Masheya apadziko lonse lapansi akupitilizabe kuchira, dollar ikupitilizabe kuchepa, pomwe USD / CHF imagwera kutsika kosawoneka kuyambira Juni 2015, golide akupitiliza msonkhano waposachedwa
Otsatsa ndalama, pokhudzana ndi kuwonjezeka kwa kukwera kwamitengo komwe kumabweretsa kukwera kwamitengo ya FOMC, akukumbukira mwachangu, popeza SPX tsopano yasangalala ndi msonkhano wawo wamasiku asanu wabwino kuyambira 2011.
Otsatsa ndi ogulitsa akupezanso chidaliro ndipo owerengera angapo ndi omwe amapanga malingaliro ali kalikiliki kulembanso malingaliro awo, chifukwa chomwe misika idagwa kwakanthawi. Zokolola za zaka khumi zomwe zimafikira 3%, zimawonedwa kuti ndi zomwe zingabweretse pafupi ndi msika wogulitsa, zili pa 2.9% koma sizikuwoneka ngati zodetsa nkhawa. M'malo mwake, malinga ndi Leo Grohowski, wamkulu wazachuma ku BNY Mellon Wealth Management:
“Msika ukuganiza kuti 3% imatha kugaya pazokolola za zaka 10. Malingana ngati chifukwa chomwe mukufikira gawo la 3 peresenti chimayendetsedwa ndikumverera kwabwino zakukula kwachuma, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti mumve bwino phindu lamakampani. Ndipo ndizomwe ndimamva kuti zikuchitika. ”
Mukudziwa kuti misika ikuyandikiranso zaumoyo, pomwe nkhani zazikuluzikulu zomwe zidaphonya Lachinayi, zidalephera kuwonetsa chiyembekezo. Milandu yopanda ntchito sabata iliyonse komanso zonena mosalekeza zidasokonekera ku USA, kuwerengera kwa Empire Fed kudatsika mpaka 13.1 kuyambira 18, kukwera kwamitengo yamakampani kudakwera, kupanga mafakitale kunasokonekera (mwa -0.1%) mu Januware ndikupanga kupanga kunali kokhazikika mwezi womwewo. Potengera mutu wa zidziwitso zaku North America, kugulitsa nyumba ku Canada komwe kudalipo kudatenga mphuno zosayembekezereka mu Januware, kutsika kuchokera ku 4.5% mu Disembala mpaka -14.5%, kugwa komwe sikungafanane ndi nyengo.
DJIA ndi SPX adatseka kupitilira 1.20% patsikuli ndi NASDAQ yomwe idakwera kupitilira 5% YTD, pomwe index ya dollar idapitilizabe kugulitsidwa posachedwa, kutsiriza tsikulo pafupifupi 0.5%. USD / JPY tsopano yatsikira ku intraday yotsika pafupifupi 106.00, mulingo womwe sunachitikepo kuyambira Novembala 2016. Komabe, ngakhale akuluakulu aku USA akuti "yen ndiyokwera kwambiri", ndalama zaku Japan zidagwa motsutsana ndi anzawo ena mu 2017, a Nkhani ndikuti kufooka kwakanthawi kwama dollar, osati mphamvu ya yen.
Golide adasungabe mawonekedwe ake aposachedwa kupita kumtunda, kufika ku intraday wokwera 1,357, mulingo womwe suwoneke kuyambira Januware 26, kusintha kwakukulu kuyambira pomwe adasindikiza YTD yotsika 1,310, kumapeto sabata yatha. WTI pamapeto pake idadzuka tsikulo, itatha kuwombera mosiyanasiyana ndikukondera kopitilira muyeso; kubwezeretsanso kudzera pa $ 60 mbiya.
Nkhani zazikuluzikulu zochokera ku UK ndi Eurozone zinali zochepa, kusintha kwamalonda kosintha kwakanthawi kwa EZ; kulosera zamtsogolo ndikubwera pa $ 23.8b, inali njira yokhayo yotulutsidwa. Nkhani zaku Brexit zakukhudzidwa kulikonse zikuwoneka kuti zikuyenda tsiku limodzi, komabe, amalonda ndi akatswiri amafufuza nkhani za Brexit m'mwezi wa Marichi atabwera ndipo gulu lokambirana ku UK lidzafika kumapeto kwa mweziwo, kuti livomereze njira yotuluka ndi mgwirizano wamalonda, ndi European Commission . Yuro idapeza phindu motsutsana ndi anzawo angapo, pomwe sterling idapitilizabe kuchira posachedwa poyerekeza ndi dollar yaku US, ikuphwanya chogwirira cha 1.400 ndikufikira tsiku lalikulu lomwe silinawonekere kuyambira Feb. 6. Msika wamalonda aku Europe udasindikizanso zopindulitsa kuderalo, ngakhale anali ocheperako poyerekeza ndi anzawo aku USA.
US DOLLAR
USD / JPY inagulitsa malo ochepa a pafupifupi. 0.3% pamalonda a Lachinayi, akuwopseza kuti adzagwera pamagetsi a 106.00 panthawi imodzi, kutseka pafupi ndi S1, kutsika pafupifupi 0.3% ku 106.11, gawo lotsika kwambiri lomwe lakhala likuchitika kuyambira Novembala 2016. USD / CHF idatumiza masiku otsika omwe sanawoneke kuyambira Julayi 2015, akuwopseza kuti aphwanya chogwirira cha 0.9200, kutseka tsikulo ku 0.923, pansi pafupifupi. 0.5%, atagwa kudzera pa S1. USD / CAD imagulitsidwa pamtundu wopapatiza, ndikukondera mpaka kumapeto, kutseka tsikulo kutsika pafupifupi 0.2%, pansi pa chogwirira cha 1.2500, ku 1.248.
KUCHITA
GBP / USD idagulitsidwa pang'onopang'ono tsiku lonse, chifukwa idalandiranso chogwirira cha 1.400, kutseka pafupifupi 0.4% pa 1.409, pamwambapa pokana kukana. Sterling adapeza zopindulitsa zake zazikulu tsiku ndi tsiku poyerekeza ndi dollar yaku Canada; GPB / CAD ikutseka tsikuli mpaka 0.4% pafupi ndi R1, kutsika kuchokera ku R2, ndikufikira tsiku lofika sabata ndikukhala sabata yayikulu kuyambira Meyi 2017.
EURO
EUR / GBP imagulitsidwa pang'onopang'ono, itayamba kukwera kudzera mu PP ya tsiku ndi tsiku, kugwa kudzera mu S1 kutseka tsiku kutsika ndi 0.4%, pa 0.886. EUR / USD imagulitsidwa pamtundu wopapatiza wokhala ndi tsankho kumtunda, kutseka pafupifupi 0.3%, ku 1.2503 pafupi ndi R1, kutenganso chogwirira chovuta cha 1.2500, chomwe chimawoneka ngati mulingo waluso wowonera.
Golide
XAU / USD idagulitsidwa pamtundu wopapatiza wokhala ndi tsankho kumbuyo, ndikufika tsiku limodzi lofika 1,357, mpaka 0.2% patsikulo. Mtengo wachitsulo wamtengo wapatali wachira bwino kuyambira pomwe amatumiza 1,310 pachaka pa 8th Feb. Kuchuluka kwa circa 1,366 pachaka kumatha kuonedwa ngati cholinga chanthawi yayitali.
NKHANI ZOYENERA ZA FEBRUARY 15th.
• DJIA yatseka 1.23%.
• SPX inatseka 1.21%.
• FTSE 100 inatseka 0.29%.
• DAX inatseka 0.06%.
• CAC inatseka 1.11%.
ZOCHITIKA ZIKHALIDWE ZAKALAMA ZA FEBRUARY 16th.
• GBP. Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel (YoY) (JAN).
• USD. Lowetsani Index Index Petroleum (MoM) (JAN).
• USD. Index Yogulitsa Kunja (YoY) (JAN).
• USD. Nyumba Zoyambira (MoM) (JAN).
• USD. Zilolezo Zomanga (MoM) (JAN).
• USD. U. wa Mich. Chikondi (FEB P).
Zachuma ZABWINO KULONDOLA OTSOGOLERA PA LACHISANU FEBRUARY 16.
Ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri zogulitsa ku UK ziziwunikidwa bwino mgawuni wammawa waku Europe, kuwerenga kwa Disembala komwe kudasindikizidwa mu Januware kudabweretsa mantha -0.6% MoM. Zomwe akuyembekezerazi ndizobwezera kubwerera kwa Januware, koma pachuma chomwe chimadalira kwambiri malonda ogulitsa kukula kwa GDP ndi ntchito, kuwerenga uku kukuyenera, chifukwa cha Brexit yomwe ikubwera.
Ma data ofunikira aku USA omwe adasindikizidwa Lachisanu akuphatikiza ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri zakuitanitsa ndi kutumiza kunja komanso ziwerengero zaposachedwa zanyumba pazilolezo ndikuyamba nyumba. Zitsulo zonse ziwirizi zidagwera m'malo olakwika, zomwe zitha kudziwikiratu chifukwa chaziphuphu zomwe zidachitika mu Disembala. Komabe, ofufuza ndi omwe akugulitsa ndalama azikhala ndi chidwi chobwezera zomangamanga komanso chidwi ndi chidwi m'gawo lino, kuchokera ku ziwerengero zaposachedwa. Kuwerenga kwakumverera kwa yunivesite ya Michigan ndiimodzi mwamagetsi osavuta kuyang'anitsitsa, ofanana ndi omwe akuwerenga komiti yamalamulo, lipotilo limapereka chiwonetsero chazomwe zingakhudze ogula, kwakanthawi kochepa mpaka ku America.
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