Dow Jones index yaphwanya 25,000, UK FTSE 100 imatsekanso kwambiri, golide imatha miyezi inayi kukwera, mayuro a euro amakumana mosiyanasiyana motsutsana ndi anzawo akulu.
Mabungwe onse akuluakulu aku US; DJIA, SPX, NASDAQ, idatsekedwa pamakalata apamwamba Lachinayi, pomwe a DJIA adadutsa zopinga 25,000, zomwe zikuyimira kubwerera kwa chaka chimodzi cha circa 28%. Ma indices adakwera ngakhale USA idakumana ndi nyengo yovuta, mabizinesi ambiri atsekedwa. Komabe, kugulitsa masheya mu SPX kunali 30% kupitirira masiku makumi atatu osunthira, kuwonetsa kuti amalonda ndi aliyense wokhudzidwa ndi mabungwe azachuma akugwiranso ntchito moyenera kunyumba, kapena mwina; luntha lochita kupanga ndikugulitsa misika, musavutike ndi zovuta zomwe anthufe timakumana nazo.
Zambiri zantchito zomwe zidasindikizidwa Lachinayi ku USA zidalemba zomwe zikuwonetsa kuti zikuwoneka bwino pamitengo yolimbikitsa yopanga yomwe idasindikizidwa Lachitatu, zonena zopanda ntchito sabata iliyonse zidatsika, monganso zomwe zikunenedwa. Manambala a ADP, omwe amatsogolera nambala ya NFP, adabwera pamwamba pa kulosera kwa 190k, pa 250k. Kudula ntchito kwa Challenger kudabwera modabwitsa, pa -3.6% mpaka m'ma 36k a Disembala, ndizolemba zochepa kwambiri kuyambira 1990.
Amalonda (ndi makina) analinso ndi nthawi yosanthula mphindi zaposachedwa pamsonkhano wamalamulo azachuma wa FOMC / Fed womwe udachitika mu Disembala. Mphindazi zidatulutsidwa Lachitatu madzulo ndipo mgwirizano pakati pa komiti, zikuwoneka kuti ndi mfundo zazifupi mpaka zapakatikati, osatengera chiwopsezo chilichonse pakubwezeretsa chuma, ngakhale kuchira makamaka ntchito zachuma komanso kuchira kwa chuma, kulephera kukweza miyoyo / ndalama kwa anthu ambiri aku America; 80% ya akuluakulu aku USA ali ndi masheya 8%.
Ndalama yaku US idapeza chuma chosakanikirana patsikuli; dola idatsika pafupifupi 0.3%, pomwe dollar idagwa pafupifupi 0.5% poyerekeza ndi euro komanso ndi 0.1% poyerekeza ndi yabwino kwambiri. Golide adakwera mpaka 1,326, mulingo womwe sunayambe wawoneka kuyambira Seputembara 19. Ngakhale oyang'anira a Trump adalengeza kuti malire onse aku America tsopano apezeka kuti azibowoleza mafuta ndi gasi, mafuta a WTI sanapeze phindu pang'ono.
Msika waku Europe udafikiranso kwambiri pamalonda a Lachinayi, euro STOXX yokwera 1.68%, DAX yokwera 1.46% ndipo CAC ikukwera 1.56%. UK FTSE 100 idatseka pamndandanda wokwera 7,695, wokwera 11.35%. Kuwerengedwa kwakukulu kwa Markit PMI kumamenya kapena kumafikiranso, pomwe Germany ndi ma Eurozone omwe amapangidwa amakhala ndi chiyembekezo chokwanira. Yuro idatseka zaka zitatu (Januware 2015) motsutsana ndi dola yaku US. Sterling adapita patsogolo motsutsana ndi anzawo. Komabe, amalonda a FX akuwoneka kuti akusamala ngati mapaundi aku UK akukhudzidwa, akadali kufunafuna zifukwa zoperekera mapaundi zokambirana za Brexit zisanalowe munthawi yovuta miyezi ikubwerayi komanso nthawi yomwe idayamba kuwerengera kutuluka kwa Marichi 2019 . GPB / USD idatseka tsikulo pozungulira 0.1% patsikulo.
USDOLLAR.
USD / JPY inagulitsa magawo ochepa ochepa Lachinayi, kutseka tsikuli pafupifupi 0.3% pa 112.7, yoyikidwa pafupi ndi R1. USD / CHF idagulitsa masana mwamphamvu masana, kutseka pafupifupi 0.2% pa 0.974. USD / CAD idaphwanya 100 DMA mpaka kumapeto kwake pa 27/28 Disembala, awiri azinthu zamalonda adatseka tsiku mpaka pafupifupi 0.5%, ku 1.248, ndikuwopseza kuphwanya gawo la S2 pivot point.
KUCHITA.
GBP / USD pomalizira pake idagwira kuwonjezeka kwake kwaposachedwa Lachitatu kugwa ndi circa 0.7% patsikuli, ndikupezanso zina zomwe zidatayika Lachinayi, pafupifupi 0.1% ku 1.355, kutha pamwamba pa PP ya tsiku ndi tsiku. GBP idagwera motsutsana ndi AUD ndi NZD, GBP / CHF yomwe idakwapulidwa mosiyanasiyana ndi kukondera komwe kumachitika, kuwopseza kuphwanya R1, awiriwo adasinthiratu malangizo kuti amalize tsikulo pafupifupi 0.2% ku 1.320.
EURO.
EUR / USD idakwanitsa kupitirira masana atatu, kutseka tsiku pafupifupi 1.207, mpaka 0.4% pamwambapa pa R1, kuchoka ku R2 koyambirira kwamalonda. EUR / GBP idatseka circa 0.3% pa 0.890, kupumula pafupi ndi mzere woyamba wotsutsa. EUR / JPY panthawi ina adaphwanya mzere wachitatu wa R3, mpaka 1% Lachinayi, asanabwerenso pang'ono kumapeto kwa tsiku pafupifupi 0.8%, ku 136.1.
Golide.
XAU / USD idachira pakulemba zochepa za 1305 m'mawa, kuti ifike pa 1325, isanatseke tsikulo cha m'ma 1320, pafupifupi $ 50 pamwamba pa 200 DMA. Mtengo unakwera ndi circa 0.4% patsikuli, kutseka pamwamba pamzere woyamba wotsutsa, ngakhale kuli pachiwopsezo pamalingaliro.
ZOTHANDIZA ZIZINDIKIRO ZA JANUARY 4th.
- DJIA yatseka 0.61%.
- SPX inatseka 0.40%.
- FTSE 100 yatseka 0.32%.
- DAX inatseka 1.46%.
- CAC idatseka 1.55%.
ZOCHITIKA ZOKHUDZA ZIKHALANI ZA JANUARY 5th.
- EUR. Wogulitsa ku Germany (YoY) (NOV).
- EUR. Wogulitsa ku Germany (YoY) (NOV).
- EUR. Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Estimate (YoY) (DEC).
- CAD. Mulingo Wosagwira Ntchito (DEC).
- USD. Sinthani Ndalama Zopanda Famu (DEC).
- USD. Mulingo Wosagwira Ntchito (DEC).
- USD. ISM Yopanga / Kupanga Makampani (DEC).
- USD. Maofesi Athu (NOV).
- USD. Maoda Okhazikika (NOV F).
« Ziwerengero zaposachedwa za inflation ku China ndi USA ziziwunikidwa, sabata yoyamba yamalonda yonse ya 2018. Otsatsa ndalama adzawunika momwe akuimira Eurozone, Swiss CPI ndi mafakitala aku Germany, pazifukwa zoperekera misika yuro ndi Europe. »
