SNTHAWI YA SUMBA YA SUMBA 19 / 2 - 23 / 2 | Kuwonjezeka kwa GDP kwaposachedwapa ku UK ndi kutulutsa kwa FOMC mlingo wokhala ndi mphindi zochepa kudzakhala zochitika zamakalendala zomwe zikuwonedwa kwambiri pa sabata likudza

Feb 16 • Kodi Njirayo Ndiyayi Bwenzi Lanu? • 6155 Views • Comments Off pa MALO OTSOGOLERA PAMASabata 19/2 - 23/2 | Chiwerengero chaposachedwa kwambiri cha kukula kwa GDP ku UK ndikutulutsidwa kwa mphindi yakhazikitsidwe ya FOMC zidzakhala zochitika zapakalendala kwambiri sabata yamawa

Chuma cha ku UK (mwachidziwikire) chachita bwino pazotsatira zoyipa za Brexit. Kukula kwa YoY pakadali pano ndi 1.5% pomwe kukugwa kuchokera pakati pa 2.7% -2.0% yomwe dzikolo limapereka lipoti mu 2015/2016, Aramagedo yachuma yomwe ambiri adaneneratu pambuyo povota referendum, sinachitike. Komabe, nthawi ikamadikira tsiku lotuluka mu Marichi 2019, zisankho zamalo ndi zamalonda ziyenera kupangidwa ndi mabungwe akulu ndi malingaliro a ogula atha kuyamba kuvutika, chifukwa chake kukula kumatha kukhala kovuta m'miyezi ikubwerayi. Titha kuyembekeza kuti tingachite bwino ngati 1.5% ikuyenda bwino, zomwe akatswiri ambiri akuneneratu. Chiwerengero cha GDP yaku Germany chidzaunikidwanso, mosaganizira kuti kuwerengetsa kukhalebe kwakukulu pa 2.90%.

Kupatula kupereka malipoti a ma PMI ndi ma CPI azachuma osiyanasiyana ndi EZ, chochitika chotsalira chomwe chidachitika sabata ino ndikuphatikizira kufalitsa kwamphindi kuchokera kumsonkhano womaliza wa mfundo za FOMC, lipoti lomwe liziwunikiridwa kuti lipeze mawu aliwonse otsutsana ku Chitsogozo cha FOMC / Fed chamtsogolo chokhudzana ndi tsiku loyambira chiwongola dzanja chachitatu chomwe chikukonzekera chikuwonjezeka mu 2018 ndikukhazikika kulikonse komwe kungachitike.

Sunday ikuyamba sabata yathu ndi zidziwitso zochokera ku Japan, kuphatikiza zaposachedwa: kuchuluka kwa malonda, kulowetsa ndi kutumiza kunja. Monga wogulitsa kunja Japan imagulitsa zochulukirapo, osati zoperewera ndipo ngakhale panali mpikisano wochokera ku China, USA ndi Germany, Japan idagulitsabe kunja. Mpaka Disembala kuchuluka kwa kukula kwa YoY kunali kochititsa chidwi kwambiri 9.3% ndipo owunika adzafuna kuti njira iyi yakukula ikasungidwe.

Lolemba m'mawa kumayamba ndimayendedwe ogulitsira mkaka pamwezi ochokera ku New Zealand, omwe amayang'aniridwa mosamala paumoyo wachuma ku NZ, kutengera kudalira kwa dzikolo pantchito yotumiza kunja. Kugulitsa nyumba ku UK kumayang'aniridwa, pomwe Rightmove imasindikiza kafukufuku wawo waposachedwa pamtengo Lolemba m'mawa. Kugula kwa ma bondeni aku Japan kudzaunikidwanso, makamaka chifukwa kukula kwa GDP yaku Japan kwatsika mpaka 0.10% QoQ, mwina kubwezera malingaliro aliwonse okhudza kugulitsa msika ndikuchepetsa kukondweretsedwa kwachuma. Pamene misika yaku Europe itsegulidwa, ndalama zotsala za Eurozone zidzasindikizidwa ndikupanga zomanga za bloc imodzi zidzaululidwa, zomwe zidakwera ndi 2.7% YoY yochititsa chidwi mu Disembala.

On Lachiwiri m'mawa pali gulu limodzi lazidziwitso zaku Japan, kuphatikiza kugulitsa masitolo, kugulitsa masitolo, kugulitsa masitolo ndi zida zama makina. Pamene misika yaku Europe ikutsegulidwa, ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri zaku Switzerland zotumiza ndi kutumiza kunja zimatulutsidwa, kutsatira lipoti la index yamitengo yaku Germany. Kafukufuku waposachedwa wa ZEW amaperekedwa, pomwe cholinga chachikulu chidzakhala kuwerengera kwamalingaliro ndi ziyembekezo. Kuwerengera chidaliro cha ogula ku Eurozone kwa February kudzaululidwa. Bungwe laposachedwa kwambiri lazamalonda ku UK la CBI lifalitsa zomwe zachitika posachedwa pamalamulo ndi kugulitsa mitengo.

On Lachitatu m'mawa, mtengo wamalipiro aku Australia ndi ntchito yomanga yomwe yachitika imatulutsidwa, zidziwitso za zotsatira zakugula anthu ku Japan ziperekedwanso. Kuwerenga kwa mafakitale onse kudzasindikizidwanso. Chidwi chikatembenukira ku Europe mautumiki apamwezi, kupanga ndi kuthandiza ma PMI aku Italy, Germany ndi EZ onse adzapereka kuwerenga kosangalatsa. Kuchokera ku UK gulu limodzi la zotsatira za ulova, kukwera kwa malipiro, milingo yobwereka pagulu ndi ndalama zaboma zidzatulutsidwa. Pamene misika yaku USA itsegulidwa, Markit the PMIs pakupanga zinthu mdziko muno, ntchito zawo ndi magulu awo adzaperekedwa, zida zogulitsa zapakhomo zidzatulutsidwa. Otsatsa ndalama aganizira zakutulutsidwa kwa mphindi kuchokera kumsonkhano waposachedwa wa FOMC, makamaka makamaka kupatsidwa chidwi pamsika posachedwa pamsika wamsika womwe wagulitsidwa posachedwa ndikuchira.

Lachinayi imayamba ndi chidziwitso ku New Zealand chogwiritsa ntchito ma kirediti kadi, onse a YoY ndi MoM. Pamene misika yaku Europe imatsegulidwa, kuwerengetsa kwaposachedwa kwa IFO yaku Germany kukuwululidwa, monganso kutulutsa kwamakampani aku Switzerland. Kuyang'ana kutembenukira ku kuwerenga kwaposachedwa kwa UK GDP, ku 1.5% oyambitsa ndalama a YoY aziona izi mosamala ngati ali ndi zofooka pazachuma. Ma data aposachedwa kwambiri otumiza ndi kutumiza kunja ku UK azayang'aniridwa bwino, pa -0.7% ya Q3 2017, chiyembekezo choti mapaundi ofooka a Brexit angalimbikitse kutumizidwa kunja, zikuwoneka kuti zilibe maziko.

Madzulo otanganidwa kwambiri ndi nkhani zachuma ku USA, madandaulo osagwira ntchito sabata iliyonse adzawunikiridwa chifukwa cha ntchito komanso kuchuluka kwa malipiro kukhala mutu wazachuma. Ma data aposachedwa kwambiri a mafuta ndi mafuta adzaunikidwanso, chifukwa WTI posachedwa idayikidwa pansi pa $ 60 mbiya. Tsikuli limamaliza ndi ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri za CPI ku Japan mwezi ndi chaka pachaka, ziwerengero za YoY zikuyembekezeka kubwera ku 1.0% YoY mpaka Januware.

On Friday Zogulitsa zaposachedwa kwambiri ku Japan ziziwunikidwa mosamala, chifukwa misika yaku Europe imatsegula tsango la zidziwitso zaku Germany kuphatikiza kufunika, kuwononga ndalama, kugulitsa ndi kugwiritsira ntchito komwe kuyang'aniridwa mosamala, monga ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri zotumiza, kutumiza kunja ndi GDP. Chiwerengero chaposachedwa cha Eurozone CPI chitha kupereka chisonyezo pochepetsa kuchepa kwa ECB kuti ichepetse pulogalamu ya APP yochepetsera ndalama. Canada ikumva nkhani, pomwe ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri za CPI mdziko muno zimafalitsidwa. Zochitika za kalendala ya sabata zimathera ndi kuwerengera kwa Baker Hughes, metric yomwe imayang'aniridwa nthawi zonse, mokhudzana ndi mitengo yamafuta a WTI.

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