitch Ratings idatsitsa UBS Lachinayi ndikuyika mabanki ena asanu ndi awiri aku US komanso aku Europe pamawongolero, kutchula zovuta m'misika yazachuma komanso misika yazachuma, komanso kukhudzidwa kwa malamulo atsopano. Bungwe lowerengera linachepetsa kuchuluka kwaopereka kwa UBS kwakanthawi kuchokera ku A +.
Fitch ikuwunikiranso mavoti a Barclays Bank Plc, BNP Paribas, Credit Suisse Group AG, Deutsche Bank AG, Societe Generale, Bank of America Corp, Morgan Stanley ndi Goldman Sachs Group kuti athe kutsitsa. Kudula nthawi zambiri kumangokhala notch imodzi, pazinthu zingapo. M'mbuyomu Lachinayi, Fitch adatsitsanso ziwerengero zake ku Royal Bank of Scotland ndi Lloyds Banking Group PLC.
misika
Masheya adagwa, kuyimitsa msonkhano waukulu kwambiri wa Standard & Poor's 500 Index masiku asanu ndi awiri kuyambira 2009, kutsatira kuchepa kwa phindu la JPMorgan Chase & Co. mkati mwa nkhawa kuti mabungwe akuyembekeza kwambiri zakubweza ngongole ku Europe. Katundu wotsika ndipo Chuma chidalimbikitsidwa. S & P 500 idatsika ndi 0.3% nthawi ya 4 koloko masana ku New York, ndikuwonetsa kubwerera kwawo kuchokera ku 1.4 peresenti. JPMorgan adatinso phindu lochepa la 33%, kupatula phindu lowerengera $ 1.9 biliyoni, chifukwa kubanki yosungitsa ndalama komanso malonda amachepa. Misika yaku Europe idagwa kwambiri chifukwa chodandaula zakusungidwa kwama banki komanso solvency. STOXX idatseka 1.67%, FTSE pansi 0.71%, CAC 1.33% ndipo DAX idatseka 1.33%. nkhani yaku Italiya, MIB idatseka 3.71%, zovuta za Unicredit komanso voti yomwe ingakhalepo yosadalira boma la Berlusconi lolemera kwambiri pamndandanda womwe udagwa kale pafupifupi 24.8% pachaka.
Kutulutsa kwachuma komwe kungakhudze malingaliro m'mawa waku London ndi Europe ndi awa:
10: 00 Eurozone - CPI September
10: 00 Eurozone - Trade Balance Ogasiti
Kafukufuku wa Bloomberg ofufuza akuwonetsa kulosera kwapakatikati kwa chaka cha 3.0% pachaka pamndandanda wamitengo ya ogula osasinthidwa kuchokera pazomwe zidachitika kale. Chiwerengero cha 'core' chomwe chidanenedweratu chinali 1.5% kuchokera ku 1.2% yomwe inali nambala yomwe idatulutsidwa izi zisanachitike. Mwezi pamwezi chiyembekezo chinali 0.8% kuchokera ku 0.2% m'mbuyomu.
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