Otsatsa ndalama adzawunika momwe akuimira Eurozone, Swiss CPI ndi mafakitala aku Germany, pazifukwa zoperekera misika yuro ndi Europe.
Sabata yatha idatha ndikufalitsa manambala okhumudwitsa a NFP ochokera ku USA; kubwera mu 148k, motsutsana ndi ziyembekezo za circa 190k. Chiwerengero chodziwikiratu chomwe chikusonyeza kuti ogulitsa, akugwira ntchito yolimbitsa nthawi zonse, adachotsa ogwira ntchito koyambirira kuposa momwe amayembekezeredwa nthawi ya Xmas. Kuchuluka kwa kusowa kwa ntchito sikunasinthe pa 4.1%, pomwe kuchuluka kwa ntchito, yomwe akatswiri ena amati ndizofunikira komanso zowona za kusowa kwa ntchito ku USA, zidafika pa 8.1%.
Metric ina yomwe idakwera, yomwe ikuwoneka kuti ikanenedwanso ngati yopanda ntchito ngakhale kuti imadziwika kuti "deta yovuta", inali kuchepa kwa kuchepa kwamalonda; kubwera pa - $ 50.5 pamwezi wa Novembala, ndikuwonetsa kuchepa kwa circa - $ 600b pachaka. Panali chidziwitso chotsimikizika chokhudza USA yomwe idatulutsidwa Lachisanu, ngati katundu wolimba komanso mafakitole aku Novembala, komabe, kupanga kwa ISM kolemekezedwa ndikupanga ntchito zowerengera zowerengera zomwe zidasowa ndikuchokera 57.4 mpaka 55.6. Ziwerengero zaposachedwa za ngongole za ogula za Novembala zimatulutsidwa Lolemba, kale pa $ 20.5b ya Okutobala, kuneneratu ndikutsika kwa $ 17.8b zomwe zitha kuwonetsa kuti ogula ku USA akuvutika kufunafuna, kusowa, kapena sangapeze ngongole ina .
Ngakhale kuchuluka kwa ntchito kuchepa komanso kuchepa kwamalonda komwe kukuwonjezeka, misika yayikulu mdziko la USA idapitiliza tsiku lawo lachitatu lopeza. Zikuwoneka kuti zochepa zomwe zingayambitse chiwopsezo chamakono pamalingaliro, mwina kungogulitsa kunja kapena phindu lochulukirapo, chomwe chidzagulitsa misika yamalonda kuchokera komwe akuwongolera komanso kuwongolera. Mosiyana ndi anzawo akulu; yen, euro ndi chabwino, manambala a NFP sanakhudze kwenikweni ndalama zaku US. Ndalama ya dollar idatsika ndi circa 0.1% Lachisanu, ndikupeza kutayika kwachinayi sabata iliyonse motsatizana.
Ndalama yaku Canada idapeza phindu lalikulu kumapeto kwa sabata kutengera kuchuluka kwa ntchito zolimbikitsa, ulova udafika pa 5.7% mu Disembala kuyambira 5.9%, ndi ntchito 78.6k zowonjezeredwa, motsutsana ndi kulosera kwa 2k. USD / CAD idagwera pa S3, kuti amalize tsikulo pafupifupi 0.8% kumapeto. Golidi idagwa mozungulira mpaka cha m'ma 1318, koma idatha kumapeto kwa sabata.
Nkhani zolimbikitsa zidapitilira kuchokera ku Eurozone; Zogulitsa zaku Germany zidabwereranso mu Disembala, ndikukwera ndi 4.4% mu Novembala ndipo izi zisanachitike kuwonjezeka kwa nyengo kupatula kukhudza ziwerengero za Disembala. PMI yomanga ku Germany ndi ma PMI ogulitsa ku: France, Italy ndi Germany nawonso adalemba mbiri yolimbikitsa yachuma pacigawo chimodzi chogulitsa mabungwe. Zotsatira zabwino kwambiri zaku Germany zitha kulimbikitsidwa ndi maofesi omwe akukwera mpaka 7.8% YoY mpaka Disembala. Zotsatira zaposachedwa (Disembala) zaogulitsa ku Eurozone zafalitsidwa Lolemba, zomwe zikuyembekezeka kukwera mpaka 1.3% mu Novembala, kuyambira kugwa kwa 1.1%, zomwe zikuyenera kukulitsa kuchuluka kwa kukula kwa YoY kukhala 2.4%.
Pakadali pano mu 2018, misika yamalonda yaku Europe yasangalala ndi chiyembekezo chambiri padziko lonse lapansi, chomwe chalimbikitsa misika yambiri kujambula kapena kukwera kwaposachedwa; DAX, CAC ndi FTSE zidakwera kwambiri sabata yatha. Ngakhale panali tsiku lachete Lolemba Januware 8 pazambiri zofunikira pazachuma, kutulutsidwa kwa magulu azikhulupiliro a Eurozone kumatha kuwonetsa momwe malingaliro aliri olimba m'magulu monga: ogula, bizinesi, mafakitale ndi ntchito.
Kupatula kukwera motsutsana ndi dola yaku US, Swiss franc idakumana ndi sabata yomwe ikugwa mpaka Lachisanu, malingaliro akuti kugwa ndikuphatikizira kukana malo otetezedwa, mosiyana ndi nkhani zilizonse zoyipa zachuma mdziko muno. Pomwe kukwera kwamitengo kwa CPI ku Switzerland kukuyembekezeka kukhalabe pa 0.8% ndikubwera -0.1% mu Disembala, franc ikhoza kuwonekera kwambiri Lolemba m'mawa ku Europe.
Nkhani zambiri ku Europe Lachisanu zimakhudza kugwa kwamagalimoto aku UK, omwe atolankhani azachuma ku Britain nthawi zonse amawoneka osangalala kwambiri. Kulembetsa kwatsopano kogulitsa magalimoto kwatsika ndi 14.4% YoY mpaka Disembala, koma chiwonetserochi chikuyimilirabe chimodzi mwazomwe zinawerengedwa kwambiri mzaka khumi zapitazi. Zifukwa / zifukwa zingapo zakugwa kwa malonda zinali za Brexit ndi zonyansa zotulutsa dizilo zamagalimoto. Ochitira ndemanga pamsika ochepa adalongosola chifukwa china, mwina chowonekeratu; ogula ambiri aposachedwa akumanidwa ndi ndalama zawo zaka zitatu kapena zinayi ndipo ziyembekezo zatsopano sizingatheke, kapena sakufuna kutenga ngongole zambiri.
ZOCHITIKA ZOKHUDZA ZIKHALANI ZA JANUARY 8th.
- CHF. Index ya Mtengo Wogula (YoY) (DEC).
- GBP. Mtengo wa Nyumba ya Halifax 3Mths / Chaka (DEC).
- EUR. Malamulo a ku Germany Factory nsa (YoY) (NOV).
- EUR. Ma Sales-Retail Sales (YoY) (NOV) a Euro-Zone.
- EUR. Chidaliro cha Ogwiritsa Ntchito ku Yuro-Zone (DEC F).
- USD. Ngongole Yogula (NOV).
« Dow Jones index yaphwanya 25,000, UK FTSE 100 imatsekanso kwambiri, golide imatha miyezi inayi kukwera, mayuro a euro amakumana mosiyanasiyana motsutsana ndi anzawo akulu. Sterling ikukwera pomwe UKPM ikusintha nduna yoyang'anira, yuro ikugwa motsutsana ndi anzawo ambiri, index ya dollar ikukwera. »
